Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 3:52 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 55.2% | 0.385 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 55.1% | 0.492 | 1.20u | Won | +2.05u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 50.0% | 0.170 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.67 | 50.0% | 0.336 | 0.51u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 50.0% | 0.305 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.67 | 50.0% | 0.335 | 0.50u | Won | +0.84u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.21u | Won | +0.29u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.59 | 50.0% | 0.296 | 0.33u | Won | +0.52u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 50.0% | 0.320 | 0.39u | Won | +0.64u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.62 | 50.1% | 0.312 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 49.9% | 0.267 | 0.29u | Won | +0.44u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.97 | 51.2% | 1.032 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 54.2% | 0.349 | 1.20u | Won | +1.79u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.82 | 50.0% | 0.410 | 0.65u | Won | +1.18u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.69 | 50.0% | 0.345 | 0.49u | Won | +0.83u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 49.9% | 0.211 | 0.22u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 50.0% | 0.206 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.42 | 50.0% | 0.211 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 52.2% | 0.505 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 56.5% | 0.338 | 0.64u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 3.34 | 49.6% | 0.682 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 50.0% | 0.166 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 50.0% | 0.401 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.156 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 45.9% | 0.267 | 0.60u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.8% | 0.159 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 45.4% | 0.206 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 44.6% | 0.187 | 0.34u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 57.1% | 0.689 | 0.85u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.34 | 46.8% | 0.777 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 63.4% | 0.458 | 0.67u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.73 | 45.1% | 0.499 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 55.7% | 0.409 | 0.50u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 43.1% | 0.183 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.3% | 0.243 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.5% | 0.173 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.3% | 0.303 | 0.51u | Won | +0.68u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.7% | 0.206 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 60.7% | 0.153 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.74 | 52.5% | 0.438 | 0.87u | Won | +1.51u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 52.8% | 0.612 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | home | 3.60 | 50.6% | 0.823 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 48.7% | 0.323 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 44.4% | 0.245 | 0.74u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 52.0% | 0.148 | 0.17u | Won | +0.21u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 51.1% | 0.334 | 0.62u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.5% | 0.203 | 0.29u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.221 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 42.6% | 0.170 | 0.24u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.7% | 0.154 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 52.3% | 0.424 | 0.34u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 55.1% | 0.560 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.74 | 49.4% | 0.386 | 0.28u | Won | +0.49u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 59.2% | 0.575 | 0.62u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 63.9% | 0.648 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 48.8% | 0.448 | 0.60u | Won | +1.10u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 42.2% | 0.157 | 0.61u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 51.6% | 0.255 | 1.19u | Won | +1.70u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.9% | 0.291 | 0.29u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 51.4% | 0.208 | 0.15u | Won | +0.20u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 46.3% | 0.176 | 0.12u | Won | +0.14u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 53.6% | 0.217 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.99 | 52.8% | 0.580 | 0.84u | Won | +1.67u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.19 | 56.7% | 0.242 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 53.5% | 0.382 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Angels
|
Home win | away | 2.84 | 47.7% | 0.484 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.57 | 46.4% | 0.377 | 0.22u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 52.2% | 0.529 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 64.9% | 0.811 | 0.89u | Won | +1.59u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.54 | 56.5% | 0.435 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.3% | 0.162 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 51.2% | 0.301 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 51.6% | 0.408 | 1.20u | Won | +2.08u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.78 | 43.8% | 0.562 | 1.00u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.71 | 55.1% | 0.494 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 57.6% | 0.405 | 1.20u | Won | +1.73u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 49.2% | 0.255 | 1.20u | Won | +1.76u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 48.9% | 0.145 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 47.2% | 0.314 | 0.35u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 52.9% | 0.433 | 0.60u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 54.9% | 0.483 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 64.6% | 0.422 | 0.48u | Won | +0.58u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home win | away | 2.66 | 36.4% | 0.691 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 58.9% | 0.325 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 62.3% | 0.439 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 2.65 | 40.9% | 0.565 | 1.07u | Won | +1.77u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.8% | 0.186 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 48.4% | 0.250 | 1.07u | Won | +1.52u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 54.8% | 0.453 | 0.59u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.76 | 50.4% | 0.390 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 45.2% | 0.249 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 44.6% | 0.368 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 51.7% | 0.178 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.75 | 48.1% | 0.427 | 0.80u | Won | +1.40u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.61 | 43.7% | 0.468 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.