Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 2:56 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 47.8% | 0.154 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 40.2% | 0.221 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.58 | 51.4% | 0.326 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 53.8% | 0.443 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 54.1% | 0.487 | 1.14u | Won | +2.00u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.31 | 57.9% | 0.337 | 0.66u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 4.19 | 49.9% | 1.097 | 1.00u | Won | +3.19u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 56.1% | 0.351 | 0.18u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 55.2% | 0.744 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.72 | 55.9% | 0.520 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 52.9% | 0.170 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 53.4% | 0.410 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 48.8% | 0.335 | 0.22u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 58.1% | 0.517 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.1% | 0.308 | 0.21u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.1% | 0.188 | 0.21u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.84 | 36.3% | 0.171 | 0.23u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 43.9% | 0.149 | 0.16u | Won | +0.17u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 3.02 | 53.4% | 0.614 | 1.20u | Won | +2.42u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 46.2% | 0.204 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.80 | 54.9% | 0.539 | 0.67u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 44.6% | 0.224 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 53.8% | 0.459 | 0.51u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.1% | 0.269 | 0.19u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.1% | 0.202 | 0.14u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 25, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 59.7% | 0.344 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 53.3% | 0.365 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 51.9% | 0.183 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.8% | 0.376 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 53.9% | 0.429 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jul 24, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.0% | 0.363 | 0.41u | Won | +0.55u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.06 | 57.2% | 0.179 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 69.3% | 0.545 | 1.18u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 43.1% | 0.343 | 0.46u | Won | +0.63u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 60.0% | 0.446 | 0.47u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.72 | 51.9% | 0.412 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 23, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 52.0% | 0.772 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.67 | 54.6% | 1.004 | 1.20u | Won | +3.20u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 34.9% | 0.401 | 0.38u | Won | +0.44u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 1.92 | 63.8% | 0.222 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 41.8% | 0.322 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 57.7% | 0.499 | 0.48u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.13 | 60.7% | 0.293 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 22, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 39.7% | 0.394 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.04 | 56.7% | 0.157 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 37.0% | 0.193 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 37.6% | 0.181 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 1.83 | 67.9% | 0.245 | 0.37u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 41.3% | 0.256 | 0.34u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 38.6% | 0.308 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jul 21, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.64 | 56.8% | 0.499 | 1.20u | Won | +1.97u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 52.5% | 0.450 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.77 | 52.6% | 0.457 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.6% | 0.246 | 0.16u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.16 | 63.0% | 0.361 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.88 | 50.1% | 0.444 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 35.8% | 0.413 | 0.45u | Won | +0.54u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 59.3% | 0.351 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 20, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.4% | 0.223 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 44.4% | 0.357 | 0.42u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.54 | 50.8% | 0.291 | 0.27u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 47.6% | 0.179 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 46.5% | 0.145 | 0.09u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.79 | 51.5% | 0.438 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 15, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.62 | 49.0% | 0.336 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 44.2% | 0.360 | 0.50u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 45.9% | 0.353 | 0.47u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 54.8% | 0.420 | 0.63u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 39.0% | 0.186 | 0.19u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 56.9% | 0.439 | 0.92u | Won | +1.41u |
| Jul 14, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 56.9% | 0.439 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.64 | 53.2% | 0.405 | 0.51u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 49.7% | 0.162 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 50.9% | 0.175 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 46.7% | 0.230 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 47.1% | 0.195 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jul 13, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 43.2% | 0.483 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.21 | 48.1% | 0.146 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.76 | 56.0% | 0.546 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Jul 12, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.91 | 56.9% | 0.655 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.57 | 56.0% | 0.440 | 0.64u | Won | +1.00u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 58.4% | 0.389 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.51 | 56.6% | 0.420 | 0.60u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.2% | 0.174 | 0.38u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.6% | 0.121 | 0.22u | Won | +0.21u |
| Jul 11, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.64 | 47.1% | 0.397 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 43.2% | 0.228 | 0.50u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.5% | 0.285 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.9% | 0.274 | 0.63u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.46 | 56.0% | 0.378 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 3.05 | 58.4% | 0.780 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Jul 10, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 57.2% | 0.528 | 0.52u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 56.9% | 0.660 | 0.86u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 57.2% | 0.488 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.61 | 55.1% | 0.438 | 0.42u | Won | +0.68u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 40.6% | 0.159 | 0.29u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 47.1% | 0.264 | 0.58u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 51.0% | 0.173 | 0.27u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 9, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 41.4% | 0.266 | 0.66u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jul 8, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 48.8% | 0.233 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.