Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 3:52 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 39.2% | 0.114 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.3% | 0.165 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 53.1% | 0.206 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 44.4% | 0.341 | 0.92u | Won | +1.30u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 37.4% | 0.217 | 0.50u | Won | +0.47u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 46.5% | 0.139 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.86 | 55.4% | 0.585 | 1.01u | Won | +1.88u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 47.4% | 0.137 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.99 | 53.0% | 0.584 | 0.97u | Won | +1.93u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 46.9% | 0.358 | 0.43u | Won | +0.67u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 54.7% | 0.325 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 2, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 60.6% | 0.437 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 62.9% | 0.403 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.82 | 42.5% | 0.622 | 0.76u | Won | +1.38u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 2.56 | 60.3% | 0.544 | 0.64u | Won | +1.00u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 42.5% | 0.113 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 42.3% | 0.247 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 1.85 | 36.1% | 0.181 | 0.15u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.61 | 43.0% | 0.489 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.88 | 53.2% | 0.532 | 0.71u | Won | +1.33u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 51.0% | 0.157 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.71 | 50.5% | 0.369 | 0.29u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.4% | 0.153 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 1, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 52.7% | 0.206 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 1.81 | 38.9% | 0.108 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 38.2% | 0.322 | 0.29u | Won | +0.33u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 37.2% | 0.488 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.53 | 39.0% | 0.542 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.23 | 52.0% | 0.161 | 0.07u | Won | +0.09u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 53.6% | 0.269 | 0.18u | Won | +0.25u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 43.7% | 0.165 | 0.10u | Won | +0.11u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 49.0% | 0.225 | 0.15u | Won | +0.21u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 47.4% | 0.153 | 0.09u | Won | +0.11u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 52.7% | 0.343 | 0.35u | Won | +0.54u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.78 | 52.7% | 0.464 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Cubs
|
Home win | away | 2.76 | 46.6% | 0.475 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 59.5% | 0.451 | 0.91u | Won | +1.31u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home win | away | 3.72 | 42.9% | 1.123 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 31, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 42.4% | 0.492 | 0.60u | Won | +0.95u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Rockies
|
Home win | home | 2.43 | 61.2% | 0.487 | 0.53u | Won | +0.76u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 61.4% | 0.442 | 0.47u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home win | away | 2.77 | 40.8% | 0.639 | 0.80u | Won | +1.42u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 1.86 | 37.7% | 0.155 | 0.24u | Won | +0.21u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 46.1% | 0.272 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 45.0% | 0.419 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.94 | 41.9% | 0.124 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 49.3% | 0.156 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.36 | 45.4% | 0.289 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 52.7% | 0.354 | 0.33u | Won | +0.52u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 52.7% | 0.369 | 0.36u | Won | +0.58u |
| Mar 30, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 52.7% | 0.296 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 42.4% | 0.285 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 37.6% | 0.349 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.07 | 45.3% | 0.132 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.83 | 52.7% | 0.491 | 1.03u | Won | +1.88u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 52.7% | 0.238 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 2.44 | 36.8% | 0.543 | 0.88u | Won | +1.27u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.89 | 56.2% | 0.623 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Mar 29, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 58.8% | 0.328 | 0.60u | Won | +0.76u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.88 | 62.7% | 0.805 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.4% | 0.430 | 0.50u | Won | +0.87u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 44.9% | 0.206 | 0.16u | Won | +0.19u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.11 | 56.4% | 0.190 | 0.14u | Won | +0.16u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 44.3% | 0.449 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.69 | 47.9% | 0.402 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 46.4% | 0.233 | 0.15u | Won | +0.20u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.0% | 0.311 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 52.7% | 0.375 | 0.30u | Won | +0.48u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.7% | 0.438 | 0.39u | Won | +0.67u |
| Mar 28, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
Home cover | home | 2.73 | 52.7% | 0.438 | 0.39u | Won | +0.67u |
| Oct 1, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.59 | 46.8% | 0.377 | 1.20u | Won | +1.91u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.83 | 52.6% | 0.489 | 0.12u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.43 | 30.2% | 1.396 | 0.77u | Won | +1.87u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home win | away | 3.10 | 49.2% | 0.574 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.69 | 34.8% | 0.755 | 0.29u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 3.14 | 60.9% | 0.913 | 0.36u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 62.0% | 0.444 | 0.11u | Won | +0.15u |
| Sep 30, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.6% | 0.250 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 42.0% | 0.260 | 0.60u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 61.8% | 0.404 | 1.20u | Won | +1.52u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home win | away | 3.23 | 46.7% | 0.723 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home win | home | 3.42 | 62.2% | 1.128 | 0.88u | Won | +2.13u |
| Sep 29, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 3.07 | 59.7% | 0.833 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.41 | 59.9% | 0.444 | 0.17u | Won | +0.24u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 2.54 | 35.2% | 0.646 | 0.32u | Won | +0.49u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home win | away | 3.23 | 36.3% | 1.057 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 2.55 | 45.2% | 0.397 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home win | away | 2.84 | 45.7% | 0.543 | 0.20u | Won | +0.37u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 70.9% | 0.588 | 0.31u | Won | +0.38u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 38.4% | 0.355 | 0.48u | Won | +0.58u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 60.0% | 0.590 | 1.03u | Won | +1.70u |
| Sep 28, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 51.7% | 0.296 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 49.0% | 0.188 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 58.9% | 0.413 | 0.24u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 2.62 | 25.2% | 0.960 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 27, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 67.3% | 0.514 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 41.2% | 0.664 | 0.39u | Won | +0.71u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 3.92 | 50.0% | 0.962 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.58 | 64.7% | 0.668 | 0.43u | Won | +0.68u |
| Sep 26, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 61.6% | 0.638 | 0.38u | Won | +0.63u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.