Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 5:58 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 45.0% | 0.238 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.9% | 0.136 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 46.0% | 0.351 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.2% | 0.194 | 0.31u | Won | +0.42u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.6% | 0.174 | 0.28u | Won | +0.34u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.1% | 0.272 | 0.54u | Won | +0.81u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 46.0% | 0.296 | 0.67u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.5% | 0.277 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 46.6% | 0.309 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 45.3% | 0.367 | 0.44u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.1% | 0.217 | 0.18u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.1% | 0.219 | 0.18u | Won | +0.24u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 47.1% | 0.349 | 0.39u | Won | +0.60u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 46.8% | 0.145 | 0.32u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 48.6% | 0.182 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.7% | 0.161 | 0.40u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.7% | 0.216 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 48.1% | 0.246 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.6% | 0.154 | 0.28u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 48.8% | 0.330 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.7% | 0.218 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 43.6% | 0.438 | 0.88u | Won | +1.36u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.9% | 0.184 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 42.6% | 0.377 | 0.71u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 38.7% | 0.257 | 0.54u | Won | +0.57u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.2% | 0.122 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 40.7% | 0.215 | 0.39u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 46.3% | 0.342 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.159 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.0% | 0.305 | 0.47u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.7% | 0.239 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 54.1% | 0.460 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 47.4% | 0.237 | 0.24u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 41.9% | 0.278 | 0.36u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 37.4% | 0.535 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 1.83 | 39.1% | 0.116 | 0.09u | Won | +0.08u |
| Aug 23, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 49.1% | 0.273 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 23, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.9% | 0.325 | 0.56u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 23, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 45.6% | 0.171 | 0.20u | Won | +0.23u |
| Aug 23, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.9% | 0.343 | 0.65u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 22, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.3% | 0.207 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 22, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 44.0% | 0.288 | 1.16u | Won | +1.51u |
| Aug 21, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.9% | 0.195 | 0.50u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 21, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 57.6% | 0.209 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 21, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 52.0% | 0.248 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.2% | 0.270 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 39.0% | 0.190 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 37.1% | 0.228 | 0.31u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 40.3% | 0.284 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.25 | 53.0% | 0.193 | 0.20u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 42.9% | 0.227 | 0.28u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.3% | 0.253 | 0.69u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 40.8% | 0.183 | 0.42u | Won | +0.42u |
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.2% | 0.256 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.5% | 0.309 | 0.37u | Won | +0.52u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 49.9% | 0.277 | 0.28u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 39.2% | 0.367 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 42.9% | 0.399 | 0.59u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 40.0% | 0.351 | 0.40u | Won | +0.50u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 36.9% | 0.641 | 1.10u | Won | +1.76u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.9% | 0.263 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 44.0% | 0.119 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 42.2% | 0.474 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 46.8% | 0.144 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 48.4% | 0.212 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.8% | 0.201 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.1% | 0.342 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 43.1% | 0.281 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.6% | 0.175 | 0.23u | Won | +0.28u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 46.3% | 0.261 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 51.3% | 0.308 | 0.57u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.42u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.301 | 0.79u | Won | +1.26u |
| Aug 12, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.93u | Won | +1.21u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.85 | 50.1% | 0.427 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.17u | Won | +0.24u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.95 | 50.0% | 0.475 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 1.06u | Won | +1.59u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.96u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 49.9% | 0.227 | 0.84u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.376 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 1.14u | Won | +1.60u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 1.04u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 41.9% | 0.221 | 0.19u | Won | +0.21u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 37.2% | 0.382 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 40.7% | 0.215 | 0.18u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 44.0% | 0.317 | 0.33u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 39.8% | 0.235 | 0.22u | Won | +0.23u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.