Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 1, 2026 8:48 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 46.1% | 0.310 | 0.29u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 38.7% | 0.404 | 0.51u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 36.2% | 0.271 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jul 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 1.95 | 61.1% | 0.192 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 44.1% | 0.309 | 0.81u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.7% | 0.216 | 0.44u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jul 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 43.4% | 0.257 | 0.55u | Won | +0.67u |
| Jul 26, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 44.7% | 0.255 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 45.1% | 0.192 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jul 25, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 47.5% | 0.213 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 49.8% | 0.195 | 0.47u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.08 | 45.0% | 0.143 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 24, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.44 | 46.8% | 0.298 | 1.01u | Won | +1.45u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.22 | 47.5% | 0.165 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 46.2% | 0.163 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 48.4% | 0.224 | 0.61u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 23, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 44.2% | 0.171 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 50.7% | 0.277 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Jul 22, 2021 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 44.8% | 0.193 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.5% | 0.357 | 0.76u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 54.4% | 0.198 | 0.33u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jul 21, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.42 | 45.6% | 0.316 | 0.71u | Won | +1.01u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 43.7% | 0.221 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jul 20, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 48.8% | 0.254 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 48.5% | 0.158 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 45.6% | 0.332 | 0.63u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 46.5% | 0.279 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jul 19, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.52 | 51.1% | 0.289 | 0.50u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 49.3% | 0.192 | 0.26u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 1.97 | 43.6% | 0.111 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 45.3% | 0.302 | 0.60u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 42.9% | 0.216 | 0.36u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 18, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 44.7% | 0.255 | 0.46u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 46.0% | 0.219 | 0.28u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.19 | 45.9% | 0.185 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 43.7% | 0.345 | 0.62u | Won | +0.86u |
| Jul 17, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 41.5% | 0.339 | 0.64u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 45.0% | 0.226 | 0.54u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 44.6% | 0.169 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 16, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 44.5% | 0.320 | 0.97u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 52.5% | 0.286 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 45.1% | 0.207 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 47.0% | 0.357 | 0.68u | Won | +1.06u |
| Jul 11, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 45.1% | 0.241 | 0.37u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 47.3% | 0.371 | 1.03u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 46.8% | 0.149 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 10, 2021 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 47.3% | 0.255 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.26 | 49.0% | 0.153 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 46.4% | 0.137 | 0.45u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 47.2% | 0.136 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 9, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 45.2% | 0.129 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 8, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 47.3% | 0.128 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 47.8% | 0.134 | 0.22u | Won | +0.26u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Cubs
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.27 | 44.1% | 0.268 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 47.4% | 0.246 | 0.59u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 7, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 44.9% | 0.184 | 0.39u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 48.5% | 0.225 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 48.3% | 0.153 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 6, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.33 | 44.9% | 0.285 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 46.9% | 0.169 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.24 | 45.4% | 0.223 | 0.45u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.16 | 47.5% | 0.134 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Mets
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 45.7% | 0.244 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Jul 5, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 41.8% | 0.192 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Athletics
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.2% | 0.259 | 1.20u | Won | +1.61u |
| Jul 4, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 1.96 | 44.4% | 0.091 | 0.60u | Won | +0.58u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 43.9% | 0.295 | 0.92u | Won | +1.21u |
| Jul 2, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 46.2% | 0.296 | 0.88u | Won | +1.24u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 45.9% | 0.157 | 0.92u | Won | +1.05u |
| Jul 1, 2021 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 45.2% | 0.151 | 0.88u | Won | +0.97u |
| Jun 30, 2021 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 47.9% | 0.146 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jun 29, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.90u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Jun 28, 2021 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 50.0% | 0.215 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Jun 27, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.33u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.47 | 50.0% | 0.235 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.31 | 50.0% | 0.155 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jun 25, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.84 | 50.0% | 0.420 | 0.94u | Won | +1.73u |
| Jun 24, 2021 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 1.12u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jun 23, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.92u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Marlins
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.56u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 0.56u | Won | +0.77u |
| Jun 22, 2021 | mlb |
Mariners
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.150 | 0.75u | Won | +0.98u |
| Jun 21, 2021 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 50.0% | 0.185 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.31u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 50.0% | 0.260 | 0.28u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 50.0% | 0.245 | 0.25u | Won | +0.37u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.375 | 0.51u | Won | +0.89u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 50.0% | 0.180 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jun 20, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.53 | 50.0% | 0.265 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jun 19, 2021 | mlb |
Pirates
Indians
|
Home cover | home | 2.77 | 50.0% | 0.385 | 1.20u | Won | +2.12u |
| Jun 18, 2021 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.39 | 50.0% | 0.195 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 50.0% | 0.230 | 0.75u | Won | +1.10u |
| Jun 17, 2021 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.56 | 50.0% | 0.280 | 1.05u | Won | +1.64u |
| Jun 16, 2021 | mlb |
Braves
Red Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 50.0% | 0.285 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 15, 2021 | mlb |
Nationals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.44 | 50.0% | 0.221 | 1.20u | Won | +1.73u |
| Jun 14, 2021 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.