Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:00 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 41.2% | 0.324 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.3% | 0.333 | 0.28u | Won | +0.43u |
| Aug 2, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 66.7% | 0.246 | 0.22u | Won | +0.19u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.3% | 0.124 | 0.22u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 52.3% | 0.228 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 41.2% | 0.235 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 64.3% | 0.071 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.3% | 0.072 | 0.09u | Won | +0.09u |
| Jul 31, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 52.3% | 0.072 | 0.34u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 64.3% | 0.575 | 0.97u | Won | +1.41u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.2% | 0.177 | 0.13u | Won | +0.13u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 64.3% | 0.414 | 0.58u | Won | +0.70u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.3% | 0.176 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
Home win | away | 2.00 | 41.2% | 0.177 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 64.3% | 0.350 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 64.3% | 0.479 | 0.64u | Won | +0.83u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 52.3% | 0.307 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 41.2% | 0.353 | 0.36u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 1.77 | 64.3% | 0.137 | 0.08u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.85 | 52.3% | 0.490 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.3% | 0.281 | 0.21u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
Home win | away | 2.15 | 41.2% | 0.265 | 0.22u | Won | +0.25u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.3% | 0.176 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 52.3% | 0.568 | 0.66u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 52.3% | 0.281 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
Home win | home | 1.69 | 64.3% | 0.086 | 0.09u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 64.3% | 0.202 | 0.36u | Won | +0.31u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Rockies
|
Home win | away | 1.74 | 25.0% | 0.306 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 52.3% | 0.333 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Phillies
|
Home win | away | 1.77 | 25.0% | 0.327 | 0.83u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.30 | 52.3% | 0.202 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.3% | 0.124 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 52.3% | 0.098 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Marlins
|
Home win | away | 1.95 | 41.2% | 0.149 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 64.3% | 0.202 | 0.28u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 1.67 | 64.3% | 0.071 | 0.05u | Won | +0.03u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 0.0% | 1.300 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Blue Jays
|
Home win | away | 2.25 | 41.2% | 0.324 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 1.83 | 64.3% | 0.179 | 0.60u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 64.3% | 0.382 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | away | 2.30 | 41.2% | 0.353 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 52.3% | 0.176 | 0.19u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Twins
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 52.3% | 0.124 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.7% | 0.242 | 0.13u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.7% | 0.155 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 57.7% | 0.386 | 0.29u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.213 | 0.11u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 22, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Twins
|
Home win | away | 2.85 | 0.0% | 1.850 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 57.7% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.7% | 0.184 | 0.34u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.7% | 0.155 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 57.7% | 0.444 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.7% | 0.184 | 0.09u | Won | +0.09u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Red Sox
|
Home win | away | 2.10 | 33.3% | 0.400 | 0.35u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.7% | 0.242 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Twins
|
Home win | home | 3.00 | 57.7% | 0.732 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.7% | 0.155 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.7% | 0.184 | 0.15u | Won | +0.16u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.213 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.7% | 0.155 | 0.12u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Tigers
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.7% | 0.242 | 0.24u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.7% | 0.242 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 57.7% | 0.530 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.7% | 0.127 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 57.7% | 0.444 | 1.05u | Won | +1.58u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Angels
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 57.7% | 0.299 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Giants
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 57.7% | 0.080 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.213 | 0.33u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.7% | 0.127 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.213 | 0.33u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.270 | 0.51u | Won | +0.61u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 57.7% | 0.242 | 0.41u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 13, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Cubs
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 57.7% | 0.080 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 57.7% | 0.299 | 0.31u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.7% | 0.127 | 0.08u | Won | +0.08u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.7% | 0.184 | 0.14u | Won | +0.15u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 57.7% | 0.415 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.40 | 57.7% | 0.386 | 0.47u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.270 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.7% | 0.127 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.50 | 57.7% | 0.444 | 0.75u | Won | +1.13u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.7% | 0.184 | 0.19u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home win | home | 2.35 | 57.7% | 0.357 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Pirates
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.213 | 0.22u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 1.95 | 57.7% | 0.127 | 0.07u | Won | +0.07u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home win | home | 2.10 | 57.7% | 0.213 | 0.16u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.270 | 0.25u | Won | +0.30u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
Home win | away | 2.05 | 33.3% | 0.367 | 0.46u | Won | +0.48u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.65 | 57.7% | 0.530 | 0.73u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 57.7% | 0.184 | 0.13u | Won | +0.14u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.7% | 0.155 | 0.06u | Won | +0.06u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Mariners
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.270 | 0.15u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
Home win | away | 3.60 | 33.3% | 1.400 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 57.7% | 0.299 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home win | home | 2.00 | 57.7% | 0.155 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 57.7% | 0.270 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Mets
|
Home win | home | 1.87 | 69.2% | 0.294 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 55.6% | 0.194 | 0.17u | Won | +0.20u |
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
Home win | away | 3.20 | 42.9% | 0.829 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 7, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Guardians
|
Home win | home | 2.20 | 55.6% | 0.222 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.