Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 2:13 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 41.0% | 1.050 | 1.17u | Won | +4.68u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 42.1% | 0.438 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 45.8% | 0.199 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.1% | 0.125 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.9% | 0.033 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 40.6% | 0.458 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.5% | 0.060 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.4% | 0.062 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.7% | 0.037 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.5% | 0.041 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.083 | 0.67u | Won | +0.61u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Chelsea
|
Result | away | 2.95 | 38.5% | 0.233 | 0.52u | Won | +1.01u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 51.0% | 0.300 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 31.6% | 0.233 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 52.4% | 0.387 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 38.7% | 1.081 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 46.2% | 0.155 | 0.06u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.6% | 0.038 | 0.26u | Won | +0.24u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.5% | 0.060 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.3% | 0.083 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.0% | 0.051 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 4.60 | 51.9% | 0.391 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.35 | 42.8% | 0.155 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.9% | 0.109 | 0.96u | Won | +0.87u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.4% | 0.100 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.1% | 0.049 | 0.16u | Won | +0.15u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.131 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Ipswich Town
|
Result | home | 2.25 | 48.5% | 0.091 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Everton
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 47.4% | 0.656 | 1.20u | Won | +4.56u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.4% | 0.062 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.162 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.5% | 0.174 | 0.59u | Won | +0.54u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.114 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Newcastle United
|
Result | draw | 4.60 | 41.5% | 0.195 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 43.2% | 0.729 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.4% | 0.177 | 0.55u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.28u | Won | +0.25u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.130 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.137 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.1% | 0.143 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.9% | 0.148 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Everton
Arsenal
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 41.6% | 0.250 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 46.9% | 0.291 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 38.7% | 0.510 | 0.68u | Won | +1.97u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 46.0% | 0.265 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 41.6% | 0.582 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.090 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.133 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.7% | 0.113 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 49.1% | 0.360 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 42.8% | 0.230 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 49.2% | 0.132 | 0.66u | Won | +0.86u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.118 | 0.35u | Won | +0.32u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | epl |
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.9% | 0.185 | 0.79u | Won | +0.72u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.201 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 53.9% | 0.293 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 1.71 | 64.1% | 0.099 | 0.10u | Won | +0.07u |
| Mar 16, 2025 | epl |
Leicester City
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 36.8% | 0.593 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 46.8% | 0.731 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Everton
West Ham United
|
Result | away | 4.10 | 42.3% | 0.778 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 49.5% | 0.833 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 40.8% | 0.764 | 0.36u | Won | +1.01u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Everton
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.5% | 0.154 | 0.80u | Won | +0.73u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.2% | 0.066 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Mar 15, 2025 | epl |
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.119 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Mar 10, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.9% | 0.129 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Chelsea
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.3% | 0.158 | 0.61u | Won | +0.55u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
AFC Bournemouth
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 41.3% | 0.362 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Arsenal
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 48.0% | 0.321 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 42.4% | 0.569 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Southampton
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 42.8% | 0.584 | 0.77u | Won | +2.08u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Mar 8, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.137 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 27, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Leicester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.8% | 0.111 | 0.97u | Won | +0.88u |
| Feb 27, 2025 | epl |
West Ham United
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 47.3% | 0.234 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 47.5% | 0.901 | 1.05u | Won | +3.15u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 45.2% | 0.527 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Result | draw | 4.40 | 36.7% | 0.295 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.215 | 1.06u | Won | +0.96u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.3% | 0.102 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Feb 26, 2025 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.9% | 0.070 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Feb 25, 2025 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
AFC Bournemouth
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.2% | 0.314 | 1.17u | Won | +1.06u |
| Feb 25, 2025 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.151 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Feb 25, 2025 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Fulham
|
Result | away | 3.50 | 42.9% | 0.193 | 0.62u | Won | +1.55u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 50.0% | 0.178 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Liverpool
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 49.7% | 0.541 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Newcastle United
Nottingham Forest
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.5% | 0.136 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Feb 23, 2025 | epl |
Manchester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.205 | 1.02u | Won | +0.93u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Arsenal
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 38.2% | 0.180 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Feb 22, 2025 | epl |
Southampton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.8% | 0.207 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.