Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 12:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Knicks
|
Home win | home | 2.66 | 53.1% | 0.411 | 1.49u | Won | +2.47u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Jazz
|
Home win | home | 2.49 | 56.4% | 0.404 | 0.29u | Won | +0.43u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Hornets
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 52.3% | 0.324 | 0.18u | Won | +0.28u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Pacers
|
Home win | home | 3.21 | 54.9% | 0.763 | 0.77u | Won | +1.70u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Mavericks
|
Home win | home | 3.36 | 53.0% | 0.781 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Pacers
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 78.1% | 0.473 | 1.50u | Won | +1.33u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.1% | 0.091 | 0.50u | Won | +0.46u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.5% | 0.083 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 37.2% | 0.205 | 0.68u | Won | +0.62u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.7% | 0.075 | 0.12u | Won | +0.11u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 34.4% | 0.263 | 1.06u | Won | +0.98u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Clippers
|
Home win | home | 2.42 | 54.9% | 0.329 | 1.39u | Won | +1.97u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Grizzlies
|
Home win | away | 2.18 | 49.4% | 0.103 | 0.52u | Won | +0.61u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Pelicans
|
Home win | home | 3.16 | 57.1% | 0.805 | 1.50u | Won | +3.24u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | nba |
Wizards
Timberwolves
|
Home win | home | 2.09 | 54.3% | 0.134 | 0.50u | Won | +0.55u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | nba |
Wizards
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 62.6% | 0.195 | 1.12u | Won | +1.02u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.135 | 0.58u | Won | +0.53u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.8% | 0.092 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Warriors
Hornets
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 61.7% | 0.178 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Rockets
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 60.1% | 0.133 | 0.24u | Won | +0.21u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.0% | 0.298 | 1.00u | Won | +0.91u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.0% | 0.088 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Jazz
|
Home win | home | 3.19 | 59.4% | 0.895 | 1.09u | Won | +2.39u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Suns
|
Home win | home | 2.92 | 51.9% | 0.516 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Rockets
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 55.8% | 0.556 | 0.49u | Won | +0.88u |
| Feb 25, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 68.9% | 0.315 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
| Feb 25, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Magic
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 62.3% | 0.190 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Feb 25, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.3% | 0.293 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Feb 25, 2021 | nba |
Grizzlies
Clippers
|
Home cover | home | 1.89 | 59.1% | 0.119 | 0.13u | Won | +0.12u |
| Feb 25, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 40.2% | 0.147 | 0.18u | Won | +0.17u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Hawks
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 39.1% | 0.173 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.130 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.6% | 0.076 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 39.2% | 0.152 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Spurs
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 57.6% | 0.099 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.8% | 0.107 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.27u | Won | +0.25u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Rockets
|
Home win | home | 2.01 | 52.0% | 0.045 | 0.27u | Won | +0.27u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Timberwolves
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 53.3% | 0.455 | 1.50u | Won | +2.60u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 54.2% | 0.327 | 0.66u | Won | +0.96u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Kings
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 59.8% | 0.280 | 0.57u | Won | +0.65u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Wizards
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 61.3% | 0.330 | 0.77u | Won | +0.90u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 20.9% | 0.510 | 1.50u | Won | +1.36u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.201 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 22, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Wizards
|
Home win | home | 3.34 | 56.0% | 0.871 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Celtics
|
Home win | home | 2.29 | 54.0% | 0.236 | 0.51u | Won | +0.66u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Thunder
|
Home win | home | 2.25 | 50.0% | 0.126 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | nba |
Hawks
Nuggets
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 57.6% | 0.262 | 0.66u | Won | +0.79u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Nets
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 58.8% | 0.258 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Kings
|
Home win | home | 2.14 | 52.0% | 0.113 | 0.50u | Won | +0.57u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Heat
|
Home win | home | 3.13 | 50.7% | 0.588 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Feb 19, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Bulls
|
Home win | home | 2.23 | 51.3% | 0.144 | 0.15u | Won | +0.18u |
| Feb 19, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 2.67 | 53.5% | 0.428 | 0.94u | Won | +1.57u |
| Feb 19, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Suns
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 58.9% | 0.397 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Knicks
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 53.1% | 0.237 | 0.15u | Won | +0.20u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | nba |
Wizards
Nuggets
|
Home win | home | 2.73 | 54.4% | 0.485 | 0.54u | Won | +0.93u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 3.17 | 52.6% | 0.668 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | nba |
Warriors
Heat
|
Home win | home | 2.59 | 55.3% | 0.432 | 0.45u | Won | +0.72u |
| Feb 16, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Raptors
|
Home win | home | 2.75 | 58.2% | 0.601 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Feb 16, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Nuggets
|
Home win | home | 3.10 | 57.9% | 0.794 | 1.19u | Won | +2.50u |
| Feb 15, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
76ers
|
Home win | home | 2.53 | 57.2% | 0.448 | 1.50u | Won | +2.30u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Pelicans
|
Home win | home | 2.78 | 52.6% | 0.462 | 0.84u | Won | +1.50u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | nba |
Wizards
Celtics
|
Home win | home | 2.45 | 56.6% | 0.387 | 0.68u | Won | +0.99u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Bucks
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 57.6% | 0.313 | 0.48u | Won | +0.61u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.090 | 0.59u | Won | +0.54u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | nba |
Hawks
Pacers
|
Home win | home | 2.33 | 55.3% | 0.289 | 1.30u | Lost | -1.30u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Heat
|
Home win | home | 2.02 | 55.6% | 0.122 | 0.70u | Won | +0.71u |
| Feb 12, 2021 | nba |
Mavericks
Pelicans
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 55.2% | 0.260 | 1.22u | Won | +1.56u |
| Feb 11, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Heat
|
Home win | home | 2.12 | 57.2% | 0.214 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Feb 11, 2021 | nba |
Trail Blazers
76ers
|
Home win | home | 2.90 | 56.8% | 0.648 | 1.42u | Won | +2.70u |
| Feb 11, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Pacers
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 52.6% | 0.284 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Feb 10, 2021 | nba |
Mavericks
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 51.0% | 0.106 | 0.10u | Won | +0.12u |
| Feb 10, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Clippers
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 52.4% | 0.462 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Feb 10, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Cavaliers
|
Home win | home | 2.39 | 55.6% | 0.330 | 0.72u | Won | +1.00u |
| Feb 9, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Rockets
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 51.8% | 0.517 | 0.72u | Won | +1.39u |
| Feb 9, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Celtics
|
Home win | away | 3.01 | 48.8% | 0.543 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Feb 9, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Knicks
|
Home win | home | 2.60 | 53.7% | 0.397 | 0.48u | Won | +0.77u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Bucks
|
Home win | away | 2.83 | 48.9% | 0.447 | 0.93u | Won | +1.70u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Rockets
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 57.7% | 0.252 | 0.41u | Won | +0.48u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Wizards
|
Home win | home | 2.21 | 54.3% | 0.200 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Warriors
|
Home win | home | 2.05 | 60.3% | 0.236 | 0.38u | Won | +0.40u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.4% | 0.096 | 0.06u | Lost | -0.06u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Thunder
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 67.6% | 0.290 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Mavericks
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 26.7% | 0.406 | 0.81u | Won | +0.74u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | nba |
Grizzlies
Raptors
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.216 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 29.9% | 0.344 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Kings
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 30.7% | 0.305 | 0.53u | Won | +0.47u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 38.1% | 0.176 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.7% | 0.322 | 0.57u | Won | +0.52u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.7% | 0.088 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Jazz
|
Home win | away | 2.19 | 48.8% | 0.122 | 0.50u | Won | +0.60u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Wizards
|
Home win | home | 2.68 | 59.0% | 0.580 | 1.50u | Won | +2.52u |
| Feb 6, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Bulls
|
Home win | away | 2.56 | 36.0% | 0.639 | 0.75u | Won | +1.17u |
| Feb 6, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Timberwolves
|
Home win | home | 2.06 | 62.4% | 0.285 | 0.20u | Won | +0.21u |
| Feb 6, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Spurs
|
Home win | away | 3.24 | 42.8% | 0.853 | 1.05u | Won | +2.35u |
| Feb 6, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.1% | 0.181 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Feb 6, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 60.0% | 0.145 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.