Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 2, 2026 12:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Trail Blazers
|
Home win | home | 2.09 | 50.2% | 0.049 | 0.27u | Won | +0.29u |
| Apr 6, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Lakers
|
Home win | home | 2.19 | 50.3% | 0.102 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Wizards
|
Home win | home | 2.84 | 50.4% | 0.433 | 0.71u | Won | +1.31u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Knicks
|
Home win | away | 3.06 | 49.8% | 0.535 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Suns
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 50.3% | 0.138 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Pistons
|
Home win | home | 2.38 | 50.5% | 0.203 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.152 | 0.25u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Mavericks
Jazz
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 69.2% | 0.320 | 0.98u | Won | +0.89u |
| Apr 5, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.283 | 0.77u | Won | +0.70u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Nets
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 60.4% | 0.149 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.2% | 0.218 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
Hawks
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.6% | 0.110 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Pelicans
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.212 | 0.57u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Lakers
|
Home win | home | 2.24 | 50.3% | 0.126 | 0.61u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 4, 2021 | nba |
Hawks
Warriors
|
Home win | home | 2.15 | 50.4% | 0.083 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Pacers
|
Home win | home | 2.13 | 50.2% | 0.069 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Knicks
|
Home win | home | 2.93 | 50.3% | 0.474 | 1.47u | Lost | -1.47u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Thunder
|
Home win | home | 2.28 | 50.3% | 0.147 | 0.41u | Won | +0.52u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Cavaliers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.5% | 0.082 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
76ers
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Bucks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.0% | 0.088 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Apr 3, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 38.8% | 0.174 | 0.88u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.117 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 69.8% | 0.334 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Thunder
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 36.5% | 0.207 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 39.4% | 0.162 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.6% | 0.115 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 36.7% | 0.203 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Raptors
Warriors
|
Home cover | home | 1.90 | 66.4% | 0.262 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Grizzlies
Timberwolves
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 33.5% | 0.276 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Rockets
|
Home win | home | 2.69 | 50.3% | 0.352 | 1.25u | Won | +2.11u |
| Apr 2, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Thunder
|
Home win | home | 2.26 | 50.3% | 0.137 | 0.65u | Won | +0.82u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Warriors
|
Home win | away | 2.20 | 49.8% | 0.104 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 39.4% | 0.168 | 0.32u | Won | +0.30u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Warriors
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 42.2% | 0.109 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.140 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Apr 1, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 28.9% | 0.357 | 1.30u | Won | +1.18u |
| Mar 31, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 42.3% | 0.097 | 0.19u | Won | +0.17u |
| Mar 31, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Bucks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.204 | 0.69u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 31, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.129 | 0.31u | Won | +0.28u |
| Mar 31, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.3% | 0.102 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Mar 31, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 37.4% | 0.190 | 0.61u | Won | +0.55u |
| Mar 31, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Raptors
|
Home win | home | 2.96 | 50.2% | 0.486 | 1.49u | Won | +2.92u |
| Mar 30, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
76ers
|
Home win | home | 2.55 | 50.3% | 0.283 | 1.10u | Won | +1.71u |
| Mar 30, 2021 | nba |
Suns
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.4% | 0.085 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Mar 30, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 38.3% | 0.183 | 1.20u | Won | +1.10u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Warriors
Bulls
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 33.9% | 0.261 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 73.2% | 0.397 | 0.89u | Won | +0.81u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
Bucks
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 65.2% | 0.244 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Celtics
Pelicans
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 59.7% | 0.140 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Heat
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 37.9% | 0.186 | 0.22u | Won | +0.20u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
Heat
|
Home win | home | 3.41 | 50.3% | 0.714 | 1.30u | Lost | -1.30u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Grizzlies
|
Home win | home | 2.79 | 50.5% | 0.409 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Mar 29, 2021 | nba |
Jazz
Cavaliers
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.5% | 0.197 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| Mar 28, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Suns
|
Home win | home | 2.17 | 50.3% | 0.092 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Mar 28, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 3.09 | 50.2% | 0.551 | 1.50u | Won | +3.14u |
| Mar 28, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
Magic
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.7% | 0.094 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Mar 28, 2021 | nba |
Nuggets
Hawks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 36.9% | 0.205 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Mar 28, 2021 | nba |
Hornets
Suns
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 34.8% | 0.239 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Mar 27, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Knicks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.126 | 0.10u | Won | +0.09u |
| Mar 27, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 22.3% | 0.483 | 1.19u | Won | +1.08u |
| Mar 27, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 28.9% | 0.352 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Mar 27, 2021 | nba |
Clippers
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 43.6% | 0.081 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Mar 27, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Cavaliers
|
Home win | home | 3.12 | 50.2% | 0.567 | 1.50u | Won | +3.18u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Nets
|
Home win | home | 3.23 | 50.3% | 0.626 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Rockets
|
Home win | home | 3.23 | 50.5% | 0.631 | 0.92u | Won | +2.05u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Warriors
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 2.37 | 50.3% | 0.193 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.303 | 0.98u | Won | +0.89u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Pistons
Nets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.104 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.1% | 0.119 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Rockets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.1% | 0.163 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Nuggets
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 41.3% | 0.126 | 0.20u | Won | +0.18u |
| Mar 26, 2021 | nba |
Mavericks
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.90 | 41.3% | 0.115 | 0.18u | Won | +0.16u |
| Mar 25, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Trail Blazers
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 69.0% | 0.317 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Mar 25, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Clippers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.1% | 0.106 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 25, 2021 | nba |
Lakers
76ers
|
Home win | home | 2.18 | 50.6% | 0.104 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Suns
|
Home win | home | 3.24 | 50.3% | 0.630 | 1.08u | Won | +2.42u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Hornets
|
Home win | home | 2.94 | 50.3% | 0.478 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Kings
Hawks
|
Home win | home | 2.44 | 50.4% | 0.230 | 0.21u | Won | +0.30u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Pacers
Pistons
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 30.7% | 0.323 | 0.62u | Won | +0.56u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 37.1% | 0.212 | 0.28u | Won | +0.26u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Suns
|
Home cover | home | 1.92 | 62.0% | 0.189 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 40.0% | 0.145 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Thunder
Grizzlies
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 70.0% | 0.336 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Mar 24, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 43.4% | 0.080 | 0.05u | Won | +0.05u |
| Mar 23, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Lakers
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 43.1% | 0.097 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Mar 23, 2021 | nba |
Magic
Nuggets
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 58.3% | 0.113 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Mar 23, 2021 | nba |
Heat
Suns
|
Home win | home | 2.48 | 55.6% | 0.378 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Mar 23, 2021 | nba |
Pelicans
Lakers
|
Home win | home | 2.07 | 57.3% | 0.186 | 0.50u | Won | +0.54u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Cavaliers
Kings
|
Home win | home | 2.52 | 55.1% | 0.388 | 1.50u | Lost | -1.50u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Timberwolves
Thunder
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.158 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Bucks
Pacers
|
Home cover | away | 1.92 | 38.7% | 0.175 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Grizzlies
Celtics
|
Home cover | away | 1.93 | 32.5% | 0.299 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Rockets
Raptors
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 59.4% | 0.134 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Bulls
Jazz
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 23.7% | 0.456 | 1.04u | Won | +0.95u |
| Mar 22, 2021 | nba |
Spurs
Hornets
|
Home cover | away | 1.89 | 42.0% | 0.098 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Mar 21, 2021 | nba |
Trail Blazers
Mavericks
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.090 | 0.14u | Won | +0.13u |
| Mar 21, 2021 | nba |
Knicks
76ers
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 37.6% | 0.191 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Mar 21, 2021 | nba |
Nets
Wizards
|
Home cover | away | 1.91 | 38.3% | 0.179 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.