Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Millwall
home
Odds
2.40
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.96u
Lost
-0.96u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Blackburn Rovers
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
21.4%
EV/u
0.727
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Millwall
Coventry City
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.664
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.02u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Derby County
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
26.8%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.88u
Lost
-0.88u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Reading
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.203
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
Brentford
AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
44.2%
EV/u
0.887
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Queens Park Rangers
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
35.5%
EV/u
0.490
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Bristol City
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
36.6%
EV/u
0.662
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.699
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
56.3%
EV/u
0.915
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Luton Town
AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
4.60
Prob
52.7%
EV/u
1.427
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
50.1%
EV/u
0.880
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
championship
Reading
Norwich City
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.591
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Huddersfield Town
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.1%
EV/u
0.564
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
52.4%
EV/u
0.573
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.40u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
2.37
Prob
55.1%
EV/u
0.305
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.41u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Bristol City
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.90u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.6%
EV/u
0.534
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.2%
EV/u
0.892
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Birmingham City
away
Odds
4.25
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.688
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.98u
Result
championship
Swansea City
AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
37.8%
EV/u
0.404
Stake
1.15u
Lost
-1.15u
Result
championship
Millwall
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
38.5%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.35u
Lost
-0.35u
Result
championship
Brentford
Blackburn Rovers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.4%
EV/u
0.769
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Wycombe Wanderers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
39.6%
EV/u
0.923
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Barnsley
AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
44.9%
EV/u
0.436
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Watford
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.7%
EV/u
0.667
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Swansea City
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
44.4%
EV/u
0.511
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Preston North End
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
40.3%
EV/u
0.794
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Brentford
away
Odds
3.40
Prob
39.0%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.72u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Swansea City
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
54.8%
EV/u
0.588
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Derby County
Wycombe Wanderers
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.467
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Coventry City
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.459
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.83u
Result
championship
Brentford
Queens Park Rangers
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
39.4%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.446
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Millwall
Reading
home
Odds
3.25
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.333
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.90
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.545
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Rotherham United
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
47.1%
EV/u
0.554
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.76u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Reading
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
42.1%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
0.30u
Won
+0.78u
Result
championship
Wycombe Wanderers
Brentford
draw
Odds
4.20
Prob
39.1%
EV/u
0.579
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.84u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Birmingham City
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
40.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
0.89u
Won
+1.96u
Result
championship
Brentford
Middlesbrough
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
37.5%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Birmingham City
AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.714
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.80u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
34.7%
EV/u
0.148
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
championship
Watford
Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
42.4%
EV/u
0.288
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
33.8%
EV/u
0.402
Stake
1.17u
Lost
-1.17u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Millwall
away
Odds
3.80
Prob
32.8%
EV/u
0.315
Stake
0.70u
Lost
-0.70u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Barnsley
home
Odds
4.20
Prob
31.4%
EV/u
0.318
Stake
0.80u
Won
+2.56u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.844
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.20u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Norwich City
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.580
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Reading
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.243
Stake
1.02u
Won
+1.94u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Millwall
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Sheffield Wednesday
home
Odds
3.60
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.12u
Result
championship
Brentford
Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.0%
EV/u
0.240
Stake
0.48u
Won
+1.20u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Reading
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.2%
EV/u
0.330
Stake
1.02u
Lost
-1.02u
Result
championship
Millwall
Barnsley
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
55.5%
EV/u
0.609
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Watford
AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
44.3%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
AFC Bournemouth
home
Odds
3.20
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.345
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.40
Prob
41.3%
EV/u
0.403
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Wycombe Wanderers
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
42.9%
EV/u
0.500
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Swansea City
home
Odds
3.50
Prob
45.7%
EV/u
0.600
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Cardiff City
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
31.7%
EV/u
0.394
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.76u
Result
championship
Blackburn Rovers
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
4.9%
EV/u
2.308
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Norwich City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
0.2%
EV/u
3.659
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Derby County
Watford
draw
Odds
3.10
Prob
1.6%
EV/u
1.106
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Seattle Storm
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.7%
EV/u
0.332
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Birmingham City
away
Odds
3.50
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.53u
Lost
-0.53u
Result
championship
Brentford
Preston North End
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
36.4%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.97u
Won
+3.88u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Millwall
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
31.9%
EV/u
0.327
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Wycombe Wanderers
away
Odds
5.00
Prob
31.2%
EV/u
0.566
Stake
1.13u
Lost
-1.13u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Seattle Storm
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
31.1%
EV/u
0.261
Stake
1.15u
Won
+1.05u
Result
championship
Coventry City
AFC Bournemouth
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
33.0%
EV/u
0.107
Stake
0.37u
Lost
-0.37u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sun
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
63.8%
EV/u
0.201
Stake
0.85u
Lost
-0.85u
Home win
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
2.35
Prob
56.0%
EV/u
0.264
Stake
0.98u
Lost
-0.98u
Home cover
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Las Vegas Aces
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
26.5%
EV/u
0.336
Stake
1.18u
Won
+1.07u
Home cover
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Seattle Storm
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
61.7%
EV/u
0.167
Stake
0.32u
Lost
-0.32u
Result
championship
AFC Bournemouth
Norwich City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.244
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
Result
championship
Watford
Luton Town
home
Odds
4.50
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.694
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.20u
Result
championship
Wycombe Wanderers
Swansea City
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
30.4%
EV/u
0.546
Stake
0.30u
Won
+1.13u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
69.3%
EV/u
0.989
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.24u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
3.30
Prob
69.4%
EV/u
1.223
Stake
1.50u
Won
+3.45u
Home win
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
3.05
Prob
49.3%
EV/u
0.517
Stake
1.26u
Lost
-1.26u
Home cover
wnba
Seattle Storm
Minnesota Lynx
home
Odds
1.95
Prob
65.3%
EV/u
0.226
Stake
0.95u
Lost
-0.95u
Home cover
wnba
Las Vegas Aces
Connecticut Sun
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
62.2%
EV/u
0.153
Stake
0.67u
Won
+0.61u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Bristol City
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
27.5%
EV/u
0.408
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Bristol City
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
25.7%
EV/u
0.452
Stake
1.13u
Won
+3.62u
Result
championship
Rotherham United
Millwall
draw
Odds
3.20
Prob
24.5%
EV/u
0.390
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Nottingham Forest
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.80
Prob
15.9%
EV/u
0.900
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
AFC Bournemouth
away
Odds
2.87
Prob
17.1%
EV/u
0.484
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Coventry City
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
3.25
Prob
16.1%
EV/u
0.559
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
2.90
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
0.454
Stake
1.19u
Won
+2.26u
Home cover
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Connecticut Sun
away
Odds
1.95
Prob
37.7%
EV/u
0.176
Stake
0.74u
Won
+0.70u
Home cover
wnba
Minnesota Lynx
Phoenix Mercury
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.9%
EV/u
0.232
Stake
1.02u
Won
+0.93u
Home win
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
2.80
Prob
48.4%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
1.17u
Lost
-1.17u
Home cover
wnba
Phoenix Mercury
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
18.3%
EV/u
0.468
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.09u
Home win
wnba
Seattle Storm
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.483
Stake
1.21u
Lost
-1.21u
Home cover
wnba
New York Liberty
Dallas Wings
home
Odds
1.91
Prob
81.9%
EV/u
0.472
Stake
0.72u
Won
+0.65u
Home cover
wnba
Seattle Storm
Las Vegas Aces
away
Odds
1.91
Prob
27.9%
EV/u
0.314
Stake
0.52u
Won
+0.47u
Home cover
wnba
Atlanta Dream
Washington Mystics
away
Odds
1.95
Prob
35.1%
EV/u
0.221
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.25u
Home win
wnba
Los Angeles Sparks
Las Vegas Aces
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
50.3%
EV/u
0.242
Stake
0.81u
Lost
-0.81u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.