Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: May 11, 2026 5:48 PM EDT
Result
championship
Brentford
Luton Town
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.813
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.60u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Fulham
home
Odds
2.65
Prob
41.9%
EV/u
0.111
Stake
0.54u
Lost
-0.54u
Result
championship
Hull City
Preston North End
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.354
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.40u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
3.60
Prob
39.8%
EV/u
0.175
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Reading
Leeds United
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.276
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Luton Town
Charlton Athletic
home
Odds
4.75
Prob
41.6%
EV/u
0.975
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.50u
Result
championship
Middlesbrough
Hull City
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
40.1%
EV/u
0.161
Stake
0.52u
Won
+1.30u
Result
championship
Brentford
Reading
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.382
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.16u
Result
championship
Derby County
Preston North End
away
Odds
4.75
Prob
46.6%
EV/u
0.369
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Queens Park Rangers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.5%
EV/u
0.273
Stake
0.62u
Lost
-0.62u
Result
championship
Cardiff City
Bristol City
home
Odds
2.05
Prob
64.6%
EV/u
0.325
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
1.0%
EV/u
2.360
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Stoke City
draw
Odds
3.40
Prob
21.3%
EV/u
1.648
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Stoke City
West Bromwich Albion
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
44.6%
EV/u
0.338
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Charlton Athletic
Preston North End
home
Odds
2.90
Prob
50.4%
EV/u
0.463
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Reading
Millwall
draw
Odds
4.33
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.326
Stake
0.63u
Lost
-0.63u
Result
championship
Brentford
Huddersfield Town
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.6%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.87u
Lost
-0.87u
Result
championship
Barnsley
Bristol City
home
Odds
2.50
Prob
44.1%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.55u
Lost
-0.55u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Brentford
home
Odds
2.87
Prob
45.2%
EV/u
0.299
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Swansea City
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
3.30
Prob
43.3%
EV/u
0.070
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Wigan Athletic
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
43.4%
EV/u
0.186
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.48u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
42.0%
EV/u
0.577
Stake
1.20u
Won
+3.30u
Result
championship
Huddersfield Town
Barnsley
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
42.7%
EV/u
0.398
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Fulham
Luton Town
draw
Odds
3.50
Prob
46.0%
EV/u
0.172
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Bristol City
Charlton Athletic
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
44.5%
EV/u
0.568
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home win
wnba
Connecticut Sun
Washington Mystics
home
Odds
1.80
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.259
Stake
1.20u
Won
+0.96u
Result
championship
Stoke City
Sheffield United
draw
Odds
3.75
Prob
40.7%
EV/u
0.363
Stake
1.06u
Won
+2.92u
Result
championship
Wigan Athletic
Aston Villa
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
1.359
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Norwich City
Cardiff City
away
Odds
4.33
Prob
41.8%
EV/u
0.341
Stake
0.82u
Won
+2.73u
Result
championship
Preston North End
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
46.5%
EV/u
0.377
Stake
0.30u
Lost
-0.30u
Result
championship
Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.665
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Cardiff City
draw
Odds
4.75
Prob
38.1%
EV/u
0.563
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Ipswich Town
Wolverhampton Wanderers
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
0.3%
EV/u
3.403
Stake
1.20u
Won
+4.20u
Result
championship
Fulham
Ipswich Town
draw
Odds
2.88
Prob
20.8%
EV/u
0.818
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
championship
Sheffield Wednesday
Wolverhampton Wanderers
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
38.9%
EV/u
0.366
Stake
0.73u
Lost
-0.73u
Home away
europa-league
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
1.174
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
europa-league
Aston Villa
Bologna
away
Odds
3.30
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.653
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Result
europa-league
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.453
Stake
0.33u
Lost
-0.33u
Result
europa-league
Real Betis
Braga
away
Odds
4.30
Prob
36.9%
EV/u
0.352
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.86u
Result
europa-league
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
away
Odds
4.60
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.397
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Home draw
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
away
Odds
2.50
Prob
36.8%
EV/u
0.548
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.80u
Result
europa-league
SC Freiburg
Celta Vigo
home
Odds
4.00
Prob
35.3%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.99u
Result
europa-league
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
34.0%
EV/u
0.195
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
Result
europa-league
Bologna
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
32.4%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.32u
Won
+1.02u
Home draw
europa-league
Bologna
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.20
Prob
48.7%
EV/u
1.156
Stake
0.60u
Won
+1.92u
Home draw
europa-league
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
43.6%
EV/u
1.029
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Sporting CP
Arsenal
away
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.8%
EV/u
0.182
Stake
0.56u
Won
+0.73u
Result
europa-league
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.297
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Result
europa-league
Aston Villa
Lille
draw
Odds
4.80
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.412
Stake
0.26u
Lost
-0.26u
Result
europa-league
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
away
Odds
4.90
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.627
Stake
0.39u
Lost
-0.39u
Draw away
europa-league
SC Freiburg
Racing Genk
home
Odds
2.85
Prob
41.0%
EV/u
0.645
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.22u
Home away
europa-league
Real Betis
Panathinaikos
draw
Odds
3.25
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.607
Stake
0.25u
Lost
-0.25u
Home away
europa-league
FC Midtjylland
Nottingham Forest
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
49.2%
EV/u
1.185
Stake
0.44u
Lost
-0.44u
Home away
europa-league
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
draw
Odds
3.85
Prob
49.5%
EV/u
0.945
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
europa-league
Braga
Ferencvaros
draw
Odds
4.70
Prob
37.9%
EV/u
0.426
Stake
0.28u
Lost
-0.28u
Draw away
champions-league
Sporting CP
Bodo/Glimt
x2
Odds
2.50
Prob
58.8%
EV/u
0.442
Stake
0.16u
Lost
-0.16u
Draw away
champions-league
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
x2
Odds
3.40
Prob
58.7%
EV/u
0.942
Stake
0.49u
Lost
-0.49u
Draw away
champions-league
Chelsea
Paris Saint-Germain
x2
Odds
2.63
Prob
72.9%
EV/u
0.865
Stake
0.55u
Won
+0.89u
Home away
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
draw
Odds
4.10
Prob
48.3%
EV/u
1.120
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Home draw
champions-league
Manchester City
Real Madrid
away
Odds
2.75
Prob
38.0%
EV/u
0.668
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.10u
Result
europa-league
VfB Stuttgart
FC Porto
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
38.4%
EV/u
0.254
Stake
0.18u
Lost
-0.18u
Result
europa-league
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
37.6%
EV/u
0.462
Stake
0.33u
Won
+1.12u
Result
europa-league
Lille
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
37.1%
EV/u
0.432
Stake
0.31u
Won
+1.05u
Draw away
europa-league
Racing Genk
SC Freiburg
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
12.6%
EV/u
1.621
Stake
1.20u
Won
+2.52u
Home away
europa-league
Racing Genk
SC Freiburg
draw
Odds
3.00
Prob
48.8%
EV/u
0.506
Stake
1.20u
Lost
-1.20u
Home draw
europa-league
Lille
Aston Villa
away
Odds
4.40
Prob
9.4%
EV/u
2.986
Stake
0.59u
Won
+2.01u
Home draw
europa-league
Racing Genk
SC Freiburg
away
Odds
2.55
Prob
42.3%
EV/u
0.444
Stake
0.61u
Lost
-0.61u
Draw away
champions-league
Real Madrid
Manchester City
home
Odds
2.30
Prob
46.3%
EV/u
0.191
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.77u
Home draw
champions-league
Atalanta
Bayern Munich
1x
Odds
2.10
Prob
55.0%
EV/u
0.124
Stake
0.45u
Lost
-0.45u
Result
europa-league
Racing Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
30.1%
EV/u
0.379
Stake
0.26u
Won
+0.91u
Result
europa-league
Red Star Belgrade
Lille
away
Odds
3.60
Prob
30.6%
EV/u
0.420
Stake
0.58u
Won
+1.51u
Result
europa-league
Celta Vigo
PAOK Salonika
draw
Odds
4.30
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.296
Stake
0.22u
Lost
-0.22u
Draw away
europa-league
Racing Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
x2
Odds
2.50
Prob
51.3%
EV/u
0.265
Stake
0.25u
Won
+0.38u
Draw away
europa-league
Ferencvaros
Ludogorets Razgrad
home
Odds
3.00
Prob
45.1%
EV/u
0.613
Stake
0.95u
Won
+1.90u
Home away
europa-league
Racing Genk
Dinamo Zagreb
draw
Odds
4.50
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
1.335
Stake
0.60u
Won
+2.10u
Total over
champions-league
Real Madrid
Benfica
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
33.4%
EV/u
0.271
Stake
1.00u
Lost
-1.00u
Total over
champions-league
Atlético Madrid
Club Brugge
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.0%
EV/u
0.241
Stake
0.50u
Lost
-0.50u
Total over
champions-league
Newcastle United
FK Qarabag
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
32.7%
EV/u
0.285
Stake
0.68u
Lost
-0.68u
Result
europa-league
Celtic
VfB Stuttgart
away
Odds
4.00
Prob
30.5%
EV/u
0.578
Stake
0.46u
Won
+1.38u
Result
europa-league
Ludogorets Razgrad
Ferencvaros
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.479
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Result
europa-league
Lille
Red Star Belgrade
draw
Odds
4.40
Prob
30.2%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.23u
Lost
-0.23u
Draw away
europa-league
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
home
Odds
3.80
Prob
49.4%
EV/u
0.922
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Home draw
europa-league
SK Brann
Bologna
away
Odds
2.70
Prob
49.7%
EV/u
0.337
Stake
0.40u
Won
+0.68u
Home draw
europa-league
Ludogorets Razgrad
Ferencvaros
away
Odds
3.75
Prob
49.8%
EV/u
0.881
Stake
0.80u
Lost
-0.80u
Total over
champions-league
Club Brugge
Atlético Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
35.4%
EV/u
0.233
Stake
0.69u
Lost
-0.69u
Total over
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Internazionale
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
37.2%
EV/u
0.199
Stake
0.51u
Lost
-0.51u
Draw away
champions-league
Bodo/Glimt
Internazionale
home
Odds
3.75
Prob
48.1%
EV/u
0.947
Stake
0.59u
Won
+1.62u
Draw away
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Newcastle United
x2
Odds
2.63
Prob
53.1%
EV/u
0.371
Stake
0.14u
Won
+0.23u
Draw away
champions-league
Club Brugge
Atlético Madrid
x2
Odds
5.00
Prob
51.6%
EV/u
1.582
Stake
0.47u
Won
+1.88u
Home away
champions-league
FK Qarabag
Newcastle United
draw
Odds
5.00
Prob
49.0%
EV/u
1.549
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Total over
champions-league
Galatasaray
Juventus
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
42.2%
EV/u
0.103
Stake
0.48u
Lost
-0.48u
Total over
champions-league
Benfica
Real Madrid
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
41.5%
EV/u
0.116
Stake
0.59u
Won
+0.54u
Total over
champions-league
AS Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain
under
Odds
1.91
Prob
45.3%
EV/u
0.044
Stake
0.13u
Lost
-0.13u
Home draw
champions-league
Galatasaray
Juventus
1x
Odds
2.63
Prob
59.1%
EV/u
0.520
Stake
1.20u
Won
+1.95u
Result
europa-league
Red Star Belgrade
Celta Vigo
draw
Odds
3.65
Prob
45.9%
EV/u
0.922
Stake
0.27u
Won
+0.72u
Result
europa-league
Lyon
PAOK Salonika
home
Odds
2.80
Prob
69.7%
EV/u
0.903
Stake
0.33u
Won
+0.59u
Result
europa-league
Go Ahead Eagles
Braga
home
Odds
3.10
Prob
76.3%
EV/u
1.298
Stake
0.60u
Lost
-0.60u
Result
europa-league
SK Sturm Graz
SK Brann
draw
Odds
4.00
Prob
40.4%
EV/u
0.295
Stake
0.24u
Lost
-0.24u
Result
europa-league
Nottingham Forest
Ferencvaros
draw
Odds
4.90
Prob
43.1%
EV/u
0.590
Stake
0.36u
Lost
-0.36u
Result
europa-league
Celtic
FC Utrecht
away
Odds
4.50
Prob
43.9%
EV/u
0.400
Stake
0.27u
Lost
-0.27u
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.