Player Dossiers

Player Props

Model probability, EV, and edge on player prop markets.

Props Healthy 2 hours ago

AD TEST MODE

PROPS HEADER

Mock Placement 970x250

Player props are not tracked in My Ledger. Props ROI is tracked separately below and builds daily. Odds are sourced from live market providers or estimated synthetically when live lines are unavailable.

Universe — all picks that passed the minimum EV filter, settled at 1u flat stake each. Staked — recommended picks only, settled at Kelly-sized stake. Compare to Universe to see if the recommendation filter adds value. By Sport — universe ROI broken down per sport, so you can see which markets the model is actually winning in.

These stats include historical bets from Earned Runs Allowed, Hits, Goals, Runs, Blocks, Saves — markets since retired after live performance analysis. Active-market performance is higher; retired rows are dimmed in the breakdown below.

Real odds: 91.7% 1,109 of 1,210 priced from live lines

Win Rate

47.5%

575W / 635L

ROI

-10.6%

on stake

Total P&L

-13.54u

units

Settled Picks

1,210

bets evaluated

Market	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
Rebounds	128	55.5%	+35%	+4.75u
Points + Rebounds + Assists	124	55.6%	+2.2%	+0.17u
Rebounds + Assists	114	58.8%	+19.1%	+1.08u
Points	109	47.7%	-10.1%	-0.55u
3-PT Made	106	37.7%	-1.8%	-0.11u
Strikeouts	104	51%	+1.4%	+0.19u
RBIs	91	36.3%	-5.3%	-0.17u
Runs + Hits + RBIs	61	47.5%	+4.3%	+0.56u

Cumulative P&L (units)

Growth of flat-1u ROI over time

Loading chart...

Failed to load chart

No data available

Real odds: 95% 1,036 of 1,091 priced from live lines

Win Rate

47.4%

517W / 574L

ROI

-0.3%

on stake

Total P&L

-0.10u

units

Settled Picks

1,091

bets evaluated

Market	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
Points + Rebounds + Assists	124	55.6%	+2.2%	+0.17u
Rebounds	117	53.8%	+9.4%	+0.24u
Rebounds + Assists	111	58.6%	+8.4%	+0.22u
Points	109	47.7%	-10.1%	-0.55u
3-PT Made	102	37.3%	-16.1%	-0.33u
Strikeouts	93	50.5%	+7.8%	+0.22u
RBIs	86	33.7%	-14%	-0.43u
Runs + Hits + RBIs	49	46.9%	+2.9%	+0.02u

Cumulative P&L (units)

Growth of flat-1u ROI over time

Loading chart...

Failed to load chart

No data available

Sport	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
nba	623	49.4%	+0.6%	+0.28u
mlb	443	46.7%	-19.1%	-12.07u
nhl	96	35.4%	-15%	-2.4u
wnba	48	54.2%	+17.3%	+0.65u

Settled daily against final box scores. Does not affect My Ledger. Odds sourced from live consensus lines where available; model-estimated otherwise. Early data may reflect limited sample size.

Odds are hidden. Sign up for a free trial to see market odds, model probabilities, and market comparisons. Start Free Trial →

EV & Edge are locked. Supporter access unlocks expected value, edge percentages, and Kelly stake sizing. See Supporter access →

Sport

Also view Game Predictions for →

Prop Market

Player

Sort By

Confidence

Recommended only

Upcoming only

Min EV: Supporter+ to use

These are display filters only — they narrow your view but don't change what the engine evaluates or how it sizes bets. EV, edge, and stake thresholds are set in the prediction pipeline and reflected by the Recommended flag.

271 props found

Trend

MLB · Home Runs Model

Braden Shewmake

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Rob Refsnyder

MLB · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Houston Astros logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Cam Smith

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Joey Loperfido

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jake Meyers

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Victor Robles

MLB · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Houston Astros logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Daniel Johnson

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jax Biggers

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Riley Unroe

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Dustin Harris

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

DAY-TO-DAY ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Nick Allen

MLB · Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Seattle Mariners logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Leo Rivas

MLB · Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros Houston Astros logo

May 11, 8:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jesus Rodriguez

MLB · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Mookie Betts

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Shohei Ohtani

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Max Muncy

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Andy Pages

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Rafael Devers

MLB · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Teoscar Hernandez

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Kyle Tucker

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Freddie Freeman

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Casey Schmitt

MLB · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

DAY-TO-DAY ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Will Smith

MLB · Los Angeles Dodgers

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Heliot Ramos

MLB · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Willy Adames

MLB · San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers logo

May 11, 10:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →