Player Dossiers

Player Props

Model probability, EV, and edge on player prop markets.

Props Healthy 2 hours ago

AD TEST MODE

PROPS HEADER

Mock Placement 970x250

Player props are not tracked in My Ledger. Props ROI is tracked separately below and builds daily. Odds are sourced from live market providers or estimated synthetically when live lines are unavailable.

Universe — all picks that passed the minimum EV filter, settled at 1u flat stake each. Staked — recommended picks only, settled at Kelly-sized stake. Compare to Universe to see if the recommendation filter adds value. By Sport — universe ROI broken down per sport, so you can see which markets the model is actually winning in.

These stats include historical bets from Earned Runs Allowed, Hits, Goals, Runs, Blocks, Saves — markets since retired after live performance analysis. Active-market performance is higher; retired rows are dimmed in the breakdown below.

Real odds: 91.7% 1,109 of 1,210 priced from live lines

Win Rate

47.5%

575W / 635L

ROI

-10.6%

on stake

Total P&L

-13.54u

units

Settled Picks

1,210

bets evaluated

Market	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
Rebounds	128	55.5%	+35%	+4.75u
Points + Rebounds + Assists	124	55.6%	+2.2%	+0.17u
Rebounds + Assists	114	58.8%	+19.1%	+1.08u
Points	109	47.7%	-10.1%	-0.55u
3-PT Made	106	37.7%	-1.8%	-0.11u
Strikeouts	104	51%	+1.4%	+0.19u
RBIs	91	36.3%	-5.3%	-0.17u
Runs + Hits + RBIs	61	47.5%	+4.3%	+0.56u

Cumulative P&L (units)

Growth of flat-1u ROI over time

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Real odds: 95% 1,036 of 1,091 priced from live lines

Win Rate

47.4%

517W / 574L

ROI

-0.3%

on stake

Total P&L

-0.10u

units

Settled Picks

1,091

bets evaluated

Market	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
Points + Rebounds + Assists	124	55.6%	+2.2%	+0.17u
Rebounds	117	53.8%	+9.4%	+0.24u
Rebounds + Assists	111	58.6%	+8.4%	+0.22u
Points	109	47.7%	-10.1%	-0.55u
3-PT Made	102	37.3%	-16.1%	-0.33u
Strikeouts	93	50.5%	+7.8%	+0.22u
RBIs	86	33.7%	-14%	-0.43u
Runs + Hits + RBIs	49	46.9%	+2.9%	+0.02u

Cumulative P&L (units)

Growth of flat-1u ROI over time

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Sport	Bets	Win%	ROI%	Units P&L
nba	623	49.4%	+0.6%	+0.28u
mlb	443	46.7%	-19.1%	-12.07u
nhl	96	35.4%	-15%	-2.4u
wnba	48	54.2%	+17.3%	+0.65u

Settled daily against final box scores. Does not affect My Ledger. Odds sourced from live consensus lines where available; model-estimated otherwise. Early data may reflect limited sample size.

Odds are hidden. Sign up for a free trial to see market odds, model probabilities, and market comparisons. Start Free Trial →

EV & Edge are locked. Supporter access unlocks expected value, edge percentages, and Kelly stake sizing. See Supporter access →

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Confidence

Recommended only

Upcoming only

Min EV: Supporter+ to use

These are display filters only — they narrow your view but don't change what the engine evaluates or how it sizes bets. EV, edge, and stake thresholds are set in the prediction pipeline and reflected by the Recommended flag.

271 props found

Trend

MLB · Home Runs Model

George Valera

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

CJ Kayfus

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Bo Naylor

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Travis d'Arnaud

MLB · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Austin Hedges

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Josh Lowe

MLB · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Yoan Moncada

MLB · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

David Fry

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jeimer Candelario

MLB · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Logan O'Hoppe

MLB · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Rhys Hoskins

MLB · Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Angels @ Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels logo

May 11, 6:10 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Leody Taveras

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Pete Alonso

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Tyler O'Neill

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

7-DAY IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Paul Goldschmidt

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Trent Grisham

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Samuel Basallo

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Austin Wells

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Adley Rutschman

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Cody Bellinger

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Aaron Judge

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Ben Rice

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

DAY-TO-DAY ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Blaze Alexander

MLB · Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →

MLB · Home Runs Model

Giancarlo Stanton

MLB · New York Yankees

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles logo

May 11, 6:35 PM

████

0.5

Line

Avail

10-DAY-IL ← recent

Odds

+110

Pred

24.5

+4.2%

Details →