Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Royals Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.70	9.8%	1.216	1.20u	Won	+2.04u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Phillies White Sox	First3 result	away	3.35	29.3%	0.677	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Nationals Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	65.9%	0.297	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Apr 20, 2024	mlb	Pirates Red Sox	First3 result	away	2.50	33.4%	0.179	0.60u	Won	+0.90u
Apr 20, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	away	4.00	32.1%	0.921	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Phillies White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	66.8%	0.263	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	away	2.45	30.7%	0.201	0.13u	Won	+0.19u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	away	2.65	12.6%	1.107	1.20u	Won	+1.98u
Apr 17, 2024	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First3 result	away	2.85	30.9%	0.393	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.392	0.70u	Won	+1.96u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Marlins Giants	First3 result	away	3.05	40.5%	0.144	0.28u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Astros Braves	First3 result	away	3.25	45.4%	0.369	0.82u	Won	+1.85u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Rays Angels	First3 result	away	3.25	39.2%	0.176	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.5%	0.651	1.16u	Won	+3.25u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Phillies Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	13.0%	0.220	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Rockies	First3 result	home	2.05	55.7%	0.141	0.67u	Won	+0.70u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	away	2.85	43.6%	0.060	0.14u	Won	+0.26u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Rays Giants	First3 result	away	3.10	42.6%	0.120	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Athletics Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.392	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	home	2.15	55.8%	0.199	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Mariners Cubs	First3 result	home	2.65	45.4%	0.204	0.15u	Won	+0.25u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First3 result	away	3.10	47.5%	0.256	0.61u	Won	+1.28u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.581	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Apr 11, 2024	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	8.4%	1.143	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Apr 11, 2024	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.394	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Angels Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.584	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Apr 10, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.393	0.70u	Won	+1.96u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Twins Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.5%	0.653	1.17u	Won	+3.28u
Apr 9, 2024	mlb	Giants Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.2%	0.395	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Yankees Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.393	0.70u	Won	+1.96u
Apr 8, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	away	2.75	45.4%	0.159	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	8.4%	1.145	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 7, 2024	mlb	Rockies Rays	First3 result	away	3.00	45.4%	0.264	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	12.1%	0.391	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 6, 2024	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.15	61.9%	0.330	1.10u	Won	+1.27u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	home	2.20	55.8%	0.227	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	away	3.55	40.5%	0.331	0.65u	Won	+1.66u
Apr 5, 2024	mlb	Rockies Rays	First3 result	home	2.45	45.4%	0.111	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 4, 2024	mlb	Mets Tigers	First3 result	away	2.60	47.5%	0.053	0.17u	Won	+0.27u
Apr 3, 2024	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	29.5%	0.653	1.17u	Lost	-1.17u
Apr 3, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.580	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Apr 2, 2024	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.116	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Apr 2, 2024	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	home	2.55	44.6%	0.139	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 2, 2024	mlb	Marlins Angels	First3 result	home	2.30	46.8%	0.076	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.252	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Orioles Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.202	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	White Sox Braves	First3 result	home	3.65	47.0%	0.717	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 1, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	home	2.35	45.6%	0.071	0.26u	Won	+0.35u
Mar 31, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.203	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Mar 30, 2024	mlb	Reds Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.115	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Mar 30, 2024	mlb	Athletics Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.6%	0.098	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Mar 30, 2024	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.165	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Mar 29, 2024	mlb	Mets Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.102	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Mar 29, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.5%	0.160	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Mar 29, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.1%	0.067	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.4%	0.130	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Mar 28, 2024	mlb	Orioles Angels	First3 result	away	3.05	46.1%	0.054	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Mar 20, 2024	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.75	43.5%	0.198	0.56u	Won	+0.98u
Oct 31, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.252	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Oct 30, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.263	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 28, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.2%	0.276	0.49u	Won	+1.37u
Oct 27, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.271	0.48u	Won	+1.34u
Oct 24, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.289	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
Oct 23, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.288	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Oct 23, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.6%	0.246	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Oct 22, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.6%	0.249	0.44u	Won	+1.23u
Oct 21, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.0%	0.258	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.260	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 20, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 19, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.6%	0.293	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
Oct 19, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.1%	0.240	0.43u	Won	+1.20u
Oct 18, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.260	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 17, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.204	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Oct 16, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.208	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 16, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.273	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Oct 15, 2023	mlb	Astros Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.9%	0.266	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 12, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.267	0.48u	Won	+1.34u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.259	0.46u	Won	+1.29u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.279	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.248	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.269	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.0%	0.325	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.7%	0.286	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.282	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.8%	0.276	0.49u	Won	+1.37u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.242	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.305	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.271	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.250	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Twins Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.298	0.53u	Won	+1.48u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.280	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.278	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 3, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	away	2.40	36.0%	0.050	0.18u	Won	+0.25u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	home	2.75	48.3%	0.330	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.0%	0.999	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	White Sox Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.3%	1.033	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	away	3.30	39.0%	0.307	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.65	43.7%	0.158	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.