Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.279	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 11, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.248	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.269	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 10, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.3%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.0%	0.325	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Oct 9, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.4%	0.264	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.7%	0.286	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Oct 8, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.282	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.8%	0.276	0.49u	Won	+1.37u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.242	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.0%	0.305	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Oct 7, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.271	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.250	0.27u	Won	+0.76u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Twins Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.298	0.53u	Won	+1.48u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.280	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 4, 2023	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.278	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 3, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	away	2.40	36.0%	0.050	0.18u	Won	+0.25u
Oct 1, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	home	2.75	48.3%	0.330	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.0%	0.999	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Sep 30, 2023	mlb	White Sox Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	27.3%	1.033	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First3 result	away	3.30	39.0%	0.307	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.65	43.7%	0.158	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Sep 29, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	home	2.20	50.5%	0.111	0.46u	Won	+0.55u
Sep 28, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.20	53.8%	0.479	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 28, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.85	54.7%	0.559	1.20u	Won	+2.22u
Sep 27, 2023	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First3 result	away	3.15	40.0%	0.214	0.24u	Won	+0.52u
Sep 27, 2023	mlb	Braves Cubs	First3 result	home	2.75	44.9%	0.234	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 27, 2023	mlb	Twins Athletics	First3 result	home	2.67	48.6%	0.298	0.89u	Won	+1.49u
Sep 26, 2023	mlb	Orioles Nationals	First3 result	home	2.95	51.2%	0.511	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
Sep 26, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	home	3.00	43.5%	0.306	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Sep 25, 2023	mlb	Angels Rangers	First3 result	home	2.65	55.8%	0.478	1.20u	Won	+1.98u
Sep 25, 2023	mlb	Giants Padres	First3 result	home	2.00	54.3%	0.086	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	3.25	51.3%	0.171	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First3 result	home	3.40	44.5%	0.513	1.07u	Won	+2.57u
Sep 24, 2023	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First3 result	away	3.05	39.5%	0.216	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First3 result	away	2.75	40.9%	0.056	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First3 result	away	2.70	43.5%	0.526	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 23, 2023	mlb	Astros Royals	First3 result	away	2.90	42.5%	0.082	0.22u	Won	+0.42u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	3.10	40.7%	0.262	0.62u	Won	+1.30u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	home	2.35	45.5%	0.069	0.14u	Won	+0.19u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	away	3.20	40.2%	0.274	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Sep 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Orioles	First3 result	away	2.90	47.6%	0.161	0.42u	Won	+0.80u
Sep 21, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	3.30	47.3%	0.329	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 21, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	home	3.20	53.4%	0.707	1.20u	Won	+2.64u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First3 result	home	3.15	49.4%	0.556	1.20u	Won	+2.58u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	away	3.15	51.1%	0.142	0.33u	Won	+0.71u
Sep 20, 2023	mlb	Reds Twins	First3 result	away	2.15	47.3%	0.133	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	3.15	37.9%	0.114	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	home	2.90	47.6%	0.380	1.00u	Won	+1.90u
Sep 19, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.45	37.9%	0.220	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 18, 2023	mlb	Reds Twins	First3 result	away	3.20	37.9%	0.132	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 17, 2023	mlb	Mariners Dodgers	First3 result	home	3.00	37.9%	0.137	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Sep 17, 2023	mlb	Marlins Braves	First3 result	away	3.40	37.9%	0.202	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Sep 16, 2023	mlb	Pirates Yankees	First3 result	home	2.85	37.9%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 16, 2023	mlb	Rockies Giants	First3 result	away	3.25	37.9%	0.149	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Sep 15, 2023	mlb	Angels Tigers	First3 result	home	2.85	37.9%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 13, 2023	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.637	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Sep 13, 2023	mlb	Orioles Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.35	37.9%	0.185	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Sep 12, 2023	mlb	Rockies Cubs	First3 result	away	3.40	37.9%	0.202	0.42u	Won	+1.01u
Sep 11, 2023	mlb	Twins Rays	First3 result	away	3.40	37.9%	0.202	0.42u	Won	+1.01u
Sep 10, 2023	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.80	37.9%	0.062	0.17u	Won	+0.31u
Sep 10, 2023	mlb	Rays Mariners	First3 result	away	3.15	37.9%	0.114	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 10, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.05	37.9%	0.078	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.60	47.6%	0.075	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.85	37.9%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.00	37.9%	0.061	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Sep 9, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	away	3.25	37.9%	0.149	0.33u	Won	+0.74u
Sep 8, 2023	mlb	Angels Guardians	First3 result	away	3.10	37.9%	0.096	0.23u	Won	+0.48u
Sep 8, 2023	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.20	37.9%	0.132	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 7, 2023	mlb	Rays Mariners	First3 result	away	3.70	37.9%	0.309	0.57u	Won	+1.54u
Sep 6, 2023	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	away	3.75	37.9%	0.326	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	away	3.15	22.7%	0.406	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Sep 5, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	home	2.60	50.7%	0.317	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Padres Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.273	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Reds Mariners	First3 result	home	2.65	50.9%	0.349	1.06u	Won	+1.75u
Sep 4, 2023	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.278	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.631	1.13u	Won	+3.16u
Sep 3, 2023	mlb	Rockies Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.65	51.0%	0.351	0.67u	Won	+1.11u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.2%	0.251	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Rangers Twins	First3 result	home	2.50	51.2%	0.281	0.94u	Won	+1.41u
Sep 2, 2023	mlb	Guardians Rays	First3 result	home	2.75	44.3%	0.217	0.41u	Won	+0.72u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	home	2.70	51.1%	0.380	1.12u	Lost	-1.12u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Reds Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.282	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
Sep 1, 2023	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.276	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Aug 31, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.4%	0.261	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	home	2.90	51.0%	0.479	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Aug 30, 2023	mlb	Tigers Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.599	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.281	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Mets Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.6%	0.247	0.31u	Won	+0.87u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Orioles White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.4%	0.263	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Aug 29, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.8%	0.289	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First3 result	home	2.95	50.9%	0.500	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 28, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Padres	First3 result	away	3.05	21.0%	0.387	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Tigers Astros	First3 result	home	2.45	44.1%	0.081	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.5%	0.313	0.56u	Won	+1.57u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.8%	0.290	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Aug 27, 2023	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First3 result	home	2.15	50.8%	0.092	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Brewers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.612	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
Aug 26, 2023	mlb	Mets Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.605	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Aug 25, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First3 result	away	2.95	21.1%	0.344	0.68u	Won	+1.33u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.