Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 25, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.09	41.2%	0.186	0.45u	Won	+0.94u
May 24, 2023	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	away	3.39	33.9%	0.667	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 24, 2023	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.36	66.9%	0.578	0.60u	Won	+0.82u
May 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	home	2.64	41.1%	0.086	0.26u	Won	+0.43u
May 22, 2023	mlb	Pirates Rangers	First3 result	away	3.53	41.1%	0.356	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
May 22, 2023	mlb	Rockies Marlins	First3 result	away	2.33	34.6%	0.168	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 21, 2023	mlb	Reds Yankees	First3 result	away	2.90	34.6%	0.454	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
May 21, 2023	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	3.90	42.1%	0.533	0.92u	Won	+2.67u
May 20, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	47.3%	0.357	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 20, 2023	mlb	Reds Yankees	First3 result	away	3.44	43.2%	0.214	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 20, 2023	mlb	White Sox Royals	First3 result	away	2.30	34.6%	0.153	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
May 19, 2023	mlb	Mets Guardians	First3 result	away	3.17	41.1%	0.218	0.21u	Won	+0.46u
May 19, 2023	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First3 result	home	2.44	53.9%	0.315	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
May 19, 2023	mlb	Angels Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.5%	0.283	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 18, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.117	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 17, 2023	mlb	Astros Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.117	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 17, 2023	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	away	3.34	43.2%	0.179	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Padres Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.3%	0.075	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.5%	0.104	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.6%	0.083	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 16, 2023	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.8%	0.134	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Athletics Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.4%	0.077	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Orioles Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.130	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Rockies Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.7%	0.109	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.7%	0.132	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Nationals Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.7%	0.108	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Athletics Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.7%	0.084	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.7%	0.130	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.142	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.095	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.2%	0.098	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Orioles Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.9%	0.137	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Marlins Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.3%	0.101	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.104	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 13, 2023	mlb	White Sox Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.0%	0.137	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Twins Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.116	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Brewers Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.113	0.20u	Won	+0.56u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.120	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Orioles Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.117	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Nationals Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.122	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.6%	0.105	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.3%	0.100	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.5%	0.102	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Tigers Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Orioles Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.116	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Guardians Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.110	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.5%	0.103	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.2%	0.074	0.13u	Won	+0.36u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Twins Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.128	0.23u	Won	+0.64u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Reds Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.5%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	home	3.22	35.9%	0.158	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.115	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Phillies Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.3%	0.098	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.6%	0.106	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.5%	0.105	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Twins Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.100	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.100	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.7%	0.131	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.111	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.7%	0.087	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Reds Mets	First3 result	away	3.26	36.5%	0.170	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Angels Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.9%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.9%	0.090	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Giants Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.3%	0.078	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	away	2.86	34.7%	0.103	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.127	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.5%	0.082	0.15u	Won	+0.42u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.100	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Royals White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.2%	0.097	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.125	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Pirates Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.9%	0.139	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.8%	0.088	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Guardians Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.140	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Giants Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.095	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Reds White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.6%	0.083	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Braves Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Phillies Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.2%	0.141	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.7%	0.129	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.101	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Guardians Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.7%	0.107	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	37.8%	0.090	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Pirates Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.100	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.093	0.17u	Won	+0.48u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Guardians Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.107	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Giants Brewers	First3 result	away	3.19	37.4%	0.089	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.3%	0.097	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First3 result	home	3.05	41.3%	0.261	0.64u	Won	+1.31u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Rays Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.121	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.092	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.0%	0.093	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 4, 2023	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.121	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Tigers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.117	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.2%	0.121	0.22u	Won	+0.62u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.6%	0.131	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 3, 2023	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.0%	0.114	0.20u	Won	+0.56u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.7%	0.108	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.