Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.06 | 40.2% | 0.142 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 2.83 | 39.3% | 0.064 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Sep 9, 2022 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.66 | 39.8% | 0.060 | 0.18u | Won | +0.30u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.75 | 40.7% | 0.119 | 0.34u | Won | +0.60u |
| Sep 8, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.31 | 40.0% | 0.232 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 3.48 | 40.2% | 0.398 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Sep 7, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 4.11 | 40.6% | 0.667 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 2.29 | 18.9% | 0.498 | 1.20u | Won | +1.55u |
| Sep 6, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.60 | 34.0% | 0.450 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.92 | 30.0% | 0.247 | 0.60u | Won | +1.15u |
| Sep 5, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 2.55 | 20.2% | 0.641 | 1.20u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 3.47 | 35.0% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 2.43 | 19.2% | 0.585 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 28.7% | 0.283 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 3, 2022 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 4.12 | 33.5% | 0.672 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 2.42 | 13.5% | 0.690 | 0.60u | Won | +0.85u |
| Sep 2, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 3.27 | 18.9% | 1.140 | 1.20u | Won | +2.72u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.56 | 21.6% | 0.621 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Sep 1, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 4.18 | 36.1% | 0.630 | 0.99u | Won | +3.15u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.7% | 0.150 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 3.64 | 42.0% | 0.177 | 0.33u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.28 | 33.3% | 0.336 | 0.74u | Won | +1.69u |
| Aug 31, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 2.92 | 35.9% | 0.142 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.7% | 0.133 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.81 | 35.6% | 0.105 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 3.87 | 38.1% | 0.462 | 0.81u | Won | +2.32u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 3.79 | 20.9% | 1.421 | 1.20u | Won | +3.35u |
| Aug 29, 2022 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.01 | 35.6% | 0.184 | 0.46u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.6% | 0.458 | 0.82u | Won | +2.30u |
| Aug 28, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.76 | 33.0% | 0.539 | 0.98u | Won | +2.70u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 3.39 | 25.0% | 1.051 | 1.20u | Won | +2.87u |
| Aug 27, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 3.08 | 19.9% | 0.992 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 3.36 | 48.8% | 0.639 | 1.20u | Won | +2.83u |
| Aug 26, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.36 | 18.7% | 0.549 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 52.4% | 0.230 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 25, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.89 | 35.6% | 0.530 | 0.92u | Won | +2.66u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.94 | 36.2% | 0.145 | 0.23u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.61 | 40.7% | 0.193 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 24, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.13 | 13.6% | 1.297 | 1.20u | Won | +2.56u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 3.25 | 40.6% | 0.320 | 0.71u | Won | +1.60u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 36.0% | 0.114 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 23, 2022 | mlb |
Mariners
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.42 | 35.4% | 0.399 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Angels
|
First3 result | home | 2.69 | 40.6% | 0.093 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 22, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 3.19 | 35.8% | 0.248 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 21, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 2.84 | 41.5% | 0.178 | 0.48u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 2.48 | 27.5% | 0.188 | 0.51u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 3.54 | 42.4% | 0.246 | 0.48u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 20, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.71 | 35.0% | 0.440 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 3.22 | 37.0% | 0.233 | 0.52u | Won | +1.15u |
| Aug 19, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.76 | 46.7% | 0.297 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 18, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 2.34 | 30.4% | 0.109 | 0.41u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.93 | 37.8% | 0.190 | 0.49u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 2.47 | 30.6% | 0.294 | 1.00u | Won | +1.47u |
| Aug 17, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 2.77 | 38.1% | 0.077 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 31.3% | 0.265 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 16, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.90 | 35.8% | 0.177 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 15, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 2.36 | 32.9% | 0.062 | 0.23u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 34.1% | 0.421 | 0.91u | Won | +2.09u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First3 result | away | 3.23 | 40.1% | 0.148 | 0.11u | Won | +0.25u |
| Aug 14, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 3.31 | 41.2% | 0.362 | 0.78u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.97 | 23.6% | 0.560 | 1.20u | Won | +2.36u |
| Aug 13, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 3.36 | 37.5% | 0.260 | 0.55u | Won | +1.30u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 3.39 | 45.6% | 0.547 | 1.14u | Won | +2.72u |
| Aug 12, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.99 | 26.6% | 0.507 | 0.66u | Won | +1.31u |
| Aug 11, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.19 | 35.0% | 0.282 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.71 | 31.7% | 0.743 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 10, 2022 | mlb |
Brewers
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.69 | 19.8% | 0.478 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Dodgers
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.66 | 45.1% | 0.199 | 0.60u | Won | +1.00u |
| Aug 9, 2022 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.14 | 59.1% | 0.265 | 1.16u | Won | +1.32u |
| Aug 8, 2022 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.91 | 42.8% | 0.171 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.56 | 45.1% | 0.154 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.490 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 7, 2022 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 45.2% | 0.176 | 0.55u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 3.01 | 45.2% | 0.361 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Aug 6, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 3.11 | 45.2% | 0.406 | 0.96u | Won | +2.03u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.488 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 5, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.491 | 0.88u | Won | +2.46u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First3 result | home | 3.21 | 45.2% | 0.452 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 4, 2022 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.83 | 45.1% | 0.275 | 0.75u | Won | +1.37u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 45.2% | 0.265 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Aug 3, 2022 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
First3 result | home | 3.46 | 45.1% | 0.560 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First3 result | home | 3.34 | 45.0% | 0.505 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 2, 2022 | mlb |
Guardians
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 3.91 | 45.2% | 0.766 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 1, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.22 | 45.3% | 0.457 | 1.03u | Won | +2.29u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 2.66 | 45.2% | 0.202 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 45.2% | 0.152 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Jul 31, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 3.37 | 59.1% | 0.378 | 0.80u | Won | +1.90u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Rays
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 3.39 | 48.5% | 0.144 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.90 | 45.1% | 0.307 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.47 | 45.1% | 0.092 | 0.19u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 30, 2022 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.71 | 42.8% | 0.160 | 0.47u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Braves
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.489 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 42.8% | 0.263 | 0.46u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 29, 2022 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 4.11 | 45.2% | 0.295 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.69 | 48.6% | 0.307 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Jul 28, 2022 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.7% | 0.491 | 0.88u | Won | +2.46u |
| Jul 27, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
First3 result | home | 2.82 | 45.1% | 0.271 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 46.9% | 0.465 | 0.83u | Won | +2.32u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Royals
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 43.2% | 0.361 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 26, 2022 | mlb |
Red Sox
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.2% | 0.335 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.