Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.6%	0.290	0.52u	Won	+1.46u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.4%	0.319	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Royals Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	62.3%	0.432	0.77u	Won	+2.16u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	home	3.13	43.1%	0.348	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Marlins Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.0%	0.326	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Rays Tigers	First3 result	home	2.79	45.0%	0.256	0.62u	Won	+1.11u
Nov 5, 2022	mlb	Astros Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.3%	0.298	0.53u	Won	+1.48u
Nov 3, 2022	mlb	Phillies Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.4%	0.102	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Nov 2, 2022	mlb	Phillies Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.8%	0.099	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Oct 28, 2022	mlb	Astros Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.125	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Oct 23, 2022	mlb	Yankees Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.9%	0.098	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Oct 19, 2022	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.138	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
Oct 18, 2022	mlb	Padres Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.0%	0.350	0.63u	Won	+1.76u
Oct 18, 2022	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.2%	0.377	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Oct 16, 2022	mlb	Guardians Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.1%	0.352	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Oct 15, 2022	mlb	Guardians Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.358	0.64u	Won	+1.79u
Oct 15, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.363	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Oct 15, 2022	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.349	0.51u	Won	+1.43u
Oct 14, 2022	mlb	Phillies Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.337	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Oct 14, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.3%	0.357	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Oct 14, 2022	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.1%	0.325	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Oct 13, 2022	mlb	Astros Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.385	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Oct 12, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.325	0.58u	Won	+1.62u
Oct 12, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.0%	0.374	0.67u	Won	+1.88u
Oct 11, 2022	mlb	Astros Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.5%	0.347	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Oct 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	30.6%	0.367	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Oct 11, 2022	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.2%	0.426	0.76u	Won	+2.13u
Oct 9, 2022	mlb	Mets Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.3%	0.381	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Oct 8, 2022	mlb	Mets Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.5%	0.366	0.42u	Won	+1.18u
Oct 8, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.8%	0.376	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Oct 8, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.9%	0.397	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Oct 7, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.6%	0.342	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Oct 7, 2022	mlb	Mets Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.358	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Oct 7, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	32.7%	0.358	0.64u	Won	+1.79u
Oct 5, 2022	mlb	Marlins Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	33.7%	0.374	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 5, 2022	mlb	Rangers Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.6%	0.406	0.72u	Won	+2.02u
Oct 5, 2022	mlb	Brewers Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	31.9%	0.398	0.71u	Won	+1.99u
Oct 4, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	home	2.27	53.5%	0.215	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Oct 4, 2022	mlb	Rangers Yankees	First3 result	away	3.97	45.1%	0.167	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Oct 4, 2022	mlb	Reds Cubs	First3 result	home	2.73	47.0%	0.283	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Oct 3, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.86	46.9%	0.156	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Oct 3, 2022	mlb	Astros Phillies	First3 result	home	2.36	46.6%	0.099	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Oct 3, 2022	mlb	Padres Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.2%	0.448	0.80u	Won	+2.24u
Oct 3, 2022	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	home	2.46	45.2%	0.111	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Oct 2, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	home	3.14	46.5%	0.459	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Oct 2, 2022	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.3%	0.476	0.85u	Won	+2.38u
Oct 1, 2022	mlb	Padres White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.1%	0.449	0.80u	Won	+2.24u
Oct 1, 2022	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	home	2.70	45.2%	0.220	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Sep 30, 2022	mlb	Guardians Royals	First3 result	away	4.24	16.1%	0.901	1.20u	Won	+3.89u
Sep 30, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.0%	0.507	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Sep 29, 2022	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.3%	0.376	0.67u	Won	+1.88u
Sep 29, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	home	2.61	46.4%	0.211	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Sep 28, 2022	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.1%	0.554	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Sep 28, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.1%	0.613	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
Sep 27, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.3%	0.466	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Sep 27, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.5%	0.566	1.01u	Lost	-1.01u
Sep 26, 2022	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	home	3.10	52.5%	0.628	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 26, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.5%	0.141	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
Sep 25, 2022	mlb	Twins Angels	First3 result	home	3.56	45.8%	0.631	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 25, 2022	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.540	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 24, 2022	mlb	Twins Angels	First3 result	home	2.84	45.7%	0.299	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 24, 2022	mlb	Orioles Astros	First3 result	home	4.10	45.4%	0.862	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 23, 2022	mlb	Rockies Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.8%	0.665	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Sep 23, 2022	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.1%	0.529	0.61u	Won	+1.71u
Sep 22, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.67	45.3%	0.208	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Sep 22, 2022	mlb	Orioles Astros	First3 result	home	3.02	46.5%	0.404	1.00u	Won	+2.02u
Sep 22, 2022	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First3 result	home	2.42	46.8%	0.132	0.18u	Won	+0.26u
Sep 21, 2022	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First3 result	home	2.10	53.0%	0.113	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Sep 21, 2022	mlb	Rockies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.7%	0.594	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Sep 21, 2022	mlb	Yankees Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.4%	0.201	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Sep 20, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	away	3.57	40.2%	0.329	0.64u	Won	+1.64u
Sep 20, 2022	mlb	Phillies Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.45	40.2%	0.285	0.44u	Won	+1.08u
Sep 20, 2022	mlb	Reds Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.71	39.8%	0.390	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Sep 19, 2022	mlb	Rays Astros	First3 result	away	3.40	40.3%	0.267	0.56u	Won	+1.34u
Sep 19, 2022	mlb	Guardians Twins	First3 result	away	3.86	39.9%	0.447	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Sep 18, 2022	mlb	Angels Mariners	First3 result	away	3.75	40.2%	0.398	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Sep 18, 2022	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	away	4.65	40.0%	0.739	1.01u	Lost	-1.01u
Sep 17, 2022	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	away	3.35	40.0%	0.252	0.32u	Won	+0.75u
Sep 17, 2022	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	away	3.62	40.2%	0.351	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 17, 2022	mlb	Astros Athletics	First3 result	home	3.45	40.5%	0.398	0.81u	Won	+1.98u
Sep 16, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First3 result	away	3.89	40.1%	0.455	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Sep 16, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First3 result	away	3.27	40.5%	0.205	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 16, 2022	mlb	Angels Mariners	First3 result	away	3.12	40.3%	0.156	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Sep 15, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First3 result	away	3.34	40.3%	0.228	0.49u	Won	+1.15u
Sep 15, 2022	mlb	Astros Athletics	First3 result	away	3.25	40.2%	0.204	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 15, 2022	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	away	3.53	39.9%	0.321	0.63u	Won	+1.59u
Sep 14, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	away	3.15	40.0%	0.175	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Sep 14, 2022	mlb	Guardians Angels	First3 result	home	2.87	40.1%	0.150	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 13, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First3 result	home	2.71	40.4%	0.096	0.28u	Won	+0.48u
Sep 13, 2022	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	home	2.92	40.1%	0.172	0.45u	Won	+0.86u
Sep 13, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	away	4.41	39.9%	0.650	0.95u	Won	+3.24u
Sep 12, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	home	2.83	40.4%	0.142	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Sep 12, 2022	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	home	2.97	40.3%	0.197	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Sep 12, 2022	mlb	Marlins Rangers	First3 result	away	3.44	40.0%	0.284	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Sep 11, 2022	mlb	Mariners Braves	First3 result	away	3.26	40.0%	0.219	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Sep 11, 2022	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	away	3.34	40.2%	0.243	0.52u	Won	+1.22u
Sep 11, 2022	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	away	3.48	38.9%	0.315	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Sep 10, 2022	mlb	Mariners Braves	First3 result	home	2.61	40.3%	0.051	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Sep 10, 2022	mlb	Marlins Mets	First3 result	home	2.76	40.0%	0.104	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 10, 2022	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	away	2.94	40.3%	0.093	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.