Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 3, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.9%	0.113	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.7%	0.203	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Royals Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.6%	0.267	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Rays Pirates	First3 result	home	2.57	44.4%	0.142	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.3%	0.375	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
May 1, 2023	mlb	Astros Giants	First3 result	home	2.71	43.1%	0.169	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Apr 30, 2023	mlb	Brewers Angels	First3 result	home	2.52	41.7%	0.051	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 30, 2023	mlb	White Sox Rays	First3 result	home	2.63	43.3%	0.140	0.43u	Won	+0.70u
Apr 29, 2023	mlb	Brewers Angels	First3 result	away	3.00	38.9%	0.476	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
Apr 29, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Guardians	First3 result	away	3.26	44.2%	0.082	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 29, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.6%	0.134	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
Apr 28, 2023	mlb	Mets Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.2%	0.188	0.34u	Won	+0.95u
Apr 27, 2023	mlb	Mets Nationals	First3 result	away	3.62	43.4%	0.296	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Apr 27, 2023	mlb	White Sox Rays	First3 result	home	2.54	42.3%	0.075	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 27, 2023	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.8%	0.098	0.18u	Won	+0.50u
Apr 27, 2023	mlb	Tigers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.5%	0.124	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 26, 2023	mlb	Giants Cardinals	First3 result	away	2.79	46.1%	0.152	0.43u	Won	+0.77u
Apr 26, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.25	43.9%	0.092	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 26, 2023	mlb	Phillies Mariners	First3 result	away	3.12	44.5%	0.089	0.21u	Won	+0.45u
Apr 25, 2023	mlb	Braves Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.6%	0.162	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
Apr 24, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.7%	0.337	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 23, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First3 result	away	3.93	44.2%	0.466	0.60u	Won	+1.76u
Apr 23, 2023	mlb	Braves Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.4%	0.779	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Apr 22, 2023	mlb	Orioles Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.6%	0.261	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Apr 22, 2023	mlb	Rays White Sox	First3 result	away	2.54	41.9%	0.145	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 22, 2023	mlb	Braves Astros	First3 result	away	3.60	42.0%	0.277	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Apr 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.09	43.2%	0.191	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 21, 2023	mlb	Mariners Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.49	44.5%	0.251	0.50u	Won	+1.25u
Apr 19, 2023	mlb	Reds Rays	First3 result	home	3.23	44.0%	0.421	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.6%	0.114	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.8%	0.104	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Royals Rangers	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.106	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.35	30.8%	0.051	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Rockies Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.109	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Mariners Brewers	First3 result	home	2.17	52.0%	0.129	0.55u	Won	+0.64u
Apr 17, 2023	mlb	Marlins Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.112	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 17, 2023	mlb	Astros Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.30	52.5%	0.208	0.80u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 17, 2023	mlb	Athletics Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.363	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Apr 16, 2023	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First3 result	home	2.90	67.3%	0.952	1.20u	Won	+2.28u
Apr 16, 2023	mlb	Athletics Mets	First3 result	away	3.44	30.7%	0.531	0.60u	Won	+1.46u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Royals Braves	First3 result	away	2.61	36.3%	0.072	0.20u	Won	+0.32u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.6%	0.342	0.61u	Won	+1.71u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Tigers Giants	First3 result	away	2.95	30.7%	0.314	0.80u	Won	+1.56u
Apr 14, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.748	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Apr 14, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	home	2.89	58.4%	0.687	0.60u	Won	+1.13u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Reds Phillies	First3 result	away	2.99	39.1%	0.177	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Orioles Athletics	First3 result	away	3.02	32.4%	0.325	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First3 result	away	3.26	35.6%	0.142	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 12, 2023	mlb	Pirates Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.7%	0.340	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 12, 2023	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	away	2.41	0.0%	0.538	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 11, 2023	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	away	3.41	30.7%	0.517	0.64u	Won	+1.54u
Apr 11, 2023	mlb	Guardians Yankees	First3 result	away	3.57	30.8%	0.594	1.16u	Won	+2.98u
Apr 10, 2023	mlb	Orioles Athletics	First3 result	away	2.47	30.8%	0.103	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Apr 9, 2023	mlb	Tigers Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	52.0%	0.116	0.10u	Won	+0.28u
Apr 9, 2023	mlb	Giants Royals	First3 result	away	3.49	30.8%	0.533	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Apr 9, 2023	mlb	Angels Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.73	30.7%	0.218	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Apr 8, 2023	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	away	2.27	0.0%	0.452	0.60u	Won	+0.76u
Apr 8, 2023	mlb	Twins Astros	First3 result	home	2.21	73.6%	0.627	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 7, 2023	mlb	Giants Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.366	0.65u	Won	+1.82u
Apr 7, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.372	0.66u	Won	+1.85u
Apr 7, 2023	mlb	Cubs Rangers	First3 result	away	2.63	23.6%	0.274	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Apr 6, 2023	mlb	Braves Padres	First3 result	home	2.84	65.2%	0.851	1.20u	Won	+2.21u
Apr 6, 2023	mlb	White Sox Giants	First3 result	away	2.46	30.9%	0.083	0.28u	Won	+0.41u
Apr 6, 2023	mlb	Rockies Nationals	First3 result	away	2.36	30.7%	0.051	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 5, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First3 result	away	3.11	30.7%	0.384	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 5, 2023	mlb	White Sox Giants	First3 result	home	3.21	73.5%	1.361	1.20u	Won	+2.65u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	49.6%	0.543	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	home	2.46	44.9%	0.104	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Yankees Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.1%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	62.3%	0.123	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.0%	0.112	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Brewers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.5%	0.292	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Marlins Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.1%	0.301	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.1%	0.301	0.54u	Won	+1.51u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Brewers Mets	First3 result	home	2.64	47.5%	0.253	0.77u	Won	+1.26u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	home	2.49	45.3%	0.128	0.43u	Won	+0.64u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Yankees Phillies	First3 result	home	2.30	47.8%	0.099	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	58.3%	0.254	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Astros Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.5%	0.139	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Marlins Twins	First3 result	home	2.56	43.8%	0.120	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	59.9%	0.523	0.93u	Won	+2.60u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Brewers Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.096	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Yankees Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.6%	0.091	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	White Sox Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.8%	0.111	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Athletics Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.1%	0.422	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.53	65.5%	0.657	1.20u	Won	+1.84u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Reds Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.1%	0.104	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.075	0.13u	Won	+0.36u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Royals Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.1%	0.088	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Marlins Mets	First3 result	home	2.30	47.7%	0.098	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	57.0%	0.296	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.4%	0.147	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	3.10	46.0%	0.426	1.01u	Won	+2.12u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First3 result	home	2.44	45.6%	0.112	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.7%	0.138	0.25u	Won	+0.70u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Padres Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	38.4%	0.161	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Astros White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.2%	0.082	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Mariners Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.1%	0.081	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Marlins Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.6%	0.267	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.