Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 25, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.626	1.12u	Won	+3.14u
Aug 24, 2023	mlb	Guardians Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.6%	0.251	0.29u	Won	+0.81u
Aug 24, 2023	mlb	Astros Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.7%	0.296	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Aug 24, 2023	mlb	Twins Rangers	First3 result	away	3.25	22.4%	0.442	0.98u	Won	+2.21u
Aug 23, 2023	mlb	Tigers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	20.9%	0.280	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Aug 23, 2023	mlb	Angels Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.2%	0.252	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Aug 23, 2023	mlb	Angels Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	22.2%	0.279	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
Aug 23, 2023	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	21.0%	0.267	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 22, 2023	mlb	Rays Rockies	First3 result	away	3.25	4.2%	1.187	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 22, 2023	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	home	2.75	60.5%	0.665	0.60u	Won	+1.05u
Aug 21, 2023	mlb	Phillies Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.6%	0.685	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 21, 2023	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	55.8%	0.680	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Aug 20, 2023	mlb	Cubs Royals	First3 result	away	2.95	15.3%	0.408	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Aug 20, 2023	mlb	Rangers Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.2%	0.420	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Aug 20, 2023	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	0.409	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Aug 19, 2023	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.2%	0.418	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Aug 19, 2023	mlb	Angels Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	6.0%	0.571	1.02u	Won	+2.86u
Aug 18, 2023	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	0.404	0.72u	Won	+2.02u
Aug 18, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	6.0%	0.568	1.01u	Lost	-1.01u
Aug 17, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	6.0%	0.560	1.00u	Won	+2.80u
Aug 17, 2023	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.95	35.7%	0.054	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 16, 2023	mlb	Mets Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.068	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Aug 16, 2023	mlb	Braves Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.071	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 15, 2023	mlb	Padres Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	6.0%	0.572	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Aug 15, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	58.8%	0.564	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Padres Orioles	First3 result	home	2.80	38.8%	0.087	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.072	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 14, 2023	mlb	Braves Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.7%	0.072	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Mets Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.2%	0.415	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Rays Guardians	First3 result	away	3.75	35.7%	0.356	0.32u	Won	+0.88u
Aug 13, 2023	mlb	Pirates Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.2%	0.414	0.74u	Won	+2.07u
Aug 12, 2023	mlb	Giants Rangers	First3 result	home	2.20	60.5%	0.331	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 12, 2023	mlb	Mariners Orioles	First3 result	away	3.40	6.0%	0.803	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 11, 2023	mlb	Marlins Yankees	First3 result	away	2.25	12.5%	0.751	0.60u	Won	+0.75u
Aug 11, 2023	mlb	Nationals Athletics	First3 result	away	3.35	6.0%	0.772	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 10, 2023	mlb	Rays Cardinals	First3 result	away	4.00	15.3%	0.905	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 10, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	home	2.25	60.6%	0.364	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Mariners Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	0.411	0.73u	Won	+2.04u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	home	2.10	60.6%	0.273	0.34u	Won	+0.37u
Aug 9, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	15.3%	0.407	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Aug 8, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	home	3.15	37.8%	0.192	0.45u	Won	+0.97u
Aug 8, 2023	mlb	Tigers Twins	First3 result	away	3.30	37.8%	0.231	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Guardians Blue Jays	First3 result	home	2.85	37.8%	0.079	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First3 result	away	3.00	37.8%	0.119	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First3 result	home	3.40	37.8%	0.287	0.60u	Won	+1.44u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.15	37.8%	0.175	0.41u	Won	+0.88u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	away	2.95	37.8%	0.101	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First3 result	away	3.10	37.8%	0.157	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	away	2.95	37.8%	0.101	0.26u	Won	+0.51u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First3 result	away	3.10	37.8%	0.156	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First3 result	away	3.40	37.8%	0.268	0.56u	Won	+1.34u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers White Sox	First3 result	away	3.60	37.8%	0.343	0.66u	Won	+1.72u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.99	36.3%	0.085	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Braves Angels	First3 result	away	3.46	37.8%	0.291	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First3 result	away	3.52	37.8%	0.313	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Nationals Brewers	First3 result	away	3.09	37.8%	0.153	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Jul 31, 2023	mlb	Cubs Reds	First3 result	away	2.83	37.8%	0.056	0.15u	Won	+0.27u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	away	2.90	37.8%	0.082	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Mets Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.3%	0.063	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Marlins Tigers	First3 result	away	2.82	37.8%	0.052	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 26, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	First3 result	away	2.95	37.8%	0.101	0.26u	Won	+0.51u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Tigers Angels	First3 result	away	3.30	41.1%	0.193	0.42u	Won	+0.97u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Yankees Mets	First3 result	away	2.05	0.0%	0.347	1.20u	Won	+1.26u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.15	42.0%	0.087	0.18u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Phillies Orioles	First3 result	away	3.20	43.0%	0.165	0.38u	Won	+0.84u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Brewers Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.9%	0.173	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.630	0.60u	Won	+1.68u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	home	2.13	79.8%	0.700	1.20u	Won	+1.36u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Brewers Braves	First3 result	away	3.15	40.9%	0.101	0.23u	Won	+0.49u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	home	2.65	42.9%	0.136	0.41u	Won	+0.68u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.0%	0.081	0.14u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Nationals Giants	First3 result	home	2.97	35.9%	0.067	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	35.1%	0.231	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Twins White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.7%	0.106	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	First3 result	away	2.94	36.1%	0.149	0.38u	Won	+0.74u
Jul 20, 2023	mlb	Mets White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.686	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 19, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	First3 result	away	2.90	0.0%	1.085	1.20u	Won	+2.28u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Rangers Rays	First3 result	home	2.80	41.2%	0.153	0.42u	Won	+0.76u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Pirates Giants	First3 result	home	2.83	42.3%	0.198	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.489	0.87u	Won	+2.44u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Mets Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.483	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Phillies Padres	First3 result	home	3.26	36.7%	0.197	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Phillies Padres	First3 result	away	3.58	36.5%	0.421	0.82u	Won	+2.12u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Athletics Twins	First3 result	away	3.27	36.8%	0.526	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Jul 9, 2023	mlb	Padres Mets	First3 result	home	2.80	41.9%	0.174	0.48u	Won	+0.86u
Jul 8, 2023	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.78	43.4%	0.207	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Jul 8, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First3 result	home	2.88	43.3%	0.248	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First3 result	away	2.50	32.9%	0.236	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First3 result	home	2.51	43.6%	0.093	0.31u	Won	+0.47u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	away	3.25	33.0%	0.612	1.20u	Won	+2.70u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Twins Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	63.1%	0.401	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 4, 2023	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First3 result	home	2.30	64.6%	0.486	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 3, 2023	mlb	Nationals Reds	First3 result	away	2.90	32.7%	0.424	1.12u	Won	+2.13u
Jul 2, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First3 result	home	2.55	43.5%	0.110	0.35u	Won	+0.54u
Jul 2, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	61.9%	0.450	0.80u	Won	+2.24u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First3 result	home	2.91	41.9%	0.218	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Cubs Guardians	First3 result	home	2.98	42.0%	0.253	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jun 30, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First3 result	home	3.01	43.4%	0.307	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Marlins	First3 result	home	2.70	43.5%	0.174	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Astros	First3 result	home	2.65	43.8%	0.160	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.