Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Angels White Sox	First3 result	home	2.55	42.8%	0.091	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jun 28, 2023	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First3 result	away	3.26	32.5%	0.594	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First3 result	away	2.98	36.8%	0.136	0.34u	Won	+0.67u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.489	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.259	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 26, 2023	mlb	Angels White Sox	First3 result	away	3.14	39.8%	0.143	0.33u	Won	+0.71u
Jun 26, 2023	mlb	Mariners Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.258	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	away	2.59	16.5%	0.310	0.94u	Won	+1.49u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.481	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First3 result	away	3.03	40.0%	0.092	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.253	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	Orioles Mariners	First3 result	away	3.32	0.0%	1.006	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	away	3.33	16.6%	0.680	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First3 result	away	3.49	39.8%	0.266	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Athletics	First3 result	away	3.68	0.0%	1.233	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.471	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.08	39.8%	0.118	0.28u	Won	+0.58u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Marlins Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.252	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.253	0.45u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Guardians Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.255	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Cubs Orioles	First3 result	away	3.42	39.7%	0.252	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.84	39.8%	0.131	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.512	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.5%	0.248	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Padres Rays	First3 result	away	3.44	39.8%	0.250	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.486	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First3 result	away	3.06	39.8%	0.113	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	away	2.98	39.9%	0.077	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Twins Tigers	First3 result	away	3.12	39.8%	0.133	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First3 result	home	2.73	39.8%	0.086	0.25u	Won	+0.43u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	16.6%	0.258	0.42u	Won	+1.18u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Tigers Braves	First3 result	home	3.35	39.7%	0.331	0.71u	Won	+1.67u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rockies	First3 result	home	3.21	40.4%	0.297	0.67u	Won	+1.48u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Twins Brewers	First3 result	away	3.13	26.7%	0.575	1.20u	Won	+2.56u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	away	2.80	33.9%	0.274	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Royals Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Mariners Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.9%	0.281	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Giants	First3 result	home	3.18	42.2%	0.342	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.67	40.2%	0.074	0.15u	Won	+0.25u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Giants Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	away	2.35	26.7%	0.183	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Pirates Mets	First3 result	home	2.86	42.2%	0.207	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Jun 10, 2023	mlb	Brewers Athletics	First3 result	home	2.00	61.8%	0.236	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Jun 10, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.9%	0.281	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jun 9, 2023	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 9, 2023	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 9, 2023	mlb	Rays Rangers	First3 result	away	3.11	34.2%	0.131	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 9, 2023	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Phillies Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.11u	Won	+0.31u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Reds Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First3 result	away	2.99	32.4%	0.189	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.9%	0.281	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Angels Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.9%	0.281	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jun 7, 2023	mlb	Rockies Giants	First3 result	away	2.15	26.8%	0.082	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 7, 2023	mlb	Rangers Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.117	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 7, 2023	mlb	Marlins Royals	First3 result	home	2.88	40.2%	0.159	0.42u	Won	+0.79u
Jun 7, 2023	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.120	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Rangers Cardinals	First3 result	away	3.26	40.2%	0.148	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Padres Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.4%	0.524	0.94u	Won	+2.63u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Guardians Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.117	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.117	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 5, 2023	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 5, 2023	mlb	Padres Cubs	First3 result	away	2.55	26.7%	0.282	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Jun 5, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.8%	0.285	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 4, 2023	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	away	2.48	33.9%	0.127	0.43u	Won	+0.64u
Jun 4, 2023	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.17u	Won	+0.48u
Jun 4, 2023	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	0.0%	0.711	1.20u	Won	+3.36u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.120	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Giants Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.120	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Mets Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	Royals Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.21u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	home	2.56	42.2%	0.081	0.26u	Won	+0.41u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	Mets Blue Jays	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.119	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 1, 2023	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	away	2.48	26.7%	0.248	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Jun 1, 2023	mlb	Twins Guardians	First3 result	draw	3.80	34.2%	0.118	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 31, 2023	mlb	Athletics Braves	First3 result	home	2.94	42.2%	0.241	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 31, 2023	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First3 result	away	2.99	26.7%	0.503	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 30, 2023	mlb	Marlins Padres	First3 result	home	2.50	66.8%	0.671	1.20u	Won	+1.80u
May 30, 2023	mlb	Astros Twins	First3 result	away	3.50	42.1%	0.376	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 29, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	home	3.05	34.6%	0.055	0.13u	Won	+0.27u
May 29, 2023	mlb	Orioles Guardians	First3 result	away	2.69	42.2%	0.057	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
May 29, 2023	mlb	Mariners Yankees	First3 result	away	3.04	42.2%	0.195	0.48u	Won	+0.98u
May 28, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	47.3%	0.357	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 28, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	First3 result	home	3.28	38.9%	0.275	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 28, 2023	mlb	Cubs Reds	First3 result	away	3.10	43.2%	0.094	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
May 28, 2023	mlb	Royals Nationals	First3 result	away	2.09	36.4%	0.098	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 27, 2023	mlb	Mariners Pirates	First3 result	home	3.73	41.1%	0.534	0.98u	Won	+2.68u
May 27, 2023	mlb	Royals Nationals	First3 result	away	2.73	34.6%	0.369	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
May 26, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.81	43.2%	0.215	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 26, 2023	mlb	Mariners Pirates	First3 result	home	3.25	41.2%	0.338	0.75u	Won	+1.69u
May 26, 2023	mlb	Yankees Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	36.5%	0.282	0.50u	Won	+1.40u
May 25, 2023	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	away	2.46	34.6%	0.233	0.80u	Won	+1.17u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.