Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 25, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First3 result	away	3.52	34.3%	0.718	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 25, 2022	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First3 result	home	2.83	51.1%	0.445	0.60u	Won	+1.10u
Jul 24, 2022	mlb	Royals Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	50.4%	0.502	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Jul 24, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.5%	0.504	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Jul 23, 2022	mlb	Mariners Astros	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.415	0.74u	Won	+2.07u
Jul 23, 2022	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.6%	0.368	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jul 23, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.0%	0.407	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jul 22, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.9%	0.374	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 22, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First3 result	home	2.11	65.6%	0.384	1.20u	Won	+1.33u
Jul 21, 2022	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.4%	0.458	0.82u	Won	+2.30u
Jul 21, 2022	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	40.1%	0.266	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 21, 2022	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.7%	0.317	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 19, 2022	mlb	All-Stars All-Stars	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.2%	0.426	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jul 17, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	47.0%	0.472	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Jul 17, 2022	mlb	Astros Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.1%	0.397	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jul 17, 2022	mlb	Rays Orioles	First3 result	home	3.31	38.8%	0.286	0.25u	Won	+0.58u
Jul 16, 2022	mlb	Rays Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.4%	0.328	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jul 16, 2022	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.9%	0.324	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jul 16, 2022	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.6%	0.398	0.71u	Won	+1.99u
Jul 15, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	48.1%	0.469	0.84u	Won	+2.35u
Jul 15, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.2%	0.335	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jul 15, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Royals	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.0%	0.366	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jul 14, 2022	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.0%	0.358	0.43u	Won	+1.20u
Jul 14, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.4%	0.408	0.73u	Won	+2.04u
Jul 14, 2022	mlb	Cubs Mets	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.4%	0.358	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jul 13, 2022	mlb	Cubs Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	47.9%	0.488	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jul 13, 2022	mlb	Yankees Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.0%	0.420	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Jul 13, 2022	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	43.7%	0.392	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Yankees Reds	First3 result	draw	3.80	49.8%	0.265	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	50.5%	0.244	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	50.3%	0.251	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Jul 12, 2022	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	49.3%	0.275	0.49u	Won	+1.37u
Jul 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.8%	0.144	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Jul 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Mets	First3 result	away	2.18	25.1%	0.127	0.54u	Won	+0.64u
Jul 11, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First3 result	draw	3.80	51.2%	0.228	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 11, 2022	mlb	Rockies Padres	First3 result	away	2.46	28.7%	0.164	0.56u	Won	+0.82u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	home	2.51	51.6%	0.296	0.98u	Won	+1.48u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Braves Nationals	First3 result	draw	3.80	50.8%	0.238	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jul 10, 2022	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	52.1%	0.206	0.37u	Won	+1.04u
Jul 9, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First3 result	home	3.47	41.4%	0.436	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jul 9, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	49.5%	0.269	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 9, 2022	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First3 result	draw	3.80	42.3%	0.439	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First3 result	home	2.54	53.1%	0.348	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jul 8, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	away	3.13	29.4%	0.464	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.0%	0.375	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.3%	0.166	0.30u	Won	+0.84u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Braves Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	41.8%	0.091	0.16u	Won	+0.45u
Jul 7, 2022	mlb	Mets Marlins	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.1%	0.149	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 6, 2022	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First3 result	home	2.76	53.8%	0.485	1.20u	Won	+2.11u
Jul 6, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First3 result	away	3.21	34.4%	0.388	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 5, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First3 result	home	2.63	50.9%	0.338	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Jul 5, 2022	mlb	White Sox Twins	First3 result	away	3.19	34.1%	0.383	0.87u	Won	+1.91u
Jul 4, 2022	mlb	Braves Cardinals	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.8%	0.137	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Jul 4, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First3 result	draw	3.80	52.1%	0.209	0.37u	Won	+1.04u
Jul 4, 2022	mlb	Astros Royals	First3 result	home	2.63	55.1%	0.450	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 3, 2022	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First3 result	draw	3.80	44.2%	0.166	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 3, 2022	mlb	Reds Braves	First3 result	home	2.49	54.8%	0.364	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 3, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	51.6%	0.221	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 2, 2022	mlb	Cubs Red Sox	First3 result	home	2.56	53.2%	0.363	0.72u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 2, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	home	2.84	49.2%	0.397	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Astros Angels	First3 result	draw	3.80	53.3%	0.178	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Rockies Diamondbacks	First3 result	home	2.74	43.0%	0.178	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Reds Braves	First3 result	draw	3.80	45.0%	0.152	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Giants White Sox	First3 result	draw	3.80	47.2%	0.107	0.19u	Won	+0.53u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Mets Rangers	First3 result	away	2.55	34.7%	0.097	0.27u	Won	+0.42u
Jul 1, 2022	mlb	Twins Orioles	First3 result	draw	3.80	39.1%	0.136	0.24u	Won	+0.67u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First3 result	draw	3.80	54.3%	0.158	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First3 result	draw	3.80	51.7%	0.218	0.39u	Won	+1.09u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.2%	0.130	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Astros Yankees	First3 result	draw	3.80	46.9%	0.117	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 30, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First3 result	draw	3.80	63.2%	0.397	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jun 29, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First3 result	home	2.25	54.5%	0.225	0.60u	Won	+0.75u
Jun 29, 2022	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First3 result	away	3.82	34.8%	0.705	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 27, 2022	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First3 result	draw	3.80	63.5%	0.387	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 27, 2022	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First3 result	away	3.45	16.9%	1.527	1.20u	Won	+2.94u
Jun 24, 2022	mlb	Yankees Astros	First3 result	away	2.88	37.0%	0.200	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 23, 2022	mlb	Braves Giants	First3 result	draw	3.80	63.4%	0.390	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Jun 22, 2022	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First3 result	away	2.84	16.9%	1.081	1.20u	Won	+2.21u
Jun 21, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Tigers	First3 result	away	2.46	16.9%	0.804	1.20u	Won	+1.75u
Jun 21, 2022	mlb	Angels Royals	First3 result	home	2.51	46.6%	0.171	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Rockies Padres	First3 result	home	2.42	46.6%	0.129	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Reds Brewers	First3 result	away	2.49	16.9%	0.825	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Mets Marlins	First3 result	home	2.61	43.0%	0.122	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jun 18, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First3 result	home	2.46	63.5%	0.562	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 18, 2022	mlb	Rockies Padres	First3 result	home	2.46	43.0%	0.059	0.20u	Won	+0.29u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Cardinals	First3 result	home	2.56	43.0%	0.101	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First3 result	home	2.58	46.6%	0.203	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Mariners Angels	First3 result	away	3.33	43.0%	0.072	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First3 result	home	2.74	43.0%	0.179	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 16, 2022	mlb	Mets Brewers	First3 result	home	2.60	43.0%	0.118	0.37u	Won	+0.59u
Jun 16, 2022	mlb	Yankees Rays	First3 result	home	2.76	43.0%	0.187	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 15, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	away	2.00	16.9%	0.466	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 15, 2022	mlb	Rockies Guardians	First3 result	home	2.84	43.0%	0.221	0.60u	Won	+1.10u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First3 result	home	2.49	44.4%	0.106	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First3 result	home	3.39	44.5%	0.510	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	home	2.53	44.5%	0.126	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jun 13, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First3 result	home	2.36	44.6%	0.051	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Pirates	First3 result	home	2.70	44.5%	0.201	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jun 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First3 result	home	3.26	44.4%	0.449	0.99u	Won	+2.24u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Royals Orioles	First3 result	home	2.86	44.5%	0.272	0.73u	Won	+1.36u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.