Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.6% | 0.194 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 20, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 42.7% | 0.067 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 19, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.6% | 0.191 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 19, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 37.8% | 0.170 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.7% | 0.120 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 3.95 | 42.4% | 0.381 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.189 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.196 | 0.35u | Won | +0.98u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.3% | 0.183 | 0.33u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.0% | 0.205 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 42.8% | 0.285 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 4.00 | 43.0% | 0.361 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.188 | 0.12u | Won | +0.34u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.0% | 0.104 | 0.19u | Won | +0.53u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 43.1% | 0.208 | 0.58u | Won | +1.04u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 43.3% | 0.058 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 42.8% | 0.112 | 0.25u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.6% | 0.192 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 42.9% | 0.057 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 15, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 42.7% | 0.087 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 15, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.188 | 0.34u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 14, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.190 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 14, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.3% | 0.184 | 0.33u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 14, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 42.6% | 0.279 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 14, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.189 | 0.34u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 13, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 37.8% | 0.170 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 13, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.115 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 13, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.7% | 0.194 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 13, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 3.35 | 38.4% | 0.286 | 0.61u | Won | +1.43u |
| Aug 12, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.191 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 12, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.187 | 0.31u | Won | +0.87u |
| Aug 12, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First3 result | home | 3.85 | 43.0% | 0.656 | 1.15u | Won | +3.28u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.185 | 0.33u | Won | +0.92u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 39.5% | 0.117 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.5% | 0.190 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.197 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.2% | 0.182 | 0.32u | Won | +0.90u |
| Aug 10, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 41.3% | 0.153 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 10, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.2% | 0.180 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 10, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 43.1% | 0.142 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Aug 10, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 42.6% | 0.258 | 0.66u | Won | +1.29u |
| Aug 9, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.197 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 9, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.186 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 8, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 42.9% | 0.093 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 7, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.50 | 42.5% | 0.217 | 0.43u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 7, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.0% | 0.177 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 42.9% | 0.120 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 2.10 | 32.4% | 0.072 | 0.33u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.00 | 53.9% | 0.079 | 0.39u | Won | +0.39u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.20 | 30.1% | 0.162 | 0.67u | Won | +0.80u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 46.5% | 0.281 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 30.1% | 0.611 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 42.9% | 0.357 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.00 | 63.6% | 0.273 | 0.97u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 42.9% | 0.228 | 0.62u | Won | +1.15u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.55 | 42.9% | 0.530 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Aug 1, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 33.3% | 0.266 | 0.81u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 2.25 | 30.1% | 0.188 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 60.2% | 0.805 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 75.5% | 0.962 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 2.55 | 30.1% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 2.40 | 32.3% | 0.224 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.35 | 63.3% | 0.488 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 2.50 | 33.3% | 0.195 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 2.00 | 30.0% | 0.055 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.10 | 32.4% | 0.072 | 0.33u | Won | +0.36u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 2.40 | 33.3% | 0.146 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.25 | 33.3% | 0.075 | 0.30u | Won | +0.38u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 2.35 | 30.1% | 0.241 | 0.89u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 46.5% | 0.163 | 0.54u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 2.40 | 33.3% | 0.147 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 2.20 | 30.1% | 0.161 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 30.1% | 0.636 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 39.8% | 0.378 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 30.1% | 0.372 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Orioles
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 46.7% | 0.145 | 0.50u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.35 | 49.2% | 0.156 | 0.58u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.8% | 0.311 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.7% | 0.129 | 0.16u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 29.5% | 0.607 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 22, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 8.7% | 1.082 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 60.1% | 0.517 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 8.7% | 1.082 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 49.2% | 0.180 | 0.54u | Won | +0.76u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 35.8% | 0.311 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.394 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 8.7% | 1.082 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 8.7% | 1.082 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 11.6% | 0.503 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 68.4% | 0.641 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 13, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 8.7% | 1.082 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 13, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.20 | 54.8% | 0.205 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 12, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.05 | 54.8% | 0.123 | 0.59u | Won | +0.62u |
| Jul 12, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.394 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 12, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 63.6% | 0.127 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jul 11, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 2.05 | 73.7% | 0.511 | 0.84u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jul 11, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.6% | 0.536 | 0.96u | Won | +2.69u |
| Jul 10, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.90 | 63.6% | 0.054 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 10, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 46.7% | 0.309 | 0.86u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jul 10, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
First3 result | home | 2.35 | 46.7% | 0.098 | 0.36u | Won | +0.49u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.