Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 11:24 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.00 | 28.7% | 0.317 | 0.79u | Won | +1.58u |
| Sep 29, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 26.6% | 0.175 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 25.3% | 0.233 | 0.37u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 27.8% | 0.268 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 28, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 27.3% | 0.275 | 0.71u | Won | +1.38u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 25.9% | 0.211 | 0.38u | Won | +1.06u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 27.4% | 0.225 | 0.62u | Won | +1.12u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 26.2% | 0.179 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Sep 27, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.0% | 0.207 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 28.1% | 0.415 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.7% | 0.172 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.2% | 0.112 | 0.20u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 26, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.5% | 0.170 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 26.6% | 0.208 | 0.51u | Won | +0.92u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 25.5% | 0.229 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 25, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 27.2% | 0.377 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.5% | 0.172 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.5% | 0.191 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 25.9% | 0.339 | 0.81u | Won | +1.70u |
| Sep 24, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.9% | 0.148 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 23, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 27.1% | 0.135 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Sep 23, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.3% | 0.105 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 23, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.55 | 28.8% | 0.155 | 0.50u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 4.00 | 27.2% | 0.742 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Sep 22, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.80 | 27.3% | 0.668 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 29.5% | 0.511 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Sep 21, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.55 | 27.0% | 0.548 | 1.07u | Won | +2.73u |
| Sep 20, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 29.3% | 0.466 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Sep 20, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 26.8% | 0.481 | 1.00u | Won | +2.40u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 2.50 | 27.3% | 0.099 | 0.33u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 27.9% | 0.513 | 1.07u | Won | +2.57u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.5% | 0.098 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 19, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.2% | 0.099 | 0.18u | Won | +0.50u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 27.1% | 0.156 | 0.47u | Won | +0.78u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.2% | 0.132 | 0.24u | Won | +0.67u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.2% | 0.117 | 0.21u | Won | +0.59u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.0% | 0.172 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 27.1% | 0.143 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Sep 18, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.9% | 0.134 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Sep 17, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 50.7% | 0.497 | 0.64u | Won | +1.25u |
| Sep 17, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 56.6% | 0.650 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 16, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 2.10 | 60.4% | 0.268 | 0.64u | Won | +0.70u |
| Sep 16, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 56.6% | 0.650 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.206 | 0.37u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 15, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.2% | 0.232 | 0.41u | Won | +1.15u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 2.35 | 25.1% | 0.761 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Sep 14, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.397 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 13, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.7% | 0.564 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 13, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.610 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Sep 12, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 56.6% | 0.650 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 12, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 49.7% | 0.333 | 0.64u | Won | +1.06u |
| Sep 11, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.639 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Sep 11, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.610 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 10, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.60 | 40.0% | 0.054 | 0.17u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 10, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.0% | 0.297 | 0.68u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 10, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 40.0% | 0.181 | 0.46u | Won | +0.90u |
| Sep 9, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.639 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Sep 9, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 35.3% | 0.215 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Sep 9, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 40.0% | 0.094 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 8, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 56.6% | 0.650 | 1.16u | Won | +3.25u |
| Sep 8, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.639 | 0.64u | Won | +1.79u |
| Sep 7, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 3.05 | 62.7% | 0.911 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Sep 7, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 26.7% | 0.564 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 6, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First3 result | home | 3.20 | 39.3% | 0.259 | 0.59u | Won | +1.30u |
| Sep 6, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.2% | 0.232 | 0.41u | Won | +1.15u |
| Sep 6, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.9% | 0.280 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 6, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 40.0% | 0.196 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 5, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.9% | 0.280 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Sep 5, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.2% | 0.232 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Sep 5, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 56.6% | 0.669 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 4, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 4.00 | 37.5% | 0.563 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 4, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 56.6% | 0.650 | 1.16u | Lost | -1.16u |
| Sep 3, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.60 | 48.3% | 0.313 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 3, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Rockies
|
First3 result | home | 2.05 | 53.4% | 0.096 | 0.26u | Won | +0.27u |
| Sep 3, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.95 | 37.8% | 0.554 | 0.94u | Won | +2.77u |
| Sep 2, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 4.60 | 45.6% | 0.583 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| Sep 2, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 37.8% | 0.062 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 37.8% | 0.200 | 0.49u | Won | +1.00u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 49.0% | 0.659 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 45.6% | 0.162 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 31, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 24.4% | 0.735 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Aug 30, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 3.25 | 45.6% | 0.119 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 30, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 37.8% | 0.077 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 29, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 3.30 | 34.0% | 0.122 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 28, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.75 | 45.6% | 0.254 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 28, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 45.4% | 0.204 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 27, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 45.6% | 0.345 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 26, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 45.6% | 0.185 | 0.58u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 37.8% | 0.220 | 0.52u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 25, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 56.9% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 37.8% | 0.101 | 0.25u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.90 | 45.6% | 0.322 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 24, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Phillies
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 37.8% | 0.338 | 0.70u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 3.15 | 37.8% | 0.239 | 0.56u | Won | +1.20u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.65 | 57.0% | 0.140 | 0.40u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 23, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 3.70 | 37.8% | 0.456 | 0.84u | Won | +2.27u |
| Aug 21, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Reds
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 53.4% | 0.283 | 0.78u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 21, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 45.4% | 0.396 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 20, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.6% | 0.190 | 0.34u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 20, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.4% | 0.185 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.