Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.6% | 0.061 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 40.6% | 0.056 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 40.6% | 0.158 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 6, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 40.6% | 0.138 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 3, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.60 | 40.6% | 0.057 | 0.18u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 3.70 | 40.6% | 0.227 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Jul 2, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Brewers
|
First3 result | home | 3.15 | 40.6% | 0.280 | 0.65u | Won | +1.40u |
| Jul 1, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 4.00 | 40.6% | 0.326 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jun 29, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.6% | 0.061 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jun 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 40.6% | 0.111 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jun 28, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 40.6% | 0.128 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jun 27, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.20 | 40.6% | 0.061 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jun 26, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 3.35 | 40.6% | 0.361 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jun 25, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 2.75 | 40.6% | 0.118 | 0.34u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jun 25, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 3.50 | 40.6% | 0.422 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Jun 24, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.0% | 0.750 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 24, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 29.8% | 1.070 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jun 23, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.0% | 0.750 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jun 22, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 28.7% | 0.281 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Jun 22, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 28.7% | 0.281 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Jun 22, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Mariners
|
First3 result | away | 2.35 | 30.5% | 0.200 | 0.14u | Won | +0.19u |
| Jun 21, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 24.5% | 0.336 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 21, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 30.5% | 0.583 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 37.9% | 0.599 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 20, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 10.9% | 1.608 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jun 19, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 34.2% | 0.684 | 1.20u | Won | +3.42u |
| Jun 19, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 34.2% | 0.444 | 0.60u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jun 18, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Guardians
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 45.1% | 0.702 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Jun 18, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 42.2% | 0.080 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Jun 17, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 23.2% | 0.464 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 17, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 29.9% | 0.887 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jun 16, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 10.3% | 1.453 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jun 16, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
First3 result | away | 2.70 | 30.5% | 0.379 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jun 15, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 34.2% | 0.684 | 0.60u | Won | +1.71u |
| Jun 15, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 29.9% | 0.887 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 14, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 51.7% | 0.836 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Jun 14, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 3.90 | 42.2% | 0.531 | 0.60u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jun 13, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 2.15 | 25.0% | 0.164 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jun 13, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First3 result | away | 2.35 | 25.0% | 0.273 | 1.01u | Won | +1.36u |
| Jun 12, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 19.9% | 0.792 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 12, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 23.2% | 0.464 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 11, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 37.6% | 0.513 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Jun 11, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 46.0% | 0.125 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jun 11, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 20.7% | 0.309 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 3.30 | 35.2% | 0.160 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jun 8, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
First3 result | away | 3.00 | 35.2% | 0.187 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Jun 7, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 3.20 | 35.2% | 0.125 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jun 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 3.25 | 35.2% | 0.143 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jun 5, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 35.2% | 0.306 | 0.66u | Won | +1.52u |
| Jun 3, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
First3 result | away | 2.75 | 35.2% | 0.088 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jun 2, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 35.2% | 0.055 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 4.30 | 35.2% | 0.702 | 1.06u | Won | +3.50u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 3.05 | 35.2% | 0.207 | 0.50u | Won | +1.03u |
| Jun 1, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 35.2% | 0.128 | 0.24u | Won | +0.44u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 35.2% | 0.167 | 0.43u | Won | +0.84u |
| May 31, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Angels
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 35.2% | 0.523 | 0.92u | Won | +2.62u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 3.50 | 35.2% | 0.385 | 0.77u | Won | +1.93u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | away | 2.95 | 35.2% | 0.167 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 30, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 35.2% | 0.128 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 35.2% | 0.523 | 0.92u | Won | +2.62u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 35.2% | 0.108 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| May 28, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.85 | 35.2% | 0.128 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.6% | 0.214 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.1% | 0.451 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| May 27, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.1% | 0.456 | 0.81u | Lost | -0.81u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.109 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
White Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.112 | 0.20u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.7% | 0.124 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.6% | 0.127 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| May 26, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Yankees
|
First3 result | away | 3.70 | 42.0% | 0.116 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.3% | 0.238 | 0.43u | Won | +1.20u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 42.3% | 0.121 | 0.18u | Won | +0.30u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.2% | 0.246 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 25, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.4% | 0.422 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 3.65 | 42.1% | 0.535 | 0.60u | Won | +1.59u |
| May 24, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.832 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 15.1% | 0.516 | 0.70u | Won | +1.96u |
| May 23, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 14.3% | 0.618 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.00 | 81.0% | 0.620 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| May 22, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.1% | 0.451 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.2% | 0.442 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| May 21, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 14.8% | 0.555 | 0.99u | Won | +2.77u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 21.1% | 0.449 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| May 20, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.839 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 73.3% | 0.943 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.0% | 0.257 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| May 19, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Royals
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 38.9% | 0.168 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.9% | 0.067 | 0.12u | Won | +0.34u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.107 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 42.0% | 0.061 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.9% | 0.110 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 41.7% | 0.076 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| May 18, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.2% | 0.243 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| May 17, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.882 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| May 17, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 3.95 | 32.8% | 0.411 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Angels
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 14.6% | 0.578 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| May 16, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.908 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| May 15, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.5% | 0.217 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| May 15, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 38.8% | 0.113 | 0.20u | Won | +0.56u |
| May 15, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.0% | 0.257 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.