Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 37.3% | 0.102 | 0.26u | Won | +0.51u |
| Aug 31, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 3.15 | 39.9% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Won | +1.29u |
| Aug 30, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 41.5% | 0.101 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 30, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.9% | 0.128 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 29, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 41.0% | 0.170 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Aug 29, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 40.3% | 0.149 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 28, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 2.70 | 41.2% | 0.113 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 27, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 40.8% | 0.108 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 27, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Reds
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 41.4% | 0.091 | 0.19u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 26, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 3.85 | 40.7% | 0.307 | 0.54u | Won | +1.54u |
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 40.5% | 0.135 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 25, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 3.00 | 40.2% | 0.051 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 47.3% | 0.203 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First3 result | away | 3.35 | 42.0% | 0.052 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 39.7% | 0.107 | 0.26u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 24, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 44.7% | 0.111 | 0.20u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 40.0% | 0.088 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 21, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.85 | 40.8% | 0.163 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 20, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Astros
|
First3 result | home | 3.40 | 41.4% | 0.408 | 0.85u | Won | +2.04u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.840 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.695 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 18, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
First3 result | home | 3.40 | 31.8% | 0.082 | 0.17u | Won | +0.41u |
| Aug 18, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 33.0% | 0.074 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
First3 result | home | 2.20 | 63.2% | 0.391 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 17, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 2.80 | 55.1% | 0.542 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.20 | 80.6% | 0.773 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 16, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.5% | 0.342 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.723 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
First3 result | away | 2.40 | 33.0% | 0.109 | 0.39u | Won | +0.55u |
| Aug 15, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.9% | 0.116 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.541 | 0.60u | Won | +1.68u |
| Aug 14, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 64.5% | 0.580 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.20 | 55.7% | 0.225 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 13, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.685 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.4% | 0.085 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.8% | 0.110 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.0% | 0.100 | 0.18u | Lost | -0.18u |
| Aug 12, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.7% | 0.156 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 55.3% | 0.354 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Aug 11, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.9% | 0.086 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.2% | 0.179 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.9% | 0.205 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First3 result | home | 2.15 | 49.4% | 0.062 | 0.27u | Won | +0.31u |
| Aug 10, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.40 | 50.3% | 0.206 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 32.5% | 0.129 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.7% | 0.406 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 9, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.8% | 0.227 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 33.3% | 0.324 | 0.60u | Won | +1.08u |
| Aug 8, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.10 | 79.4% | 0.668 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Aug 7, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.15 | 62.6% | 0.346 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Aug 7, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First3 result | away | 3.40 | 32.3% | 0.334 | 0.60u | Won | +1.44u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First3 result | home | 3.20 | 79.8% | 1.554 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Aug 6, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 2.20 | 65.3% | 0.436 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
First3 result | home | 2.95 | 83.1% | 1.452 | 1.20u | Won | +2.34u |
| Aug 5, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
First3 result | home | 2.25 | 73.2% | 0.646 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.175 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.4% | 0.349 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.5% | 0.346 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 4, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Guardians
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 52.4% | 0.166 | 0.25u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 0.0% | 0.864 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 30.8% | 0.281 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 3, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Tigers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 51.9% | 0.194 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Pirates
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.2% | 0.359 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.00 | 60.0% | 0.200 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 1, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.0% | 0.265 | 0.47u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jul 31, 2025 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 65.8% | 0.300 | 0.54u | Won | +1.51u |
| Jul 31, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 52.0% | 0.185 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Jul 30, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 45.0% | 0.102 | 0.35u | Won | +0.51u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 62.8% | 0.232 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 29, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Nationals
|
First3 result | home | 2.30 | 48.4% | 0.113 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.5% | 0.345 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Red Sox
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 52.2% | 0.179 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Dodgers
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.1% | 0.362 | 0.65u | Won | +1.82u |
| Jul 28, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 38.1% | 0.144 | 0.21u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 62.4% | 0.430 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Braves
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.2% | 0.357 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 27, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Mariners
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.0% | 0.269 | 0.39u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
First3 result | home | 2.55 | 48.3% | 0.231 | 0.27u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.0% | 0.268 | 0.48u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 31.0% | 0.268 | 0.48u | Won | +1.34u |
| Jul 26, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Nationals
|
First3 result | away | 3.10 | 37.8% | 0.238 | 0.57u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Rockies
|
First3 result | away | 2.80 | 25.2% | 0.339 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rays
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.6% | 0.343 | 0.61u | Won | +1.71u |
| Jul 25, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Nationals
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.5% | 0.345 | 0.62u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 52.1% | 0.181 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First3 result | away | 2.30 | 25.2% | 0.099 | 0.38u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 24, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.1% | 0.364 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
First3 result | away | 2.45 | 25.3% | 0.175 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 48.4% | 0.187 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Jul 23, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Padres
|
First3 result | draw | 3.80 | 59.7% | 0.335 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 21, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 43.2% | 0.057 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Twins
|
First3 result | home | 3.00 | 43.2% | 0.295 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Jul 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
White Sox
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 43.2% | 0.079 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 19, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 43.2% | 0.144 | 0.43u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 18, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 43.2% | 0.079 | 0.26u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 12, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
First3 result | home | 2.45 | 43.1% | 0.057 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
First3 result | away | 3.30 | 43.1% | 0.062 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Jul 11, 2025 | mlb |
Orioles
Marlins
|
First3 result | home | 2.50 | 43.2% | 0.079 | 0.26u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jul 10, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
Braves
|
First3 result | home | 2.65 | 43.2% | 0.144 | 0.43u | Won | +0.71u |
| Jul 9, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
First3 result | away | 3.60 | 43.2% | 0.159 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.