Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 9, 2017	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	away	2.48	30.9%	0.367	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 9, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First5 result	away	3.68	42.3%	0.692	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Indians Tigers	First5 result	away	3.18	41.5%	0.443	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	2.55	43.3%	0.146	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jul 8, 2017	mlb	Twins Orioles	First5 result	away	2.81	44.6%	0.171	0.47u	Won	+0.85u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First5 result	home	2.17	56.3%	0.223	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	2.92	43.6%	0.292	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jul 7, 2017	mlb	Rockies White Sox	First5 result	away	2.78	41.9%	0.271	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.42	48.6%	0.176	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	away	2.30	37.1%	0.141	0.46u	Won	+0.60u
Jul 6, 2017	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.70	40.9%	0.244	0.72u	Won	+1.22u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Twins Angels	First5 result	away	2.30	29.9%	0.293	0.77u	Won	+1.00u
Jul 5, 2017	mlb	Athletics White Sox	First5 result	away	3.20	41.0%	0.453	1.03u	Lost	-1.03u
Jul 4, 2017	mlb	Braves Astros	First5 result	away	3.90	48.9%	0.605	0.73u	Won	+2.12u
Jul 4, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	away	4.00	49.0%	0.641	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Jul 3, 2017	mlb	Twins Angels	First5 result	away	2.26	43.9%	0.060	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jul 3, 2017	mlb	Mariners Royals	First5 result	away	2.68	48.7%	0.106	0.31u	Won	+0.52u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	home	2.95	47.5%	0.400	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 2, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Nationals	First5 result	away	2.08	11.9%	0.780	1.20u	Won	+1.30u
Jul 1, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.88	48.4%	0.393	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Jul 1, 2017	mlb	Pirates Giants	First5 result	home	2.68	48.4%	0.296	0.76u	Won	+1.28u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	White Sox Rangers	First5 result	home	2.90	47.1%	0.367	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jun 30, 2017	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First5 result	away	3.48	47.9%	0.456	0.92u	Won	+2.28u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.40	48.5%	0.408	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 29, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First5 result	home	3.20	48.2%	0.543	1.20u	Won	+2.64u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	2.90	48.2%	0.207	0.54u	Won	+1.03u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Padres Braves	First5 result	away	2.06	35.1%	0.186	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jun 28, 2017	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	3.05	47.6%	0.284	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	2.60	48.5%	0.076	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.90	48.6%	0.198	0.52u	Won	+0.99u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Pirates Rays	First5 result	away	2.82	47.9%	0.181	0.50u	Won	+0.91u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First5 result	away	2.61	48.9%	0.073	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
Jun 27, 2017	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.75	48.2%	0.144	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First5 result	away	3.00	48.5%	0.241	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Diamondbacks Phillies	First5 result	away	2.61	48.8%	0.075	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	White Sox Yankees	First5 result	away	2.90	48.6%	0.197	0.52u	Won	+0.99u
Jun 26, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First5 result	away	3.00	49.1%	0.229	0.57u	Won	+1.14u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	away	2.42	35.2%	0.391	0.60u	Won	+0.85u
Jun 25, 2017	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	2.48	34.7%	0.437	1.20u	Won	+1.78u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	White Sox Athletics	First5 result	away	3.30	48.9%	0.355	0.77u	Won	+1.77u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Braves Brewers	First5 result	away	3.05	48.4%	0.267	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jun 24, 2017	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	away	3.50	48.6%	0.447	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	away	2.50	35.1%	0.440	1.20u	Won	+1.80u
Jun 23, 2017	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	away	3.20	49.3%	0.307	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	2.30	48.8%	0.122	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	away	3.55	49.4%	0.444	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First5 result	home	2.22	48.0%	0.066	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Jun 22, 2017	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.64	48.3%	0.098	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.00	48.6%	0.241	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.88	48.6%	0.191	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 21, 2017	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	2.67	48.0%	0.282	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Jun 20, 2017	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.95	37.4%	0.462	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 20, 2017	mlb	Rays Reds	First5 result	away	3.65	40.8%	0.646	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 19, 2017	mlb	Cubs Padres	First5 result	away	2.34	25.4%	0.542	1.20u	Won	+1.61u
Jun 19, 2017	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	away	3.00	37.7%	0.486	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
Jun 18, 2017	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First5 result	away	2.95	37.6%	0.464	0.60u	Won	+1.17u
Jun 18, 2017	mlb	Brewers Padres	First5 result	away	2.14	22.7%	0.490	1.20u	Won	+1.37u
Jun 17, 2017	mlb	Mets Nationals	First5 result	away	3.10	41.0%	0.399	0.60u	Won	+1.26u
Jun 17, 2017	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	away	2.20	22.7%	0.532	1.20u	Won	+1.44u
Jun 16, 2017	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	home	2.35	52.8%	0.240	0.89u	Won	+1.20u
Jun 16, 2017	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	away	2.85	40.9%	0.286	0.77u	Won	+1.42u
Jun 16, 2017	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	2.17	53.0%	0.150	0.14u	Won	+0.16u
Jun 15, 2017	mlb	Tigers Rays	First5 result	home	3.35	52.7%	0.765	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 15, 2017	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	away	2.57	37.5%	0.276	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 14, 2017	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	2.61	37.6%	0.294	0.60u	Won	+0.97u
Jun 14, 2017	mlb	Tigers Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.30	25.5%	0.516	1.20u	Won	+1.56u
Jun 13, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Phillies	First5 result	away	2.75	37.7%	0.365	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Jun 13, 2017	mlb	Marlins Athletics	First5 result	away	2.75	37.6%	0.363	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jun 12, 2017	mlb	Red Sox Phillies	First5 result	away	2.14	37.7%	0.061	0.27u	Won	+0.31u
Jun 12, 2017	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	away	2.17	37.7%	0.076	0.33u	Won	+0.39u
Jun 12, 2017	mlb	Mets Cubs	First5 result	away	3.10	37.7%	0.538	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 11, 2017	mlb	Indians White Sox	First5 result	away	2.88	37.7%	0.429	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 11, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	away	2.28	25.5%	0.502	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 10, 2017	mlb	Nationals Rangers	First5 result	away	3.20	37.5%	0.586	0.60u	Won	+1.32u
Jun 10, 2017	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	away	3.25	25.5%	1.142	1.20u	Won	+2.70u
Jun 9, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	away	3.50	37.6%	0.735	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 9, 2017	mlb	Rays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.70	37.6%	0.339	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 8, 2017	mlb	Brewers Giants	First5 result	away	2.80	37.6%	0.389	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Jun 8, 2017	mlb	Pirates Marlins	First5 result	away	2.80	37.7%	0.389	1.08u	Won	+1.94u
Jun 7, 2017	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.90	37.6%	0.437	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 7, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	away	2.18	25.6%	0.437	1.20u	Won	+1.42u
Jun 6, 2017	mlb	Orioles Pirates	First5 result	away	2.14	39.3%	0.114	0.50u	Won	+0.57u
Jun 6, 2017	mlb	Rockies Indians	First5 result	home	2.09	51.7%	0.081	0.37u	Won	+0.40u
Jun 5, 2017	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	away	2.20	42.1%	0.087	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 5, 2017	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.45	52.2%	0.278	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Jun 5, 2017	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	home	2.14	50.0%	0.069	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	home	2.25	57.9%	0.302	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 4, 2017	mlb	Mets Pirates	First5 result	home	2.28	60.4%	0.377	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Athletics Nationals	First5 result	home	2.70	57.4%	0.551	1.20u	Won	+2.04u
Jun 3, 2017	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.59	56.8%	0.471	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	home	2.89	56.9%	0.645	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 2, 2017	mlb	Padres Rockies	First5 result	home	2.28	54.7%	0.246	0.60u	Won	+0.77u
Jun 1, 2017	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.00	45.8%	0.371	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Jun 1, 2017	mlb	Marlins Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.12	60.2%	0.277	0.87u	Won	+0.97u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	3.00	55.2%	0.655	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 31, 2017	mlb	Padres Cubs	First5 result	home	2.52	51.5%	0.298	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.34	51.2%	0.198	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Indians Athletics	First5 result	home	2.55	46.0%	0.174	0.29u	Won	+0.45u
May 30, 2017	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	2.80	46.1%	0.278	0.77u	Won	+1.39u
May 29, 2017	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	home	2.57	49.0%	0.258	0.60u	Won	+0.94u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.