Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.2% | 0.500 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Oct 17, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.1% | 0.677 | 0.94u | Won | +3.38u |
| Oct 16, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.0% | 0.502 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Oct 15, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cubs
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.5% | 0.535 | 0.74u | Won | +2.66u |
| Oct 14, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cubs
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.8% | 0.557 | 0.77u | Won | +2.77u |
| Oct 14, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.2% | 0.551 | 0.76u | Won | +2.74u |
| Oct 13, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Yankees
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 31.9% | 0.605 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Oct 12, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Cubs
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.1% | 0.587 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Oct 11, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.6% | 0.460 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Oct 11, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
Yankees
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.3% | 0.648 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Oct 9, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 57.0% | 0.225 | 0.98u | Won | +1.13u |
| Oct 8, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 51.2% | 0.100 | 0.43u | Won | +0.49u |
| Oct 6, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 52.6% | 0.350 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Oct 3, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.19 | 48.5% | 0.086 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Oct 1, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.13 | 56.7% | 0.209 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 1, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.54 | 54.1% | 0.374 | 1.20u | Won | +1.85u |
| Sep 30, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 4.13 | 52.4% | 0.754 | 0.60u | Won | +1.88u |
| Sep 30, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.2% | 1.011 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Sep 29, 2017 | mlb |
Indians
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.01 | 55.4% | 0.113 | 0.56u | Won | +0.57u |
| Sep 29, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.27 | 62.6% | 0.421 | 1.20u | Won | +1.52u |
| Sep 28, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.12 | 50.7% | 0.074 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Sep 28, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 2.04 | 56.0% | 0.142 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Sep 28, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.34 | 45.8% | 0.244 | 0.52u | Won | +1.22u |
| Sep 27, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 37.1% | 0.998 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 27, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.89 | 56.3% | 0.628 | 0.60u | Won | +1.13u |
| Sep 26, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 43.4% | 0.326 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Sep 26, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.11 | 41.8% | 0.409 | 0.97u | Won | +2.05u |
| Sep 25, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 40.5% | 0.277 | 0.79u | Won | +1.38u |
| Sep 25, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.38 | 45.9% | 0.393 | 0.82u | Won | +1.95u |
| Sep 25, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 42.2% | 0.258 | 0.19u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 24, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.74 | 48.4% | 0.325 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 24, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 3.94 | 42.1% | 0.760 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 23, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.46 | 53.5% | 0.315 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Sep 23, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.64 | 49.3% | 0.301 | 0.72u | Won | +1.18u |
| Sep 22, 2017 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 40.9% | 0.390 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
| Sep 22, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.97 | 46.1% | 0.208 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Sep 22, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.39 | 49.5% | 0.183 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Sep 21, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 40.4% | 0.718 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 21, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 44.3% | 0.286 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 20, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 3.10 | 51.2% | 0.588 | 0.73u | Won | +1.53u |
| Sep 20, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 4.02 | 45.5% | 0.648 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Sep 19, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.31 | 44.3% | 0.409 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Sep 19, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 48.6% | 0.384 | 0.91u | Won | +1.68u |
| Sep 18, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.44 | 41.4% | 0.104 | 0.36u | Won | +0.52u |
| Sep 18, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 3.92 | 53.3% | 1.088 | 1.20u | Won | +3.50u |
| Sep 17, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.98 | 45.3% | 0.617 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Sep 17, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.04 | 44.0% | 0.284 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.77 | 42.5% | 0.224 | 0.63u | Won | +1.12u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.44 | 47.7% | 0.163 | 0.57u | Won | +0.82u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.38 | 39.6% | 0.124 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 46.8% | 0.144 | 0.39u | Won | +0.72u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 3.81 | 43.9% | 0.631 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Sep 15, 2017 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.86 | 48.9% | 0.398 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 38.5% | 0.370 | 1.01u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 14, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.96 | 41.3% | 0.350 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 3.03 | 49.5% | 0.499 | 0.87u | Won | +1.77u |
| Sep 13, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.71 | 46.1% | 0.502 | 0.93u | Won | +2.52u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 42.3% | 1.091 | 1.20u | Won | +4.44u |
| Sep 12, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 3.15 | 49.3% | 0.552 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.61 | 47.7% | 0.245 | 0.66u | Won | +1.06u |
| Sep 11, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 4.28 | 44.1% | 0.747 | 1.14u | Won | +3.74u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Mariners
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.63 | 49.1% | 0.292 | 0.17u | Won | +0.28u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.56 | 46.1% | 0.377 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 10, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.07 | 41.9% | 0.370 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.76 | 44.3% | 0.223 | 0.63u | Won | +1.11u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 3.05 | 41.8% | 0.274 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 3.39 | 49.1% | 0.220 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Rangers
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.91 | 43.1% | 0.253 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 8, 2017 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 4.23 | 45.2% | 0.693 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 4.05 | 46.0% | 0.861 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 7, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.63 | 43.6% | 0.534 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
Braves
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.61 | 38.1% | 0.283 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 3.29 | 45.5% | 0.497 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.71 | 40.5% | 0.263 | 0.77u | Won | +1.32u |
| Sep 5, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 3.37 | 43.8% | 0.477 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 4.09 | 48.8% | 0.995 | 1.20u | Won | +3.71u |
| Sep 4, 2017 | mlb |
Rays
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 38.9% | 0.488 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.36 | 42.4% | 0.487 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Sep 3, 2017 | mlb |
Giants
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 50.0% | 0.401 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
White Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 54.3% | 0.492 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 3.73 | 46.9% | 0.749 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.74 | 53.5% | 0.465 | 0.60u | Won | +1.04u |
| Sep 1, 2017 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 3.47 | 47.6% | 0.651 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.46 | 41.3% | 0.119 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.47 | 43.0% | 0.075 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 31, 2017 | mlb |
Marlins
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.07 | 47.3% | 0.151 | 0.37u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 42.1% | 0.482 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 30, 2017 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.76 | 38.6% | 0.343 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 3.11 | 45.9% | 0.427 | 1.01u | Won | +2.13u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.03 | 48.7% | 0.178 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 29, 2017 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.09 | 47.1% | 0.174 | 0.35u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 2.90 | 46.0% | 0.123 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 33.5% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 28, 2017 | mlb |
Cubs
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 46.1% | 0.161 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 37.3% | 0.441 | 0.60u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 37.3% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 55.4% | 0.071 | 0.25u | Won | +0.35u |
| Aug 26, 2017 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 46.9% | 0.266 | 0.78u | Won | +1.33u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Red Sox
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 46.8% | 0.192 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 25, 2017 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 46.4% | 0.370 | 0.95u | Lost | -0.95u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.