Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 26, 2018	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.44	22.8%	1.060	1.20u	Won	+2.93u
Jul 25, 2018	mlb	Angels White Sox	First5 result	away	3.04	47.3%	0.241	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Jul 25, 2018	mlb	Mariners Giants	First5 result	home	2.12	62.0%	0.314	1.20u	Won	+1.34u
Jul 24, 2018	mlb	Indians Pirates	First5 result	home	2.71	48.2%	0.307	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Jul 24, 2018	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	2.37	47.4%	0.124	0.13u	Won	+0.18u
Jul 24, 2018	mlb	Rockies Astros	First5 result	away	2.70	53.2%	0.263	0.77u	Won	+1.31u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Indians Pirates	First5 result	home	3.41	47.3%	0.612	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 23, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First5 result	away	3.37	47.4%	0.373	0.60u	Won	+1.42u
Jul 22, 2018	mlb	Mariners White Sox	First5 result	home	3.67	47.1%	0.730	1.20u	Won	+3.20u
Jul 22, 2018	mlb	Rays Marlins	First5 result	away	2.81	22.7%	0.688	0.60u	Won	+1.09u
Jul 21, 2018	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.64	56.6%	0.493	0.77u	Won	+1.26u
Jul 21, 2018	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.94	47.4%	0.605	1.03u	Won	+3.03u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Tigers Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.76	47.4%	0.308	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Jul 20, 2018	mlb	Yankees Mets	First5 result	home	2.77	48.3%	0.337	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	away	3.83	54.9%	0.240	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Twins Rays	First5 result	home	2.28	46.6%	0.062	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jul 15, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First5 result	away	4.39	46.8%	0.726	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Jul 14, 2018	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.5%	0.178	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jul 14, 2018	mlb	Astros Tigers	First5 result	away	3.40	58.0%	0.155	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 14, 2018	mlb	Rockies Mariners	First5 result	home	2.53	45.5%	0.151	0.49u	Won	+0.75u
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.90	46.9%	0.056	0.15u	Won	+0.29u
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Rockies Mariners	First5 result	home	2.03	58.5%	0.187	0.91u	Won	+0.94u
Jul 13, 2018	mlb	Twins Rays	First5 result	away	3.27	54.4%	0.066	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.200	0.28u	Won	+1.01u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.76	45.0%	0.243	0.69u	Won	+1.21u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Indians Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.6%	0.242	0.34u	Won	+1.22u
Jul 12, 2018	mlb	Twins Rays	First5 result	away	2.89	47.1%	0.063	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	4.28	44.8%	0.545	0.83u	Won	+2.72u
Jul 11, 2018	mlb	Giants Cubs	First5 result	home	2.38	55.8%	0.327	0.97u	Won	+1.34u
Jul 10, 2018	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	home	2.67	55.6%	0.484	1.20u	Won	+2.00u
Jul 10, 2018	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First5 result	home	3.05	48.0%	0.463	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 9, 2018	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	home	2.60	43.2%	0.123	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jul 9, 2018	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	home	2.61	60.6%	0.582	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 9, 2018	mlb	Marlins Brewers	First5 result	home	2.25	50.0%	0.125	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jul 8, 2018	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First5 result	home	3.06	47.2%	0.444	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Jul 8, 2018	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	away	3.83	46.6%	0.394	0.70u	Won	+1.98u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.90	46.4%	0.418	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Brewers Braves	First5 result	away	3.98	30.4%	0.559	0.94u	Won	+2.80u
Jul 7, 2018	mlb	Astros White Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.0%	0.290	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.434	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Pirates Phillies	First5 result	home	4.10	33.1%	0.355	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First5 result	away	3.45	44.4%	0.269	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jul 6, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.2%	0.327	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Jul 5, 2018	mlb	Brewers Braves	First5 result	away	2.78	36.9%	0.178	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Jul 5, 2018	mlb	Twins Orioles	First5 result	away	3.81	45.6%	0.391	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Jul 4, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Pirates	First5 result	home	2.59	52.9%	0.371	1.17u	Won	+1.86u
Jul 4, 2018	mlb	Athletics Padres	First5 result	home	3.28	36.4%	0.194	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jul 4, 2018	mlb	Marlins Rays	First5 result	away	3.04	41.6%	0.157	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jul 3, 2018	mlb	Reds White Sox	First5 result	home	2.55	51.4%	0.312	0.63u	Won	+0.98u
Jul 3, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.25	36.7%	0.525	1.17u	Lost	-1.17u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Marlins Rays	First5 result	home	3.38	34.0%	0.151	0.32u	Won	+0.76u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	15.5%	0.232	0.32u	Won	+1.15u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	2.21	52.0%	0.148	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Jul 2, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.80	35.4%	0.257	0.71u	Won	+1.28u
Jul 1, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First5 result	away	3.44	35.3%	0.540	1.11u	Won	+2.71u
Jul 1, 2018	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	14.5%	0.513	0.69u	Won	+2.48u
Jun 30, 2018	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	home	2.53	51.4%	0.301	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 30, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First5 result	away	2.88	36.7%	0.348	0.93u	Won	+1.75u
Jun 29, 2018	mlb	Orioles Angels	First5 result	home	2.38	52.3%	0.245	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Jun 29, 2018	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	home	2.66	52.1%	0.387	1.17u	Lost	-1.17u
Jun 28, 2018	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	home	2.55	50.6%	0.291	0.94u	Won	+1.46u
Jun 28, 2018	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	home	2.42	51.3%	0.242	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Jun 27, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Cubs	First5 result	away	2.79	15.7%	0.643	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 27, 2018	mlb	Orioles Mariners	First5 result	home	2.30	52.2%	0.202	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Orioles Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	15.4%	0.272	0.38u	Won	+1.37u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Phillies Yankees	First5 result	home	2.48	50.6%	0.254	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jun 26, 2018	mlb	Marlins Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.73	53.2%	0.452	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 25, 2018	mlb	Rangers Padres	First5 result	home	2.62	51.4%	0.348	1.07u	Lost	-1.07u
Jun 25, 2018	mlb	Braves Reds	First5 result	home	2.33	51.1%	0.190	0.72u	Won	+0.96u
Jun 24, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.54	52.6%	0.335	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Jun 24, 2018	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	4.04	52.5%	0.462	0.76u	Won	+2.31u
Jun 23, 2018	mlb	Astros Royals	First5 result	home	2.04	51.9%	0.059	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 23, 2018	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	3.91	51.5%	0.378	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jun 23, 2018	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	away	3.33	34.1%	0.412	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jun 22, 2018	mlb	Astros Royals	First5 result	home	2.44	52.1%	0.272	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Jun 22, 2018	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	3.82	51.0%	0.338	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 22, 2018	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.36	52.3%	0.235	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 21, 2018	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.60	51.1%	0.328	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Jun 21, 2018	mlb	Rockies Mets	First5 result	away	3.43	33.7%	0.452	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Jun 20, 2018	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First5 result	away	3.78	36.7%	0.771	1.20u	Won	+3.34u
Jun 20, 2018	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	away	3.23	34.1%	0.368	0.60u	Won	+1.34u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Padres Athletics	First5 result	away	3.17	51.3%	0.318	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Angels Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.75	42.0%	0.155	0.44u	Won	+0.77u
Jun 19, 2018	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First5 result	away	2.69	46.9%	0.069	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.47	52.0%	0.435	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	home	2.26	49.9%	0.128	0.17u	Won	+0.21u
Jun 18, 2018	mlb	Rockies Mets	First5 result	away	3.40	53.2%	0.360	0.75u	Won	+1.80u
Jun 17, 2018	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.34	48.1%	0.126	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 17, 2018	mlb	Brewers Phillies	First5 result	home	3.19	48.4%	0.544	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 17, 2018	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First5 result	away	3.12	40.7%	0.139	0.33u	Won	+0.70u
Jun 16, 2018	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	home	3.20	47.8%	0.529	0.60u	Won	+1.32u
Jun 16, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First5 result	home	3.09	51.9%	0.603	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 15, 2018	mlb	Royals Astros	First5 result	home	3.01	49.5%	0.491	1.20u	Won	+2.41u
Jun 15, 2018	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First5 result	away	3.22	47.0%	0.280	0.60u	Won	+1.33u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	2.17	48.4%	0.050	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Braves Padres	First5 result	home	2.78	52.1%	0.448	1.20u	Won	+2.14u
Jun 14, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First5 result	home	2.18	48.2%	0.051	0.22u	Won	+0.26u
Jun 13, 2018	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	away	2.78	51.8%	0.341	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 13, 2018	mlb	Yankees Nationals	First5 result	home	3.51	47.7%	0.675	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First5 result	away	2.74	50.8%	0.169	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.