Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 4:25 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Yankees Nationals	First5 result	away	2.62	50.3%	0.130	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Tigers Twins	First5 result	home	2.27	47.9%	0.087	0.24u	Won	+0.30u
Jun 12, 2018	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.53	47.7%	0.207	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.09	46.5%	0.437	1.05u	Won	+2.19u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	home	2.54	46.8%	0.190	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 11, 2018	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	home	2.23	47.9%	0.068	0.13u	Won	+0.16u
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	home	3.38	42.5%	0.435	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 10, 2018	mlb	Nationals Giants	First5 result	home	3.22	51.4%	0.654	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Athletics Royals	First5 result	away	2.90	48.4%	0.295	0.78u	Won	+1.48u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First5 result	home	2.66	42.3%	0.125	0.38u	Won	+0.63u
Jun 9, 2018	mlb	Nationals Giants	First5 result	home	2.44	47.5%	0.158	0.55u	Won	+0.79u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	away	3.69	43.1%	0.236	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Twins Angels	First5 result	home	2.53	42.2%	0.066	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Marlins Padres	First5 result	home	2.08	51.7%	0.076	0.35u	Won	+0.38u
Jun 8, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	home	2.79	42.0%	0.172	0.48u	Won	+0.86u
Jun 7, 2018	mlb	Athletics Royals	First5 result	away	2.80	45.0%	0.177	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Jun 7, 2018	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	away	2.77	45.8%	0.140	0.39u	Won	+0.69u
Jun 7, 2018	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.66	42.8%	0.139	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Reds Rockies	First5 result	away	2.87	53.8%	0.326	0.87u	Won	+1.63u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Nationals Rays	First5 result	away	2.89	47.2%	0.142	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Jun 6, 2018	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.56	50.9%	0.256	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Indians Brewers	First5 result	away	2.81	40.8%	0.347	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Red Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	2.75	46.9%	0.112	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 5, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	home	2.27	49.9%	0.133	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jun 4, 2018	mlb	Padres Braves	First5 result	home	2.79	49.3%	0.375	0.60u	Won	+1.07u
Jun 4, 2018	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	3.41	46.4%	0.582	1.20u	Won	+2.89u
Jun 3, 2018	mlb	Royals Athletics	First5 result	home	2.35	50.1%	0.177	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jun 3, 2018	mlb	Mariners Rays	First5 result	home	2.21	49.8%	0.102	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
Jun 3, 2018	mlb	White Sox Brewers	First5 result	home	2.35	54.6%	0.283	1.05u	Lost	-1.05u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.16	54.8%	0.184	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 2, 2018	mlb	Padres Reds	First5 result	home	2.63	55.2%	0.452	1.20u	Won	+1.96u
Jun 1, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First5 result	home	2.27	49.6%	0.125	0.37u	Won	+0.47u
Jun 1, 2018	mlb	Mariners Rays	First5 result	home	2.27	49.6%	0.126	0.50u	Won	+0.64u
Jun 1, 2018	mlb	Padres Reds	First5 result	home	2.60	49.9%	0.298	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
May 31, 2018	mlb	Padres Marlins	First5 result	home	2.79	49.5%	0.381	1.06u	Won	+1.90u
May 31, 2018	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	home	2.53	49.7%	0.256	0.74u	Won	+1.13u
May 30, 2018	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	home	3.01	50.0%	0.504	0.60u	Won	+1.21u
May 30, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First5 result	home	3.16	49.9%	0.575	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 29, 2018	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	2.27	49.7%	0.128	0.50u	Won	+0.64u
May 29, 2018	mlb	Indians White Sox	First5 result	home	2.11	50.2%	0.059	0.26u	Won	+0.29u
May 29, 2018	mlb	Athletics Rays	First5 result	home	2.19	50.4%	0.104	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 28, 2018	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	home	2.13	49.5%	0.055	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
May 28, 2018	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	home	2.59	46.5%	0.205	0.64u	Won	+1.02u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Athletics Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.19	47.4%	0.278	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 27, 2018	mlb	Rockies Reds	First5 result	home	2.86	49.9%	0.427	1.15u	Won	+2.14u
May 26, 2018	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	away	3.07	50.1%	0.130	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 26, 2018	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.36	49.2%	0.161	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
May 26, 2018	mlb	Yankees Angels	First5 result	away	2.97	49.6%	0.103	0.26u	Won	+0.51u
May 25, 2018	mlb	Brewers Mets	First5 result	home	3.14	46.5%	0.460	1.07u	Won	+2.29u
May 25, 2018	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	away	3.12	50.0%	0.150	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 25, 2018	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.09	50.5%	0.128	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 24, 2018	mlb	Indians Astros	First5 result	home	2.15	49.7%	0.069	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 24, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Angels	First5 result	home	2.07	55.5%	0.149	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
May 24, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.35	49.2%	0.157	0.58u	Won	+0.78u
May 23, 2018	mlb	Astros Giants	First5 result	away	3.61	41.6%	0.709	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 23, 2018	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.06	46.6%	0.243	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
May 22, 2018	mlb	Rangers Yankees	First5 result	home	3.01	49.7%	0.496	0.60u	Won	+1.21u
May 22, 2018	mlb	Reds Pirates	First5 result	away	2.74	23.1%	0.800	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 21, 2018	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	away	2.80	34.0%	0.410	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
May 21, 2018	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.63	31.3%	0.377	0.66u	Won	+1.08u
May 20, 2018	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.62	23.8%	0.706	1.20u	Won	+1.94u
May 20, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.28	32.5%	0.173	0.60u	Won	+0.77u
May 19, 2018	mlb	Nationals Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.30	30.5%	0.217	0.83u	Won	+1.08u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Mariners Tigers	First5 result	away	2.31	31.8%	0.201	0.29u	Won	+0.38u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.61	30.4%	0.386	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 18, 2018	mlb	Mets Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	47.6%	0.220	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 17, 2018	mlb	White Sox Rangers	First5 result	away	2.16	33.8%	0.091	0.39u	Won	+0.45u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Royals Rays	First5 result	away	3.25	33.0%	0.660	1.20u	Won	+2.70u
May 16, 2018	mlb	Orioles Phillies	First5 result	away	2.60	31.9%	0.351	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 15, 2018	mlb	Padres Rockies	First5 result	home	2.38	52.5%	0.250	0.85u	Won	+1.17u
May 15, 2018	mlb	Braves Cubs	First5 result	away	2.46	31.9%	0.278	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
May 14, 2018	mlb	Padres Rockies	First5 result	away	2.30	33.7%	0.164	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 14, 2018	mlb	Giants Reds	First5 result	away	2.25	35.2%	0.101	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 13, 2018	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.63	35.0%	0.798	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 13, 2018	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First5 result	away	3.60	35.0%	0.784	0.60u	Won	+1.56u
May 12, 2018	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	away	3.02	33.7%	0.525	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 12, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Nationals	First5 result	away	3.28	22.0%	1.185	1.20u	Won	+2.74u
May 11, 2018	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First5 result	home	2.64	52.3%	0.381	0.60u	Won	+0.98u
May 11, 2018	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.14	35.7%	0.541	1.20u	Won	+2.57u
May 10, 2018	mlb	Padres Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.64	32.1%	0.367	1.12u	Won	+1.84u
May 10, 2018	mlb	Orioles Royals	First5 result	away	2.18	35.1%	0.078	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 10, 2018	mlb	Marlins Braves	First5 result	home	2.33	45.3%	0.056	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
May 9, 2018	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	away	2.60	31.9%	0.349	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 9, 2018	mlb	Rockies Angels	First5 result	away	3.16	37.7%	0.503	1.16u	Won	+2.51u
May 8, 2018	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.390	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 8, 2018	mlb	Reds Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.391	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 8, 2018	mlb	Phillies Giants	First5 result	away	2.57	38.9%	0.295	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 7, 2018	mlb	Cardinals Twins	First5 result	away	2.99	43.6%	0.326	0.82u	Won	+1.63u
May 7, 2018	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.6%	0.389	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 6, 2018	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.390	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.6%	0.390	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.390	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 6, 2018	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.390	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 5, 2018	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.04	43.7%	0.328	0.60u	Won	+1.22u
May 5, 2018	mlb	Mets Rockies	First5 result	away	2.33	29.5%	0.451	1.20u	Won	+1.60u
May 4, 2018	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.6%	0.390	0.54u	Won	+1.94u
May 4, 2018	mlb	Yankees Indians	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.390	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 4, 2018	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	away	2.02	32.3%	0.368	0.72u	Won	+0.73u
May 3, 2018	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.390	0.54u	Won	+1.94u
May 3, 2018	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.58	39.4%	0.313	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.