Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 3.33 | 43.8% | 0.206 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 46.3% | 0.070 | 0.19u | Lost | -0.19u |
| Sep 2, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.71 | 45.2% | 0.226 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 46.0% | 0.504 | 0.60u | Won | +1.80u |
| Sep 1, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 3.97 | 44.8% | 0.777 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.49 | 46.4% | 0.156 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.29 | 45.4% | 0.154 | 0.34u | Won | +0.78u |
| Aug 31, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 4.31 | 45.9% | 0.595 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 4.65 | 45.3% | 0.742 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 30, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.88 | 44.7% | 0.288 | 0.77u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 4.76 | 45.1% | 0.790 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 3.34 | 45.6% | 0.224 | 0.48u | Won | +1.12u |
| Aug 29, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.47 | 44.8% | 0.106 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.96 | 45.3% | 0.342 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 3.34 | 45.6% | 0.259 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 28, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.41 | 46.0% | 0.302 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.53 | 44.8% | 0.133 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 27, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.73 | 44.4% | 0.075 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 3.05 | 56.7% | 0.729 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 26, 2018 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 3.41 | 44.9% | 0.531 | 0.60u | Won | +1.45u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.60 | 45.7% | 0.647 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Aug 25, 2018 | mlb |
Orioles
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 4.21 | 45.3% | 0.648 | 1.01u | Won | +3.24u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.83 | 45.3% | 0.281 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 24, 2018 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.66 | 57.1% | 0.519 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.83 | 45.3% | 0.108 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.66 | 44.3% | 0.177 | 0.53u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.58 | 46.6% | 0.201 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 23, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.84 | 44.0% | 0.133 | 0.36u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.96 | 75.4% | 1.232 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.41 | 45.3% | 0.302 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 4.06 | 44.2% | 0.607 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Aug 21, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.93 | 44.7% | 0.311 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.51 | 46.1% | 0.336 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.16 | 45.2% | 0.210 | 0.49u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.99 | 44.6% | 0.170 | 0.43u | Won | +0.86u |
| Aug 20, 2018 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.54 | 44.4% | 0.128 | 0.21u | Won | +0.32u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.79 | 44.7% | 0.248 | 0.61u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 3.26 | 45.0% | 0.256 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Aug 19, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.16 | 43.9% | 0.266 | 0.62u | Won | +1.34u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.18 | 74.9% | 0.632 | 1.20u | Won | +1.42u |
| Aug 18, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.77 | 45.7% | 0.453 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Indians
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 4.09 | 44.5% | 0.603 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Aug 17, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 4.06 | 46.1% | 0.548 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.31 | 57.6% | 0.331 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.74 | 44.4% | 0.079 | 0.23u | Won | +0.40u |
| Aug 16, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 44.1% | 0.053 | 0.16u | Won | +0.26u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.49 | 45.2% | 0.337 | 0.68u | Won | +1.69u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 45.7% | 0.165 | 0.53u | Won | +0.82u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.86 | 45.2% | 0.124 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Aug 15, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 43.8% | 0.105 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.52 | 47.3% | 0.328 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.63 | 45.7% | 0.203 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 14, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.87 | 41.4% | 0.187 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Padres
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.63 | 45.3% | 0.193 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.93 | 54.3% | 0.256 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 13, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.57 | 52.3% | 0.345 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 3.00 | 51.3% | 0.539 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 12, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.91 | 44.6% | 0.745 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 3.01 | 50.7% | 0.527 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 3.27 | 46.0% | 0.506 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.41 | 44.0% | 0.501 | 1.04u | Won | +2.51u |
| Aug 10, 2018 | mlb |
Braves
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 51.5% | 0.210 | 0.76u | Won | +1.03u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.88 | 46.8% | 0.157 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.38 | 50.3% | 0.229 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Giants
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 2.46 | 45.5% | 0.120 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 9, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.99 | 43.6% | 0.305 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 3.01 | 46.3% | 0.394 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 8, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 53.8% | 0.776 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.78 | 51.7% | 0.437 | 1.20u | Won | +2.14u |
| Aug 7, 2018 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 42.2% | 0.256 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.81 | 46.8% | 0.316 | 0.66u | Won | +1.19u |
| Aug 6, 2018 | mlb |
Royals
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.68 | 51.6% | 0.382 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.54 | 42.8% | 0.146 | 0.47u | Lost | -0.47u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.22 | 49.0% | 0.144 | 0.32u | Won | +0.71u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.29 | 49.8% | 0.164 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.26 | 48.8% | 0.202 | 0.45u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 5, 2018 | mlb |
Cubs
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 42.0% | 0.139 | 0.20u | Won | +0.30u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 4.04 | 50.1% | 0.465 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.49 | 46.4% | 0.385 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Aug 4, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.29 | 49.8% | 0.228 | 0.27u | Won | +0.62u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 42.1% | 0.118 | 0.41u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.11 | 46.5% | 0.254 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2018 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 43.8% | 0.283 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.46 | 43.2% | 0.539 | 1.10u | Won | +2.71u |
| Aug 2, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.92 | 49.8% | 0.454 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.58 | 42.2% | 0.089 | 0.28u | Won | +0.44u |
| Aug 1, 2018 | mlb |
Nationals
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 41.0% | 0.593 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.42 | 48.2% | 0.167 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jul 31, 2018 | mlb |
Red Sox
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.69 | 22.7% | 1.215 | 1.20u | Won | +3.23u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Mariners
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.97 | 47.4% | 0.210 | 0.53u | Lost | -0.53u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.82 | 47.3% | 0.160 | 0.44u | Won | +0.80u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.26 | 47.4% | 0.072 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 30, 2018 | mlb |
Athletics
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.76 | 47.5% | 0.123 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Yankees
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 3.09 | 48.3% | 0.494 | 0.81u | Won | +1.69u |
| Jul 29, 2018 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.81 | 47.4% | 0.554 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 4.64 | 48.3% | 0.871 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2018 | mlb |
Rockies
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.81 | 54.3% | 0.743 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Reds
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 4.19 | 48.2% | 0.694 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Jul 27, 2018 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 3.14 | 48.3% | 0.516 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Jul 26, 2018 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 3.59 | 62.0% | 0.363 | 0.60u | Won | +1.55u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.