Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 16, 2019	mlb	Phillies Brewers	First5 result	away	2.55	42.9%	0.102	0.33u	Won	+0.51u
May 16, 2019	mlb	Royals Rangers	First5 result	home	2.40	44.5%	0.069	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 15, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First5 result	away	3.30	37.8%	0.555	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 15, 2019	mlb	Tigers Astros	First5 result	away	4.50	42.9%	0.945	1.20u	Won	+4.20u
May 14, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First5 result	home	2.65	44.5%	0.179	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
May 14, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Rockies	First5 result	home	2.95	44.5%	0.312	0.80u	Won	+1.56u
May 14, 2019	mlb	Tigers Astros	First5 result	home	2.80	44.5%	0.246	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
May 13, 2019	mlb	Tigers Astros	First5 result	home	3.00	53.1%	0.594	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 13, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First5 result	away	2.60	37.8%	0.226	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 12, 2019	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.65	37.7%	0.250	0.76u	Won	+1.25u
May 12, 2019	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	home	2.05	59.8%	0.225	0.41u	Won	+0.43u
May 12, 2019	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	away	2.85	42.9%	0.232	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 11, 2019	mlb	Athletics Indians	First5 result	home	2.10	87.0%	0.828	1.20u	Won	+1.32u
May 11, 2019	mlb	Orioles Angels	First5 result	away	3.50	37.8%	0.651	0.60u	Won	+1.50u
May 10, 2019	mlb	Orioles Angels	First5 result	away	2.80	37.8%	0.321	0.82u	Won	+1.48u
May 10, 2019	mlb	Royals Phillies	First5 result	away	3.40	42.8%	0.472	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
May 9, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Braves	First5 result	away	2.85	42.8%	0.234	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 9, 2019	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	away	3.10	37.8%	0.462	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
May 8, 2019	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	home	4.20	37.8%	0.587	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
May 8, 2019	mlb	Brewers Nationals	First5 result	away	2.90	37.8%	0.367	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
May 7, 2019	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	home	3.70	52.5%	0.944	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 7, 2019	mlb	Pirates Rangers	First5 result	home	2.60	63.3%	0.646	0.60u	Won	+0.96u
May 6, 2019	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	home	2.50	48.4%	0.210	0.70u	Won	+1.05u
May 6, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	away	3.50	45.3%	0.226	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 6, 2019	mlb	Brewers Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.4%	0.232	0.32u	Won	+1.15u
May 6, 2019	mlb	Reds Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.3%	0.230	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
May 5, 2019	mlb	Yankees Twins	First5 result	home	2.90	45.5%	0.320	0.84u	Won	+1.60u
May 5, 2019	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.10	54.0%	0.133	0.45u	Won	+0.50u
May 5, 2019	mlb	Indians Mariners	First5 result	home	2.35	48.4%	0.138	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
May 4, 2019	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	home	2.40	53.9%	0.294	1.05u	Won	+1.47u
May 4, 2019	mlb	Yankees Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	14.4%	0.460	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 4, 2019	mlb	Pirates Athletics	First5 result	home	2.25	56.2%	0.265	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
May 3, 2019	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	3.00	55.6%	0.669	1.20u	Won	+2.40u
May 3, 2019	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	home	3.00	48.4%	0.451	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
May 2, 2019	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	home	2.70	52.8%	0.425	0.65u	Won	+1.11u
May 2, 2019	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	12.8%	0.828	1.15u	Lost	-1.15u
May 1, 2019	mlb	Mariners Cubs	First5 result	away	4.00	53.9%	0.678	1.13u	Won	+3.39u
May 1, 2019	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.96	53.9%	0.595	0.67u	Won	+1.31u
Apr 30, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Athletics	First5 result	home	3.40	45.5%	0.546	0.60u	Won	+1.44u
Apr 30, 2019	mlb	Mets Reds	First5 result	home	2.95	55.6%	0.641	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
Apr 29, 2019	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	home	2.40	53.9%	0.294	1.05u	Won	+1.47u
Apr 29, 2019	mlb	Mets Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.3%	0.231	0.32u	Won	+1.15u
Apr 29, 2019	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.10	48.4%	0.164	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Apr 28, 2019	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	home	2.15	55.7%	0.197	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Apr 28, 2019	mlb	Astros Indians	First5 result	away	2.90	0.0%	1.642	1.20u	Won	+2.28u
Apr 28, 2019	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.3%	0.230	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 27, 2019	mlb	Twins Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.4%	0.233	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 27, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	3.20	53.9%	0.344	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Apr 27, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	14.4%	0.460	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 26, 2019	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	away	2.80	48.4%	0.051	0.14u	Won	+0.25u
Apr 26, 2019	mlb	Braves Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.4%	0.233	0.32u	Won	+1.15u
Apr 25, 2019	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.3%	0.230	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 25, 2019	mlb	Angels Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.3%	0.231	0.32u	Won	+1.15u
Apr 24, 2019	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.27	52.6%	0.193	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Apr 24, 2019	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.3%	0.231	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 24, 2019	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.4%	0.231	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 24, 2019	mlb	Angels Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.4%	0.232	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 23, 2019	mlb	Rays Royals	First5 result	away	2.70	43.1%	0.193	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 23, 2019	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	away	3.03	41.1%	0.372	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Apr 23, 2019	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	away	2.93	45.5%	0.229	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Apr 22, 2019	mlb	Rays Royals	First5 result	away	2.57	45.2%	0.078	0.25u	Won	+0.39u
Apr 22, 2019	mlb	Astros Twins	First5 result	away	2.57	40.8%	0.208	0.66u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 21, 2019	mlb	Yankees Royals	First5 result	away	2.82	47.3%	0.058	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 21, 2019	mlb	Brewers Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.70	47.5%	0.283	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Apr 21, 2019	mlb	Athletics Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.46	43.6%	0.074	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 20, 2019	mlb	Indians Braves	First5 result	home	3.28	46.2%	0.517	1.13u	Won	+2.58u
Apr 20, 2019	mlb	Orioles Twins	First5 result	home	3.13	42.1%	0.318	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Apr 19, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First5 result	home	2.97	43.8%	0.301	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Apr 19, 2019	mlb	Cubs Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.46	43.7%	0.080	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 18, 2019	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First5 result	away	2.59	43.7%	0.124	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 18, 2019	mlb	Padres Reds	First5 result	away	2.76	43.4%	0.163	0.46u	Won	+0.81u
Apr 18, 2019	mlb	Yankees Royals	First5 result	away	3.21	46.7%	0.273	0.62u	Won	+1.37u
Apr 18, 2019	mlb	Twins Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.80	46.6%	0.126	0.35u	Won	+0.63u
Apr 17, 2019	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First5 result	away	3.17	43.4%	0.366	0.84u	Won	+1.82u
Apr 17, 2019	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	home	2.48	45.0%	0.115	0.39u	Won	+0.58u
Apr 16, 2019	mlb	Marlins Cubs	First5 result	away	2.67	40.2%	0.200	0.60u	Won	+1.00u
Apr 16, 2019	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.41	43.6%	0.050	0.18u	Won	+0.25u
Apr 16, 2019	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	away	3.15	44.8%	0.226	0.52u	Won	+1.12u
Apr 15, 2019	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	3.24	43.2%	0.424	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Apr 15, 2019	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	2.49	38.1%	0.257	0.85u	Lost	-0.85u
Apr 14, 2019	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.69	44.5%	0.197	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Apr 14, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	3.98	41.7%	0.730	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 13, 2019	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.47	38.2%	0.223	0.76u	Won	+1.12u
Apr 13, 2019	mlb	Cubs Angels	First5 result	away	3.29	53.2%	0.121	0.26u	Won	+0.60u
Apr 13, 2019	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	home	2.73	39.2%	0.070	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 13, 2019	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	away	2.79	48.0%	0.051	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 13, 2019	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.81	47.6%	0.102	0.28u	Won	+0.51u
Apr 12, 2019	mlb	Cubs Angels	First5 result	home	2.43	44.0%	0.070	0.25u	Won	+0.36u
Apr 12, 2019	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	2.41	42.6%	0.063	0.22u	Won	+0.31u
Apr 12, 2019	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First5 result	away	3.25	46.3%	0.234	0.52u	Won	+1.17u
Apr 12, 2019	mlb	Rangers Athletics	First5 result	away	2.65	47.8%	0.062	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Apr 12, 2019	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	home	2.46	46.8%	0.152	0.52u	Won	+0.76u
Apr 11, 2019	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First5 result	away	2.54	41.2%	0.082	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 10, 2019	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	home	2.55	47.1%	0.201	0.65u	Won	+1.01u
Apr 10, 2019	mlb	White Sox Rays	First5 result	home	3.84	42.6%	0.637	1.12u	Lost	-1.12u
Apr 9, 2019	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	home	2.23	55.1%	0.229	0.92u	Won	+1.13u
Apr 9, 2019	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	home	2.53	50.2%	0.269	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 9, 2019	mlb	Mets Twins	First5 result	home	2.64	53.4%	0.409	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 8, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.53	61.1%	0.545	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 8, 2019	mlb	Royals Mariners	First5 result	home	2.43	52.0%	0.263	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.