Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 3.70 | 49.3% | 0.824 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 47.7% | 0.664 | 1.11u | Won | +3.33u |
| Aug 16, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 47.4% | 0.425 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 47.8% | 0.218 | 0.56u | Won | +1.09u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 47.6% | 0.286 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Aug 15, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 47.1% | 0.130 | 0.40u | Won | +0.56u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 3.00 | 46.0% | 0.380 | 0.60u | Won | +1.20u |
| Aug 14, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 47.4% | 1.005 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 4.70 | 50.9% | 1.394 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 13, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 51.1% | 0.790 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Aug 11, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 4.30 | 56.1% | 1.412 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 3.90 | 50.8% | 0.981 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 24.4% | 1.141 | 0.60u | Won | +1.62u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 4.90 | 53.8% | 1.634 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 4.60 | 51.2% | 1.354 | 0.60u | Won | +2.16u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 0.0% | 1.443 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 51.4% | 0.388 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 50.9% | 0.401 | 1.15u | Won | +2.01u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 38.0% | 0.569 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 51.4% | 0.388 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 38.2% | 0.602 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 50.7% | 0.625 | 0.95u | Won | +3.14u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 4.00 | 56.0% | 1.240 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 3.10 | 54.0% | 0.673 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 55.9% | 0.631 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 56.1% | 0.629 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 56.1% | 0.593 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 56.0% | 0.458 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 51.0% | 0.809 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 51.3% | 0.872 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 50.6% | 0.819 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 51.3% | 0.694 | 0.60u | Won | +1.38u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 4.10 | 51.0% | 1.091 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 56.1% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 3.20 | 54.2% | 0.733 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 35.6% | 0.901 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 47.2% | 0.653 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.15 | 0.0% | 0.503 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 40.2% | 1.035 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 36.6% | 0.361 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.90 | 35.6% | 0.380 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 4.60 | 37.3% | 1.070 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 4.60 | 37.6% | 0.731 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 5.00 | 37.3% | 0.864 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 3.20 | 46.4% | 0.485 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 0.0% | 1.447 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 3.90 | 45.4% | 0.566 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 34.7% | 0.470 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 36.3% | 0.325 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 23, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 3.60 | 48.4% | 0.741 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Jul 23, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 34.0% | 0.349 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jul 22, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 4.50 | 38.2% | 0.720 | 1.03u | Won | +3.61u |
| Jul 22, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 33.2% | 0.406 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Jul 21, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 37.9% | 0.631 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 21, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 37.5% | 0.658 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 20, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 35.2% | 0.594 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Jul 20, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.90 | 47.8% | 0.440 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 19, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 45.7% | 0.871 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 19, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 35.1% | 1.412 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Jul 18, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 35.9% | 0.649 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 18, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 3.40 | 53.5% | 0.818 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 4.40 | 35.1% | 1.123 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 17, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 3.80 | 53.1% | 1.020 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 16, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 4.20 | 48.8% | 0.554 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 16, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 5.00 | 50.8% | 1.542 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Jul 15, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 48.5% | 0.838 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jul 15, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 45.2% | 0.647 | 0.75u | Won | +2.85u |
| Jul 14, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 51.6% | 0.212 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Jul 14, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 48.0% | 0.297 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Jul 13, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 52.4% | 0.521 | 0.94u | Won | +1.79u |
| Jul 13, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 4.90 | 45.1% | 0.674 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jul 12, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 3.40 | 45.9% | 0.560 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Jul 12, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 48.4% | 0.838 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jul 7, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 4.70 | 48.0% | 1.254 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 7, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 45.0% | 0.638 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 6, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 4.90 | 47.1% | 1.309 | 1.20u | Won | +4.68u |
| Jul 6, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.50 | 45.4% | 0.554 | 0.60u | Won | +2.10u |
| Jul 5, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 49.4% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jul 5, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 4.40 | 43.7% | 0.922 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 4, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 49.0% | 0.127 | 0.49u | Won | +0.64u |
| Jul 4, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 38.5% | 0.482 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Jul 4, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.90 | 44.0% | 0.300 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Jul 3, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 51.3% | 0.561 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jul 3, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 3.20 | 46.0% | 0.471 | 0.87u | Won | +1.91u |
| Jul 2, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 4.60 | 48.6% | 1.234 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 2, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 1, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.10 | 51.6% | 0.083 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Jul 1, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.90 | 49.7% | 0.173 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Jun 30, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 48.4% | 1.034 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Jun 30, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 4.10 | 48.7% | 0.997 | 0.60u | Won | +1.86u |
| Jun 29, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 51.4% | 0.811 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Jun 29, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 3.10 | 47.6% | 0.476 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jun 28, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 3.10 | 49.9% | 0.548 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 28, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 49.6% | 0.290 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 27, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 49.6% | 0.339 | 0.60u | Won | +1.02u |
| Jun 27, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 47.8% | 0.672 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 26, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 47.7% | 0.841 | 0.62u | Won | +2.29u |
| Jun 26, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.2% | 0.848 | 1.18u | Won | +4.25u |
| Jun 25, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 4.60 | 49.7% | 0.863 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 25, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 4.30 | 50.1% | 1.153 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.