Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 36.8% | 0.402 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Oct 8, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.84 | 52.4% | 0.489 | 1.20u | Won | +2.21u |
| Oct 7, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.22 | 50.3% | 0.117 | 0.48u | Won | +0.59u |
| Oct 5, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 4.19 | 37.4% | 1.103 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 4, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.38 | 51.2% | 0.107 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Oct 4, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.55 | 47.3% | 0.368 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Oct 3, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.22 | 42.6% | 0.446 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Oct 1, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.38 | 42.4% | 0.070 | 0.25u | Won | +0.35u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 44.8% | 0.451 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 29, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 4.30 | 46.1% | 0.980 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 3.40 | 47.0% | 0.597 | 0.60u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.60 | 47.8% | 0.721 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.80 | 48.7% | 0.852 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Sep 27, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 4.10 | 44.8% | 0.837 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 3.70 | 48.3% | 0.787 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 26, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 44.5% | 0.797 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 4.50 | 45.1% | 1.028 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 25, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 50.7% | 0.774 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 4.70 | 45.0% | 1.116 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 24, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 45.0% | 0.888 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 45.1% | 0.321 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 4.10 | 45.2% | 0.545 | 0.88u | Won | +2.73u |
| Sep 23, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 44.8% | 0.159 | 0.28u | Won | +0.56u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 45.0% | 0.534 | 0.76u | Won | +2.28u |
| Sep 22, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 45.4% | 0.794 | 1.04u | Won | +3.95u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.80 | 45.3% | 0.720 | 0.76u | Won | +2.13u |
| Sep 21, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 4.50 | 45.0% | 0.730 | 1.04u | Won | +3.64u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 4.10 | 45.0% | 0.574 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 20, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 4.30 | 44.7% | 0.923 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 45.1% | 0.263 | 0.51u | Lost | -0.51u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 45.0% | 0.267 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Sep 19, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 44.9% | 0.368 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 45.0% | 0.403 | 0.69u | Won | +1.86u |
| Sep 18, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 45.1% | 0.887 | 1.11u | Lost | -1.11u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 4.60 | 44.8% | 0.780 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Sep 17, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 45.0% | 0.802 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 44.8% | 0.664 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Sep 16, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 45.1% | 0.512 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 4.00 | 45.1% | 0.803 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Sep 15, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.80 | 44.9% | 0.846 | 1.11u | Won | +4.22u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 5.00 | 45.0% | 1.250 | 1.20u | Won | +4.80u |
| Sep 14, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 4.80 | 45.2% | 1.171 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 44.7% | 0.566 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 13, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 45.0% | 0.891 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 4.00 | 45.3% | 0.814 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 12, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 45.1% | 0.895 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 45.2% | 0.312 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 11, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.10 | 45.0% | 0.394 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 4.80 | 36.2% | 0.740 | 0.97u | Lost | -0.97u |
| Sep 10, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 3.40 | 42.3% | 0.437 | 0.83u | Won | +1.99u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 3.90 | 42.9% | 0.638 | 0.60u | Won | +1.74u |
| Sep 9, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 3.90 | 45.1% | 0.761 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 4.30 | 46.2% | 0.985 | 1.20u | Won | +3.96u |
| Sep 8, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 4.60 | 47.6% | 0.732 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Indians
|
First5 result | away | 4.20 | 52.1% | 0.371 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Sep 7, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 43.1% | 0.896 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 41.8% | 0.381 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 46.8% | 0.205 | 0.25u | Won | +0.60u |
| Sep 6, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 48.9% | 0.294 | 0.64u | Won | +1.47u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 42.1% | 0.542 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Sep 5, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 43.2% | 0.423 | 0.76u | Won | +1.67u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 42.4% | 0.782 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 4, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 4.40 | 42.2% | 1.027 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 43.7% | 1.203 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 4.40 | 50.0% | 0.673 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 3.50 | 47.5% | 0.663 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 2, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 4.40 | 44.2% | 0.872 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 4.60 | 41.0% | 0.885 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Sep 1, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 45.2% | 0.767 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 4.10 | 45.2% | 0.677 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 31, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 45.9% | 0.974 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.40 | 41.9% | 0.424 | 0.73u | Won | +1.75u |
| Aug 30, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 4.00 | 41.0% | 0.640 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 5.00 | 40.3% | 1.016 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 29, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 3.60 | 46.9% | 0.687 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Indians
|
First5 result | home | 4.90 | 45.8% | 1.245 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 5.00 | 45.3% | 1.267 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 4.40 | 46.8% | 1.060 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 48.1% | 1.020 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Athletics
|
First5 result | home | 3.20 | 47.9% | 0.534 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 26, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 45.7% | 0.301 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 48.2% | 0.590 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Aug 25, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.80 | 48.7% | 0.564 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 47.1% | 0.131 | 0.47u | Won | +0.66u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 47.3% | 0.132 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Aug 24, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 43.3% | 0.290 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 23, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 48.7% | 0.516 | 0.66u | Won | +1.78u |
| Aug 23, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.90 | 45.4% | 0.662 | 1.14u | Lost | -1.14u |
| Aug 22, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 4.40 | 47.7% | 0.830 | 1.20u | Won | +4.08u |
| Aug 22, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 47.8% | 0.487 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 21, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 48.7% | 0.916 | 1.20u | Won | +4.44u |
| Aug 21, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 4.30 | 46.4% | 0.836 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 4.70 | 49.0% | 0.917 | 0.60u | Won | +2.22u |
| Aug 20, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 5.00 | 48.8% | 1.038 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 47.8% | 0.095 | 0.29u | Won | +0.48u |
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 45.8% | 0.075 | 0.25u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 19, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 46.1% | 0.359 | 0.82u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 4.60 | 47.4% | 1.183 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 4.50 | 46.6% | 0.902 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 17, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 4.20 | 47.7% | 1.003 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.