Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 20, 2020	mlb	Giants Angels	First5 result	home	3.12	45.2%	0.409	0.71u	Won	+1.51u
Aug 20, 2020	mlb	Blue Jays Phillies	First5 result	home	3.44	44.5%	0.530	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
Aug 19, 2020	mlb	Twins Brewers	First5 result	home	3.07	53.3%	0.636	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Aug 19, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Phillies	First5 result	home	2.78	45.3%	0.259	0.60u	Won	+1.07u
Aug 18, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Mariners	First5 result	home	2.57	50.1%	0.288	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Aug 18, 2020	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	home	2.10	53.0%	0.114	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Aug 18, 2020	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	away	2.51	43.4%	0.085	0.28u	Won	+0.42u
Aug 17, 2020	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.39	36.1%	0.171	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Aug 17, 2020	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	3.54	47.4%	0.388	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Aug 17, 2020	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	away	2.42	38.6%	0.165	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Aug 16, 2020	mlb	Marlins Braves	First5 result	away	2.86	44.0%	0.190	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Aug 16, 2020	mlb	Giants Athletics	First5 result	home	2.45	49.4%	0.210	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Aug 16, 2020	mlb	Angels Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.60	44.4%	0.154	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 15, 2020	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	home	2.53	43.8%	0.107	0.24u	Won	+0.37u
Aug 15, 2020	mlb	Angels Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.20	55.0%	0.209	0.87u	Won	+1.04u
Aug 15, 2020	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	home	2.42	49.4%	0.196	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Aug 14, 2020	mlb	Rockies Rangers	First5 result	home	2.76	50.8%	0.402	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Aug 14, 2020	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	away	3.45	43.8%	0.519	1.06u	Won	+2.60u
Aug 12, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	home	2.11	55.8%	0.178	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Aug 12, 2020	mlb	Brewers Twins	First5 result	home	2.26	47.6%	0.076	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Aug 11, 2020	mlb	Astros Giants	First5 result	home	2.40	43.9%	0.053	0.19u	Won	+0.27u
Aug 11, 2020	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	2.62	44.7%	0.120	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Aug 11, 2020	mlb	Yankees Braves	First5 result	away	2.51	44.5%	0.079	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Aug 11, 2020	mlb	Phillies Orioles	First5 result	away	2.68	44.5%	0.151	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Aug 10, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	away	2.80	44.5%	0.203	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Aug 10, 2020	mlb	Astros Giants	First5 result	away	2.71	44.5%	0.163	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Aug 10, 2020	mlb	Brewers Twins	First5 result	away	2.62	44.3%	0.130	0.40u	Won	+0.65u
Aug 9, 2020	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	away	2.98	44.5%	0.279	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Aug 9, 2020	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.19	44.7%	0.362	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Aug 9, 2020	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First5 result	away	3.10	44.4%	0.335	0.80u	Won	+1.68u
Aug 8, 2020	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	3.69	44.4%	0.588	1.09u	Won	+2.93u
Aug 8, 2020	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.62	44.6%	0.121	0.25u	Won	+0.41u
Aug 8, 2020	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	2.69	44.5%	0.156	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Aug 7, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.69	44.6%	0.153	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Aug 7, 2020	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	3.39	44.5%	0.456	0.95u	Won	+2.27u
Aug 7, 2020	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	home	2.57	44.6%	0.146	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Aug 6, 2020	mlb	Indians Reds	First5 result	home	2.53	44.5%	0.127	0.42u	Won	+0.64u
Aug 6, 2020	mlb	Royals Cubs	First5 result	away	2.51	44.4%	0.080	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Aug 6, 2020	mlb	Marlins Orioles	First5 result	home	2.47	44.4%	0.097	0.33u	Won	+0.49u
Aug 6, 2020	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	home	2.81	44.9%	0.261	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Aug 5, 2020	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.51	44.4%	0.079	0.14u	Won	+0.21u
Aug 5, 2020	mlb	Phillies Yankees	First5 result	home	2.52	44.3%	0.116	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Aug 5, 2020	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	2.93	44.4%	0.260	0.67u	Won	+1.29u
Aug 5, 2020	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	2.73	44.4%	0.211	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Aug 4, 2020	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	2.87	44.1%	0.243	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Aug 4, 2020	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.77	44.4%	0.192	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Aug 4, 2020	mlb	Brewers White Sox	First5 result	home	2.64	44.5%	0.174	0.53u	Won	+0.87u
Aug 3, 2020	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	away	2.81	44.7%	0.200	0.55u	Won	+1.00u
Aug 3, 2020	mlb	Brewers White Sox	First5 result	home	2.58	44.3%	0.142	0.26u	Won	+0.41u
Aug 3, 2020	mlb	Cubs Royals	First5 result	away	3.42	44.2%	0.480	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
Aug 2, 2020	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	home	2.77	44.2%	0.224	0.63u	Won	+1.12u
Aug 2, 2020	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	home	2.65	44.3%	0.175	0.53u	Won	+0.87u
Aug 2, 2020	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.88	44.5%	0.235	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Aug 1, 2020	mlb	Braves Mets	First5 result	home	2.94	43.9%	0.292	0.75u	Won	+1.46u
Aug 1, 2020	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	home	2.40	44.5%	0.068	0.18u	Won	+0.25u
Aug 1, 2020	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	away	2.68	44.4%	0.153	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Aug 1, 2020	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	away	2.64	44.4%	0.137	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jul 31, 2020	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	home	2.70	44.3%	0.196	0.57u	Won	+0.97u
Jul 31, 2020	mlb	Tigers Reds	First5 result	away	2.78	44.4%	0.197	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Jul 31, 2020	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	home	2.66	44.3%	0.179	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Jul 31, 2020	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.59	44.7%	0.157	0.14u	Won	+0.22u
Jul 30, 2020	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	away	2.60	44.4%	0.120	0.37u	Won	+0.59u
Jul 30, 2020	mlb	Mets Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.45	44.5%	0.053	0.17u	Won	+0.25u
Jul 30, 2020	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	home	2.49	44.4%	0.106	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jul 30, 2020	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	3.10	44.5%	0.380	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Jul 29, 2020	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	3.98	44.5%	0.773	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 29, 2020	mlb	Mets Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.24	44.5%	0.393	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 28, 2020	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	home	2.57	77.4%	0.990	1.20u	Won	+1.88u
Jul 28, 2020	mlb	Reds Cubs	First5 result	away	2.59	30.8%	0.453	0.60u	Won	+0.95u
Jul 27, 2020	mlb	Rays Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	59.5%	0.286	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 27, 2020	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.23	35.6%	0.099	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jul 27, 2020	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.01	61.4%	0.234	1.16u	Won	+1.17u
Jul 26, 2020	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First5 result	away	3.41	35.6%	0.678	0.60u	Won	+1.45u
Jul 26, 2020	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	away	3.63	33.9%	0.825	1.20u	Won	+3.16u
Jul 26, 2020	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	home	2.40	90.3%	1.168	1.20u	Won	+1.68u
Jul 25, 2020	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.49	35.6%	0.720	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 25, 2020	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First5 result	away	2.78	0.0%	1.114	1.20u	Won	+2.14u
Jul 25, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	3.37	31.1%	0.807	0.60u	Won	+1.42u
Jul 24, 2020	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	away	3.49	35.6%	0.720	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 24, 2020	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	51.1%	0.554	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 24, 2020	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	away	2.95	31.0%	0.578	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
Jul 23, 2020	mlb	Nationals Yankees	First5 result	home	2.49	43.9%	0.094	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jul 23, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	away	3.32	30.8%	0.863	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 30, 2019	mlb	Astros Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.1%	0.447	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Oct 30, 2019	mlb	Astros Nationals	First5 result	away	2.24	35.6%	0.103	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Oct 29, 2019	mlb	Astros Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.8%	0.543	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Oct 27, 2019	mlb	Nationals Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.1%	0.411	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Oct 26, 2019	mlb	Nationals Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.6%	0.673	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Oct 23, 2019	mlb	Astros Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.6%	0.247	0.34u	Won	+1.22u
Oct 22, 2019	mlb	Astros Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.341	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 18, 2019	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.1%	0.502	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Oct 15, 2019	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.9%	0.237	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Oct 15, 2019	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.8%	0.234	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Oct 14, 2019	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.6%	0.162	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Oct 13, 2019	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.7%	0.695	0.96u	Won	+3.46u
Oct 12, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.0%	0.642	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Oct 12, 2019	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.6%	0.202	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Oct 11, 2019	mlb	Cardinals Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	0.481	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Oct 10, 2019	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.9%	0.521	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Oct 9, 2019	mlb	Braves Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.213	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.