Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 28, 2021	mlb	Pirates Royals	First5 result	away	2.78	46.1%	0.073	0.18u	Won	+0.32u
Apr 28, 2021	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	3.32	43.8%	0.373	0.80u	Won	+1.86u
Apr 28, 2021	mlb	Braves Cubs	First5 result	home	2.29	46.9%	0.074	0.29u	Won	+0.37u
Apr 27, 2021	mlb	Indians Twins	First5 result	home	2.38	47.8%	0.139	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 27, 2021	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	home	2.54	44.9%	0.141	0.46u	Won	+0.71u
Apr 27, 2021	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	3.11	47.1%	0.136	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Apr 27, 2021	mlb	Pirates Royals	First5 result	away	3.26	46.1%	0.237	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Apr 26, 2021	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	home	2.46	46.4%	0.142	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 26, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	home	2.42	47.2%	0.142	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 25, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Mariners	First5 result	away	2.71	45.4%	0.062	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 25, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	away	2.67	57.2%	0.142	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Apr 24, 2021	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	home	2.02	57.9%	0.169	0.83u	Won	+0.85u
Apr 24, 2021	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	home	2.55	44.9%	0.144	0.39u	Won	+0.60u
Apr 24, 2021	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	home	2.48	47.2%	0.171	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Apr 23, 2021	mlb	Twins Pirates	First5 result	away	3.41	46.7%	0.258	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 23, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	home	2.40	46.4%	0.113	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Apr 21, 2021	mlb	Yankees Braves	First5 result	home	2.27	46.7%	0.061	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 20, 2021	mlb	Yankees Braves	First5 result	home	2.61	42.8%	0.118	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 20, 2021	mlb	Athletics Twins	First5 result	away	2.62	43.1%	0.088	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Apr 19, 2021	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First5 result	home	2.81	41.8%	0.175	0.48u	Won	+0.87u
Apr 19, 2021	mlb	Mariners Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.89	44.8%	0.141	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 19, 2021	mlb	Padres Brewers	First5 result	away	2.44	39.5%	0.154	0.54u	Won	+0.78u
Apr 18, 2021	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First5 result	home	2.41	44.4%	0.070	0.25u	Won	+0.35u
Apr 18, 2021	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First5 result	home	2.58	41.9%	0.082	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Apr 18, 2021	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.75	43.3%	0.144	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 18, 2021	mlb	Red Sox White Sox	First5 result	away	3.08	47.5%	0.110	0.26u	Won	+0.54u
Apr 17, 2021	mlb	Rockies Mets	First5 result	home	3.44	47.5%	0.635	1.20u	Won	+2.93u
Apr 17, 2021	mlb	Rangers Orioles	First5 result	home	3.29	45.0%	0.480	0.60u	Won	+1.37u
Apr 16, 2021	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.21	47.8%	0.056	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 16, 2021	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	2.68	43.1%	0.088	0.26u	Won	+0.44u
Apr 16, 2021	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	2.84	41.2%	0.251	0.68u	Won	+1.25u
Apr 15, 2021	mlb	White Sox Indians	First5 result	away	2.60	42.9%	0.077	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 15, 2021	mlb	Athletics Tigers	First5 result	away	2.63	42.9%	0.096	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Apr 15, 2021	mlb	Orioles Mariners	First5 result	away	2.56	42.2%	0.050	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 15, 2021	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	3.36	45.4%	0.418	0.89u	Won	+2.10u
Apr 14, 2021	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	3.11	42.2%	0.314	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Apr 14, 2021	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	3.16	44.8%	0.363	0.84u	Won	+1.81u
Apr 14, 2021	mlb	Royals Angels	First5 result	away	2.71	40.7%	0.234	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Apr 13, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	away	3.73	37.5%	0.932	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 13, 2021	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First5 result	home	3.09	46.6%	0.438	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 12, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Athletics	First5 result	home	2.85	48.5%	0.382	1.03u	Lost	-1.03u
Apr 12, 2021	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	away	3.12	42.5%	0.317	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Apr 11, 2021	mlb	Indians Tigers	First5 result	away	2.76	44.2%	0.142	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Apr 11, 2021	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	away	2.47	41.6%	0.084	0.29u	Won	+0.43u
Apr 11, 2021	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.64	41.9%	0.122	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 11, 2021	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	2.39	40.4%	0.100	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Apr 11, 2021	mlb	Rangers Padres	First5 result	home	2.27	46.4%	0.054	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 11, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Nationals	First5 result	home	2.27	46.4%	0.054	0.17u	Won	+0.22u
Apr 10, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	2.52	42.0%	0.074	0.24u	Won	+0.36u
Apr 10, 2021	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	home	2.39	44.1%	0.054	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Apr 10, 2021	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	3.32	45.3%	0.211	0.46u	Won	+1.07u
Apr 9, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Angels	First5 result	away	2.61	41.9%	0.106	0.33u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 9, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First5 result	away	3.41	40.7%	0.492	1.02u	Won	+2.46u
Apr 9, 2021	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	2.67	42.4%	0.070	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 9, 2021	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	home	2.67	40.3%	0.077	0.23u	Won	+0.38u
Apr 8, 2021	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	home	2.28	46.3%	0.056	0.22u	Won	+0.28u
Apr 8, 2021	mlb	White Sox Royals	First5 result	away	2.43	39.8%	0.147	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Apr 8, 2021	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	away	2.64	41.2%	0.136	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Apr 7, 2021	mlb	Athletics Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.52	45.5%	0.146	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 7, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	home	2.61	41.7%	0.088	0.27u	Won	+0.43u
Apr 7, 2021	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	home	2.66	40.7%	0.082	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Apr 6, 2021	mlb	Angels Astros	First5 result	away	2.41	36.4%	0.232	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 6, 2021	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	3.52	39.6%	0.643	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 6, 2021	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	2.62	41.4%	0.160	0.49u	Won	+0.79u
Apr 5, 2021	mlb	Rangers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.35	34.5%	0.260	0.94u	Won	+1.27u
Apr 5, 2021	mlb	Tigers Twins	First5 result	away	2.94	40.5%	0.334	0.86u	Won	+1.67u
Apr 5, 2021	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	away	2.33	38.8%	0.115	0.43u	Won	+0.57u
Apr 4, 2021	mlb	Tigers Indians	First5 result	away	2.63	34.6%	0.403	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 4, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.63	34.3%	0.420	1.20u	Won	+1.96u
Apr 4, 2021	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.79	39.3%	0.315	0.88u	Won	+1.58u
Apr 3, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.48	33.9%	0.347	0.70u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 3, 2021	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.80	37.3%	0.397	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
Apr 3, 2021	mlb	Mariners Giants	First5 result	away	2.46	38.6%	0.181	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 2, 2021	mlb	Mariners Giants	First5 result	away	2.55	39.7%	0.183	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 2, 2021	mlb	Angels White Sox	First5 result	home	3.15	40.5%	0.276	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Apr 2, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	2.85	38.7%	0.370	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Apr 1, 2021	mlb	Royals Rangers	First5 result	away	2.87	36.8%	0.452	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Apr 1, 2021	mlb	Padres Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.06	38.2%	0.490	1.19u	Won	+2.45u
Oct 21, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Rays	First5 result	away	2.16	32.6%	0.218	0.94u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 20, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Rays	First5 result	away	2.43	37.7%	0.144	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 18, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.1%	0.394	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Oct 17, 2020	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.666	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Oct 17, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.9%	0.227	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Oct 16, 2020	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.3%	0.328	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 15, 2020	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	44.6%	0.211	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Oct 14, 2020	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.2%	0.707	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Oct 13, 2020	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.9%	0.208	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Oct 13, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.6%	0.543	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Oct 12, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.3%	0.465	0.65u	Won	+2.34u
Oct 12, 2020	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.8%	0.470	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Oct 11, 2020	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.3%	0.834	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Oct 9, 2020	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.4%	0.894	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Oct 8, 2020	mlb	Marlins Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	44.7%	0.394	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Oct 8, 2020	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.4%	0.288	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Oct 8, 2020	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	home	2.46	48.9%	0.204	0.70u	Won	+1.02u
Oct 7, 2020	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.0%	0.709	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
Oct 7, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.6%	0.406	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Oct 7, 2020	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.3%	0.209	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Oct 6, 2020	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.171	0.24u	Won	+0.86u
Oct 6, 2020	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.6%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.