Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jul 25, 2021	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.55	51.2%	0.304	0.60u	Won	+0.93u
Jul 25, 2021	mlb	Marlins Padres	First5 result	home	2.80	52.8%	0.479	1.20u	Won	+2.16u
Jul 24, 2021	mlb	Giants Pirates	First5 result	away	3.36	49.5%	0.299	0.63u	Won	+1.49u
Jul 24, 2021	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.39	50.8%	0.214	0.31u	Won	+0.43u
Jul 24, 2021	mlb	Mets Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.40	51.7%	0.241	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Jul 23, 2021	mlb	Marlins Padres	First5 result	home	2.28	50.7%	0.156	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jul 23, 2021	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.11	53.5%	0.128	0.58u	Won	+0.64u
Jul 23, 2021	mlb	Indians Rays	First5 result	away	3.36	52.1%	0.235	0.50u	Won	+1.18u
Jul 23, 2021	mlb	Cubs Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.09	51.5%	0.076	0.11u	Won	+0.12u
Jul 22, 2021	mlb	Indians Rays	First5 result	home	2.35	52.1%	0.223	0.83u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 22, 2021	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.23	51.6%	0.151	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Jul 22, 2021	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	home	2.24	53.8%	0.205	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Jul 21, 2021	mlb	Brewers Royals	First5 result	home	2.19	52.5%	0.151	0.60u	Won	+0.71u
Jul 21, 2021	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	away	2.41	15.4%	0.967	1.20u	Won	+1.69u
Jul 20, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First5 result	home	2.47	52.8%	0.304	1.04u	Won	+1.53u
Jul 20, 2021	mlb	Astros Indians	First5 result	home	2.02	54.4%	0.098	0.23u	Won	+0.23u
Jul 20, 2021	mlb	Reds Mets	First5 result	home	2.15	52.2%	0.122	0.53u	Won	+0.61u
Jul 19, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Cubs	First5 result	home	2.07	52.1%	0.078	0.36u	Won	+0.39u
Jul 19, 2021	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	away	3.38	52.6%	0.226	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Jul 19, 2021	mlb	White Sox Twins	First5 result	away	2.98	51.4%	0.110	0.28u	Won	+0.55u
Jul 18, 2021	mlb	Royals Orioles	First5 result	away	3.00	51.5%	0.114	0.28u	Won	+0.56u
Jul 18, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Cubs	First5 result	home	2.21	53.3%	0.178	0.73u	Won	+0.88u
Jul 18, 2021	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	home	2.34	50.7%	0.186	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Jul 17, 2021	mlb	Braves Rays	First5 result	home	2.54	51.3%	0.302	0.60u	Won	+0.92u
Jul 17, 2021	mlb	Nationals Padres	First5 result	home	3.09	51.1%	0.579	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 16, 2021	mlb	Pirates Mets	First5 result	home	2.46	51.8%	0.274	0.60u	Won	+0.88u
Jul 16, 2021	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	home	3.13	50.7%	0.588	1.20u	Won	+2.56u
Jul 11, 2021	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	away	2.73	31.2%	0.450	0.60u	Won	+1.04u
Jul 11, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.89	30.0%	0.598	1.20u	Won	+2.27u
Jul 10, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Phillies	First5 result	away	3.00	28.4%	0.728	1.20u	Won	+2.40u
Jul 10, 2021	mlb	Astros Yankees	First5 result	away	2.78	30.5%	0.508	0.60u	Won	+1.07u
Jul 9, 2021	mlb	Mets Pirates	First5 result	away	2.76	32.1%	0.429	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 9, 2021	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.83	13.0%	0.967	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 8, 2021	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	2.54	31.5%	0.337	1.09u	Won	+1.68u
Jul 8, 2021	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	home	2.41	51.3%	0.236	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Jul 7, 2021	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.63	30.3%	0.439	1.20u	Won	+1.96u
Jul 7, 2021	mlb	Royals Reds	First5 result	away	2.52	30.1%	0.383	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 6, 2021	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.42	31.4%	0.282	0.60u	Won	+0.85u
Jul 6, 2021	mlb	Mariners Yankees	First5 result	away	2.49	30.2%	0.365	1.20u	Won	+1.79u
Jul 5, 2021	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	away	2.84	31.1%	0.511	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 5, 2021	mlb	Mets Brewers	First5 result	away	3.15	31.6%	0.657	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 4, 2021	mlb	Royals Twins	First5 result	home	2.60	57.7%	0.499	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 4, 2021	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	home	2.66	56.0%	0.490	0.60u	Won	+1.00u
Jul 3, 2021	mlb	Phillies Padres	First5 result	home	2.43	50.9%	0.237	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Jul 3, 2021	mlb	Rockies Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.36	33.2%	0.177	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Jul 3, 2021	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	home	2.37	48.8%	0.156	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 2, 2021	mlb	Reds Cubs	First5 result	away	2.00	14.0%	0.335	1.20u	Won	+1.20u
Jul 2, 2021	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	home	2.41	50.0%	0.205	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 1, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First5 result	home	2.57	50.4%	0.295	0.60u	Won	+0.94u
Jul 1, 2021	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	3.03	32.4%	0.547	1.20u	Won	+2.44u
Jun 30, 2021	mlb	Indians Tigers	First5 result	away	2.40	31.1%	0.283	0.60u	Won	+0.84u
Jun 30, 2021	mlb	Rockies Pirates	First5 result	away	2.96	29.6%	0.656	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 29, 2021	mlb	Yankees Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	23.1%	0.325	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Jun 29, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First5 result	home	2.21	57.3%	0.267	1.10u	Lost	-1.10u
Jun 28, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.6%	0.217	0.30u	Won	+1.08u
Jun 28, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	23.2%	0.311	0.43u	Won	+1.55u
Jun 27, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First5 result	home	2.50	57.4%	0.436	1.20u	Won	+1.80u
Jun 27, 2021	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	home	2.12	51.6%	0.093	0.16u	Won	+0.18u
Jun 27, 2021	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	23.2%	0.316	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jun 26, 2021	mlb	Rays Angels	First5 result	home	3.01	57.3%	0.724	1.20u	Won	+2.41u
Jun 26, 2021	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First5 result	home	2.84	55.2%	0.568	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 25, 2021	mlb	Reds Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.8%	0.198	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jun 25, 2021	mlb	Twins Indians	First5 result	home	2.09	55.9%	0.168	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jun 25, 2021	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	away	3.63	51.2%	0.099	0.19u	Won	+0.50u
Jun 24, 2021	mlb	Yankees Royals	First5 result	home	2.99	55.3%	0.654	1.20u	Won	+2.39u
Jun 24, 2021	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	home	2.29	46.0%	0.054	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Jun 23, 2021	mlb	Angels Giants	First5 result	home	2.86	55.2%	0.578	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 23, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Brewers	First5 result	home	2.87	51.2%	0.468	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 22, 2021	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	home	2.64	55.2%	0.457	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 22, 2021	mlb	Pirates White Sox	First5 result	home	2.51	51.9%	0.303	0.60u	Won	+0.91u
Jun 21, 2021	mlb	Cubs Indians	First5 result	home	2.50	50.7%	0.266	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
Jun 21, 2021	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.08	55.4%	0.152	0.26u	Won	+0.28u
Jun 21, 2021	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	home	2.25	51.6%	0.161	0.65u	Won	+0.81u
Jun 20, 2021	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.58	55.3%	0.426	1.20u	Won	+1.90u
Jun 20, 2021	mlb	Angels Tigers	First5 result	home	2.55	51.1%	0.304	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 19, 2021	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	home	2.45	55.6%	0.363	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 19, 2021	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	home	3.06	55.7%	0.704	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 18, 2021	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.74	51.5%	0.411	1.18u	Won	+2.05u
Jun 18, 2021	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.80	45.9%	0.285	0.62u	Won	+1.12u
Jun 17, 2021	mlb	Indians Orioles	First5 result	home	2.51	51.2%	0.285	0.94u	Won	+1.42u
Jun 17, 2021	mlb	Braves Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.39	51.0%	0.219	0.79u	Won	+1.10u
Jun 16, 2021	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	3.53	23.1%	0.697	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 16, 2021	mlb	Nationals Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	23.6%	0.274	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 16, 2021	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	home	2.69	45.8%	0.232	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Jun 15, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.64	57.5%	0.121	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 15, 2021	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	3.03	45.1%	0.367	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Jun 15, 2021	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	home	2.12	54.2%	0.149	0.66u	Won	+0.74u
Jun 14, 2021	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.42	53.9%	0.304	1.07u	Won	+1.52u
Jun 14, 2021	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	home	2.18	55.5%	0.210	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jun 13, 2021	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First5 result	home	2.35	54.3%	0.277	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 13, 2021	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.95	56.8%	0.677	1.20u	Won	+2.34u
Jun 12, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.58	54.8%	0.413	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 12, 2021	mlb	Twins Astros	First5 result	home	2.47	71.8%	0.772	1.20u	Won	+1.76u
Jun 11, 2021	mlb	Reds Rockies	First5 result	home	2.24	59.4%	0.331	1.20u	Won	+1.49u
Jun 11, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Rangers	First5 result	away	3.78	54.4%	0.296	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 10, 2021	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First5 result	home	2.26	59.7%	0.349	0.60u	Won	+0.76u
Jun 10, 2021	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	home	3.05	48.9%	0.490	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 9, 2021	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.61	58.9%	0.536	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 9, 2021	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	home	2.67	58.2%	0.553	1.20u	Won	+2.00u
Jun 8, 2021	mlb	Orioles Mets	First5 result	home	2.71	53.8%	0.459	1.20u	Won	+2.05u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.