Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Oct 29, 2021	mlb	Braves Astros	First5 result	away	2.08	33.3%	0.156	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Oct 27, 2021	mlb	Astros Braves	First5 result	away	2.03	33.5%	0.119	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Oct 21, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	away	2.16	30.3%	0.279	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 20, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	away	2.07	41.3%	0.215	0.71u	Won	+0.76u
Oct 20, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First5 result	away	2.91	38.4%	0.418	1.09u	Won	+2.08u
Oct 19, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.455	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Oct 19, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.7%	0.497	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Oct 18, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.9%	0.492	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Oct 17, 2021	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.2%	0.616	0.86u	Won	+3.10u
Oct 16, 2021	mlb	Braves Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.4%	0.507	0.70u	Won	+2.52u
Oct 16, 2021	mlb	Astros Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.1%	0.496	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Oct 15, 2021	mlb	Astros Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.4%	0.520	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Oct 14, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.0%	0.342	0.48u	Won	+1.73u
Oct 12, 2021	mlb	Braves Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.4%	0.479	0.67u	Won	+2.41u
Oct 12, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.8%	0.451	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Oct 12, 2021	mlb	White Sox Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.5%	0.480	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Oct 11, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.0%	0.606	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Oct 11, 2021	mlb	Braves Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.7%	0.561	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Oct 11, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.0%	0.283	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Oct 10, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.0%	0.560	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Oct 9, 2021	mlb	Brewers Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.2%	0.464	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Oct 9, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.9%	0.552	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Oct 8, 2021	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.560	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Oct 8, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	0.348	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Oct 8, 2021	mlb	Astros White Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.1%	0.580	0.81u	Won	+2.92u
Oct 7, 2021	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.8%	0.752	1.04u	Lost	-1.04u
Oct 6, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.5%	0.275	0.38u	Won	+1.37u
Oct 3, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First5 result	away	3.30	48.3%	0.404	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Oct 3, 2021	mlb	Royals Twins	First5 result	away	3.86	54.6%	0.754	1.20u	Won	+3.43u
Oct 2, 2021	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	3.37	48.5%	0.424	0.90u	Won	+2.13u
Oct 2, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	3.27	48.5%	0.383	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Oct 1, 2021	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	2.87	52.3%	0.369	0.88u	Won	+1.65u
Oct 1, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Brewers	First5 result	away	3.90	45.7%	0.531	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Sep 30, 2021	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.87	49.5%	0.421	1.13u	Won	+2.11u
Sep 30, 2021	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	away	3.04	53.5%	0.413	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Sep 29, 2021	mlb	White Sox Reds	First5 result	home	3.26	48.9%	0.593	1.20u	Won	+2.71u
Sep 29, 2021	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	3.57	47.5%	0.552	0.60u	Won	+1.54u
Sep 28, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	away	3.21	45.7%	0.257	0.58u	Won	+1.28u
Sep 28, 2021	mlb	Royals Indians	First5 result	home	3.24	45.5%	0.475	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Sep 27, 2021	mlb	Rockies Nationals	First5 result	home	2.31	45.7%	0.057	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
Sep 26, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Yankees	First5 result	away	3.24	48.8%	0.357	0.60u	Won	+1.34u
Sep 26, 2021	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	home	3.37	48.0%	0.618	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 25, 2021	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	3.31	48.8%	0.388	0.81u	Won	+1.87u
Sep 25, 2021	mlb	Twins Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.11	45.5%	0.417	0.99u	Lost	-0.99u
Sep 24, 2021	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.68	46.6%	0.248	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 24, 2021	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	2.94	49.9%	0.467	1.20u	Won	+2.33u
Sep 23, 2021	mlb	Angels Astros	First5 result	home	2.73	46.3%	0.265	0.60u	Won	+1.04u
Sep 23, 2021	mlb	Orioles Rangers	First5 result	home	3.21	52.2%	0.676	1.20u	Won	+2.65u
Sep 22, 2021	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.78	45.8%	0.480	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Sep 22, 2021	mlb	Cubs Twins	First5 result	home	2.71	52.6%	0.425	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Sep 21, 2021	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	away	2.87	40.9%	0.241	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Sep 21, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Mets	First5 result	away	3.22	41.5%	0.360	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Sep 21, 2021	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	away	2.75	40.1%	0.221	0.35u	Won	+0.61u
Sep 20, 2021	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	away	3.27	41.0%	0.412	0.91u	Won	+2.07u
Sep 20, 2021	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.93	40.8%	0.195	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Sep 20, 2021	mlb	Indians Royals	First5 result	away	2.76	40.3%	0.217	0.62u	Won	+1.09u
Sep 19, 2021	mlb	Reds Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.67	40.7%	0.590	1.10u	Won	+2.94u
Sep 19, 2021	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	3.69	41.9%	0.536	0.70u	Won	+1.88u
Sep 18, 2021	mlb	Astros Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.38	41.5%	0.420	0.78u	Won	+1.86u
Sep 18, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	away	3.73	41.8%	0.558	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Sep 17, 2021	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First5 result	away	3.78	40.2%	0.672	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 17, 2021	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	2.96	40.9%	0.277	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 16, 2021	mlb	White Sox Angels	First5 result	away	2.71	41.7%	0.142	0.41u	Won	+0.70u
Sep 16, 2021	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	home	2.93	40.5%	0.188	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Sep 16, 2021	mlb	Rays Tigers	First5 result	away	2.60	42.5%	0.059	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 16, 2021	mlb	Royals Athletics	First5 result	away	2.55	41.0%	0.095	0.31u	Won	+0.48u
Sep 15, 2021	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	4.22	40.7%	0.839	1.20u	Won	+3.86u
Sep 15, 2021	mlb	Braves Rockies	First5 result	away	2.85	40.9%	0.230	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 14, 2021	mlb	White Sox Angels	First5 result	home	3.75	40.6%	0.524	0.95u	Won	+2.61u
Sep 14, 2021	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	away	3.34	41.8%	0.393	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Sep 13, 2021	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	away	3.47	41.4%	0.471	0.95u	Won	+2.35u
Sep 13, 2021	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.55	42.1%	0.064	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Sep 13, 2021	mlb	Yankees Twins	First5 result	home	2.59	41.8%	0.084	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Sep 12, 2021	mlb	Mariners Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.34	41.5%	0.413	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Sep 12, 2021	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	away	3.46	41.8%	0.451	0.92u	Won	+2.26u
Sep 11, 2021	mlb	Mariners Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.89	40.8%	0.250	0.47u	Won	+0.89u
Sep 11, 2021	mlb	Indians Brewers	First5 result	home	3.13	40.1%	0.256	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 11, 2021	mlb	Mets Yankees	First5 result	away	3.19	42.1%	0.320	0.73u	Won	+1.60u
Sep 10, 2021	mlb	Mariners Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.68	41.4%	0.132	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Sep 10, 2021	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.74	41.5%	0.160	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Sep 10, 2021	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	away	2.56	41.7%	0.074	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Sep 10, 2021	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.46	40.5%	0.401	0.81u	Won	+1.99u
Sep 9, 2021	mlb	Athletics White Sox	First5 result	away	2.84	41.6%	0.202	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Sep 9, 2021	mlb	Orioles Royals	First5 result	away	2.59	41.3%	0.103	0.32u	Won	+0.51u
Sep 8, 2021	mlb	Pirates Tigers	First5 result	away	2.51	41.1%	0.074	0.22u	Won	+0.33u
Sep 8, 2021	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	away	2.80	40.2%	0.234	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Sep 8, 2021	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.38	41.2%	0.444	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Sep 7, 2021	mlb	Diamondbacks Rangers	First5 result	away	3.70	42.2%	0.604	1.12u	Won	+3.02u
Sep 7, 2021	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.16	42.2%	0.371	0.68u	Won	+1.47u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Pirates Tigers	First5 result	home	2.83	41.8%	0.182	0.50u	Won	+0.92u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	home	2.37	48.3%	0.145	0.53u	Won	+0.73u
Sep 6, 2021	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.2%	0.523	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Sep 5, 2021	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.89	42.6%	0.320	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 5, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.2%	0.538	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Sep 5, 2021	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.3%	0.540	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	3.88	40.9%	0.523	0.60u	Won	+1.73u
Sep 4, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Indians	First5 result	draw	4.60	14.9%	2.252	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.32	52.0%	0.114	0.11u	Won	+0.15u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Red Sox Indians	First5 result	away	2.68	41.3%	0.189	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Sep 3, 2021	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.0%	0.535	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.