Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 15, 2022	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	home	2.51	42.1%	0.056	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 14, 2022	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.8%	0.330	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Rangers Red Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	13.3%	0.442	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Nationals Astros	First5 result	away	2.06	44.5%	0.144	0.49u	Won	+0.52u
May 13, 2022	mlb	Mets Mariners	First5 result	away	2.86	30.9%	0.262	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
May 11, 2022	mlb	Mariners Phillies	First5 result	away	2.21	8.3%	0.597	1.20u	Won	+1.45u
May 11, 2022	mlb	Padres Cubs	First5 result	away	2.77	41.9%	0.447	0.60u	Won	+1.06u
May 10, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	13.3%	0.442	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 10, 2022	mlb	Padres Cubs	First5 result	away	2.79	33.4%	0.187	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 9, 2022	mlb	Angels Rays	First5 result	home	2.99	42.1%	0.258	0.50u	Won	+1.00u
May 9, 2022	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.00	33.4%	0.277	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
May 9, 2022	mlb	Orioles Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	13.3%	0.442	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 8, 2022	mlb	Twins Athletics	First5 result	home	2.89	42.1%	0.216	0.57u	Won	+1.08u
May 8, 2022	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.40	41.9%	0.254	0.91u	Won	+1.27u
May 7, 2022	mlb	Reds Pirates	First5 result	away	2.82	47.6%	0.181	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 7, 2022	mlb	Angels Nationals	First5 result	home	2.51	42.1%	0.056	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 7, 2022	mlb	Guardians Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.95	42.1%	0.241	0.62u	Won	+1.21u
May 5, 2022	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	2.99	42.1%	0.106	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 4, 2022	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.89	42.1%	0.069	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
May 4, 2022	mlb	Guardians Padres	First5 result	home	2.24	47.5%	0.064	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 4, 2022	mlb	Brewers Reds	First5 result	away	3.55	42.1%	0.313	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 3, 2022	mlb	Royals Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.17	52.8%	0.145	0.62u	Won	+0.73u
May 3, 2022	mlb	Phillies Rangers	First5 result	home	2.08	52.4%	0.091	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
May 3, 2022	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	home	2.44	51.1%	0.246	0.85u	Won	+1.22u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.42	52.4%	0.268	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
May 2, 2022	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	home	2.32	52.8%	0.224	0.85u	Won	+1.12u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Tigers	First5 result	home	2.55	46.2%	0.178	0.57u	Won	+0.88u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Royals Yankees	First5 result	away	3.19	46.3%	0.190	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 1, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Astros	First5 result	home	2.73	46.2%	0.261	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.31	46.8%	0.080	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Tigers	First5 result	away	2.91	47.1%	0.067	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Giants Nationals	First5 result	away	3.91	51.2%	0.324	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Apr 30, 2022	mlb	Rockies Reds	First5 result	home	2.61	45.7%	0.192	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 29, 2022	mlb	Rockies Reds	First5 result	home	2.50	52.8%	0.321	1.07u	Won	+1.61u
Apr 29, 2022	mlb	Giants Nationals	First5 result	home	2.71	47.0%	0.273	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First5 result	home	2.34	52.8%	0.235	0.88u	Won	+1.18u
Apr 28, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.42	51.2%	0.238	0.84u	Won	+1.19u
Apr 27, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.90	34.8%	0.313	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Apr 27, 2022	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	home	2.49	52.8%	0.315	1.06u	Won	+1.58u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Reds Padres	First5 result	away	3.18	40.3%	0.319	0.73u	Won	+1.59u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	home	2.52	46.1%	0.161	0.41u	Won	+0.62u
Apr 26, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Mets	First5 result	home	2.65	46.0%	0.219	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Apr 25, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.57	34.7%	0.170	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 25, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.63	53.0%	0.395	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	home	2.54	52.9%	0.344	1.12u	Lost	-1.12u
Apr 24, 2022	mlb	Nationals Giants	First5 result	home	2.63	51.0%	0.342	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Apr 23, 2022	mlb	Tigers Rockies	First5 result	home	2.51	52.7%	0.323	1.07u	Won	+1.62u
Apr 23, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.38	52.9%	0.260	0.73u	Won	+1.01u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Angels Orioles	First5 result	home	2.05	51.3%	0.051	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Mariners Royals	First5 result	home	2.15	51.1%	0.099	0.43u	Won	+0.49u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.07	52.8%	0.092	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Apr 22, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Mets	First5 result	home	2.24	50.7%	0.136	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Apr 21, 2022	mlb	Nationals Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.45	51.1%	0.251	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Apr 21, 2022	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First5 result	home	2.27	50.9%	0.156	0.61u	Won	+0.77u
Apr 20, 2022	mlb	Tigers Yankees	First5 result	away	3.04	46.2%	0.136	0.33u	Won	+0.67u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	away	2.85	34.7%	0.526	1.20u	Won	+2.22u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Athletics Orioles	First5 result	away	3.20	36.6%	0.335	0.60u	Won	+1.32u
Apr 19, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.39	33.7%	0.178	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.79	39.7%	0.316	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	away	2.71	41.4%	0.229	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
Apr 18, 2022	mlb	Padres Reds	First5 result	away	2.66	39.7%	0.251	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Mariners Astros	First5 result	away	3.24	31.5%	0.618	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 17, 2022	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	2.80	36.5%	0.442	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	19.6%	1.529	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	9.5%	2.811	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 16, 2022	mlb	Guardians Giants	First5 result	away	2.78	30.0%	0.492	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	3.28	36.0%	0.427	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	2.99	39.9%	0.407	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
Apr 15, 2022	mlb	Padres Braves	First5 result	home	2.72	41.1%	0.119	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	2.86	34.5%	0.281	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Padres Braves	First5 result	away	3.31	43.1%	0.416	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Rays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.17	43.5%	0.226	0.15u	Won	+0.18u
Apr 14, 2022	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	away	2.23	33.4%	0.126	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.86	29.7%	0.710	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	21.4%	1.705	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 13, 2022	mlb	Reds Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	46.4%	0.307	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Astros	First5 result	away	2.73	37.2%	0.378	0.60u	Won	+1.04u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	away	2.45	31.2%	0.428	1.20u	Won	+1.74u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	home	2.39	44.4%	0.061	0.22u	Won	+0.31u
Apr 12, 2022	mlb	Reds Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	42.0%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Angels Marlins	First5 result	away	2.87	34.4%	0.315	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Rays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.13	31.7%	0.225	0.96u	Won	+1.08u
Apr 11, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	49.1%	0.252	0.35u	Won	+1.26u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.38	34.3%	0.292	1.06u	Lost	-1.06u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Braves Reds	First5 result	away	2.20	31.7%	0.268	0.74u	Won	+0.89u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	home	2.73	42.0%	0.145	0.42u	Won	+0.73u
Apr 10, 2022	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	45.1%	0.162	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	away	2.84	40.0%	0.330	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	20.7%	1.633	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.44	36.5%	0.199	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Apr 9, 2022	mlb	Phillies Athletics	First5 result	draw	4.60	58.5%	0.349	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First5 result	away	2.64	38.5%	0.290	0.89u	Won	+1.46u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Angels Astros	First5 result	away	2.71	37.1%	0.139	0.41u	Won	+0.70u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.54	35.2%	0.137	0.44u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	45.2%	0.307	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Apr 8, 2022	mlb	Phillies Athletics	First5 result	home	2.77	41.4%	0.146	0.41u	Won	+0.73u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	43.8%	0.169	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Angels Astros	First5 result	away	2.35	41.5%	0.051	0.19u	Won	+0.26u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Royals Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	22.3%	1.763	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 7, 2022	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.04	32.3%	0.052	0.25u	Won	+0.26u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.