Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 21, 2022	mlb	Reds Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.9%	0.313	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jun 21, 2022	mlb	Angels Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.0%	0.199	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jun 20, 2022	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	28.3%	0.276	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 20, 2022	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.4%	0.377	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	home	2.16	50.0%	0.080	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Athletics Royals	First5 result	home	2.46	44.8%	0.103	0.35u	Won	+0.51u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Mets Marlins	First5 result	home	2.61	41.4%	0.081	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.8%	0.174	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.35	47.0%	0.103	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 19, 2022	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	home	2.42	43.6%	0.056	0.20u	Won	+0.28u
Jun 18, 2022	mlb	Astros White Sox	First5 result	away	3.26	43.3%	0.153	0.13u	Won	+0.29u
Jun 18, 2022	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.721	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Jun 18, 2022	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	home	2.71	45.3%	0.228	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	home	2.74	47.1%	0.290	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	26.0%	0.517	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Jun 17, 2022	mlb	Pirates Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.5%	0.366	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
Jun 16, 2022	mlb	Mariners Angels	First5 result	away	3.14	43.3%	0.173	0.40u	Won	+0.86u
Jun 16, 2022	mlb	Mets Brewers	First5 result	home	2.60	45.0%	0.170	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Jun 16, 2022	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	home	2.76	44.8%	0.238	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Jun 16, 2022	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First5 result	home	2.40	44.3%	0.064	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
Jun 15, 2022	mlb	Rockies Guardians	First5 result	home	2.84	48.5%	0.377	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 15, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First5 result	away	3.51	29.2%	0.592	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	home	2.49	46.8%	0.167	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Jun 14, 2022	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	home	3.39	47.2%	0.599	1.20u	Won	+2.87u
Jun 13, 2022	mlb	Mariners Twins	First5 result	home	2.36	46.5%	0.097	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 13, 2022	mlb	Cubs Padres	First5 result	away	3.32	47.2%	0.226	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Jun 13, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Reds	First5 result	home	2.32	47.7%	0.106	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jun 12, 2022	mlb	Royals Orioles	First5 result	away	3.06	45.8%	0.163	0.40u	Won	+0.82u
Jun 12, 2022	mlb	Astros Marlins	First5 result	away	3.04	47.5%	0.123	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jun 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Pirates	First5 result	home	2.70	47.3%	0.278	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 11, 2022	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	home	3.26	48.2%	0.571	1.20u	Won	+2.71u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Royals Orioles	First5 result	home	2.86	47.1%	0.347	0.93u	Won	+1.73u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Yankees Cubs	First5 result	away	3.12	46.6%	0.162	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 10, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	home	2.53	45.6%	0.153	0.49u	Won	+0.75u
Jun 9, 2022	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.09	46.9%	0.136	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jun 9, 2022	mlb	White Sox Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.46	47.1%	0.289	0.59u	Won	+1.45u
Jun 9, 2022	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	home	2.73	46.6%	0.272	0.79u	Won	+1.37u
Jun 8, 2022	mlb	Braves Athletics	First5 result	home	2.58	46.9%	0.210	0.66u	Won	+1.04u
Jun 8, 2022	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	home	2.46	46.8%	0.151	0.52u	Won	+0.76u
Jun 8, 2022	mlb	Angels Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.54	46.9%	0.191	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
Jun 7, 2022	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	home	2.89	46.3%	0.340	0.90u	Won	+1.70u
Jun 7, 2022	mlb	Guardians Rangers	First5 result	away	3.26	45.1%	0.249	0.55u	Won	+1.24u
Jun 7, 2022	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	away	3.20	46.6%	0.188	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jun 6, 2022	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	home	2.67	47.0%	0.256	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jun 5, 2022	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.41	46.7%	0.277	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jun 5, 2022	mlb	Rays White Sox	First5 result	away	3.10	46.2%	0.181	0.30u	Won	+0.63u
Jun 5, 2022	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	home	2.92	46.5%	0.358	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Jun 4, 2022	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	home	2.65	47.4%	0.256	0.20u	Won	+0.33u
Jun 4, 2022	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.83	45.9%	0.434	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jun 4, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First5 result	home	2.76	46.8%	0.292	0.83u	Won	+1.46u
Jun 3, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	home	2.55	46.9%	0.196	0.63u	Won	+0.98u
Jun 3, 2022	mlb	Brewers Padres	First5 result	home	2.48	46.4%	0.152	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jun 3, 2022	mlb	Cubs Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.78	46.7%	0.410	0.74u	Won	+2.06u
Jun 2, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First5 result	home	2.35	46.8%	0.100	0.37u	Won	+0.50u
Jun 1, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Reds	First5 result	away	3.09	45.3%	0.143	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jun 1, 2022	mlb	Mets Nationals	First5 result	away	3.17	47.8%	0.179	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jun 1, 2022	mlb	Rockies Marlins	First5 result	home	2.89	47.8%	0.382	1.01u	Won	+1.91u
May 31, 2022	mlb	Cubs Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	24.5%	1.426	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 31, 2022	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	away	3.83	44.5%	0.522	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 30, 2022	mlb	Guardians Royals	First5 result	away	3.84	47.4%	0.475	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
May 30, 2022	mlb	Tigers Twins	First5 result	home	2.40	46.1%	0.106	0.17u	Won	+0.24u
May 30, 2022	mlb	Rangers Rays	First5 result	home	2.21	53.9%	0.191	0.79u	Won	+0.96u
May 29, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.31	45.6%	0.054	0.20u	Won	+0.26u
May 29, 2022	mlb	White Sox Cubs	First5 result	away	2.89	46.9%	0.112	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 29, 2022	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.77	47.4%	0.312	0.88u	Won	+1.56u
May 29, 2022	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	home	2.25	47.6%	0.071	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 28, 2022	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	25.5%	1.416	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 28, 2022	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	home	2.55	45.1%	0.150	0.12u	Lost	-0.12u
May 28, 2022	mlb	Braves Marlins	First5 result	home	2.57	44.8%	0.151	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
May 27, 2022	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	home	2.29	46.8%	0.071	0.28u	Won	+0.36u
May 27, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	home	2.81	46.5%	0.307	0.85u	Won	+1.54u
May 27, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.81	40.9%	0.150	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 27, 2022	mlb	Padres Pirates	First5 result	away	2.88	48.3%	0.066	0.18u	Won	+0.34u
May 26, 2022	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First5 result	home	2.57	47.7%	0.227	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 25, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	home	2.74	42.3%	0.160	0.46u	Won	+0.80u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	away	2.89	47.9%	0.088	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.82	45.2%	0.274	0.75u	Won	+1.37u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First5 result	away	2.74	47.5%	0.052	0.15u	Lost	-0.15u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First5 result	away	2.54	44.0%	0.058	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 24, 2022	mlb	Rays Marlins	First5 result	away	3.14	47.0%	0.196	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
May 23, 2022	mlb	Giants Mets	First5 result	home	2.87	41.7%	0.196	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 23, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Royals	First5 result	away	2.85	47.3%	0.084	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 23, 2022	mlb	Padres Brewers	First5 result	away	3.46	47.7%	0.307	0.62u	Won	+1.53u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Royals Twins	First5 result	home	2.46	46.2%	0.137	0.47u	Won	+0.69u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Reds	First5 result	home	2.41	45.6%	0.099	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.09	43.9%	0.277	0.66u	Won	+1.38u
May 22, 2022	mlb	Rockies Mets	First5 result	away	3.06	47.6%	0.171	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Marlins Braves	First5 result	away	3.16	48.3%	0.172	0.40u	Won	+0.86u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Angels Athletics	First5 result	away	2.89	43.6%	0.167	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.91	46.5%	0.127	0.33u	Won	+0.63u
May 21, 2022	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	away	2.89	43.4%	0.209	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 19, 2022	mlb	Cubs Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.18	56.2%	0.225	0.90u	Lost	-0.90u
May 19, 2022	mlb	Astros Rangers	First5 result	home	2.70	48.4%	0.307	0.90u	Won	+1.53u
May 18, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	3.22	45.6%	0.467	1.05u	Won	+2.33u
May 18, 2022	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	3.46	48.0%	0.255	0.52u	Won	+1.28u
May 18, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	away	3.06	44.6%	0.250	0.23u	Won	+0.47u
May 17, 2022	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	66.8%	0.528	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 17, 2022	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	home	2.34	78.4%	0.836	1.20u	Won	+1.61u
May 16, 2022	mlb	Brewers Braves	First5 result	away	2.86	42.1%	0.058	0.16u	Lost	-0.16u
May 16, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First5 result	home	2.59	48.0%	0.245	0.77u	Won	+1.22u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.