Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Apr 8, 2023	mlb	Guardians Mariners	First5 result	away	2.49	52.2%	0.191	0.64u	Won	+0.95u
Apr 8, 2023	mlb	Angels Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.24	52.4%	0.066	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Apr 8, 2023	mlb	Phillies Reds	First5 result	away	3.44	40.8%	0.302	0.62u	Won	+1.51u
Apr 7, 2023	mlb	Guardians Mariners	First5 result	away	2.81	50.8%	0.304	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Apr 7, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.49	50.3%	0.166	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Apr 7, 2023	mlb	Pirates White Sox	First5 result	away	3.21	39.9%	0.232	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Apr 6, 2023	mlb	Braves Padres	First5 result	home	2.84	42.1%	0.195	0.53u	Won	+0.98u
Apr 6, 2023	mlb	Rockies Nationals	First5 result	away	2.36	51.9%	0.136	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 6, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.22	50.2%	0.115	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Apr 5, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	17.8%	1.968	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 5, 2023	mlb	Nationals Rays	First5 result	away	2.62	24.8%	0.837	0.60u	Won	+0.97u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Athletics Guardians	First5 result	away	2.33	16.4%	0.359	0.60u	Won	+0.80u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Braves	First5 result	away	2.33	16.4%	0.359	1.20u	Won	+1.60u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Nationals Rays	First5 result	away	3.14	39.7%	0.377	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Apr 4, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Rockies	First5 result	home	2.49	52.3%	0.303	0.92u	Won	+1.37u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Pirates	First5 result	away	3.03	44.7%	0.170	0.42u	Won	+0.85u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Marlins Twins	First5 result	home	2.56	44.7%	0.144	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Braves	First5 result	home	2.15	49.0%	0.054	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Astros Tigers	First5 result	home	2.00	62.5%	0.250	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Royals Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.04	52.3%	0.067	0.32u	Won	+0.33u
Apr 3, 2023	mlb	Athletics Guardians	First5 result	home	2.07	52.3%	0.083	0.39u	Won	+0.42u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.23	62.6%	0.396	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.53	66.6%	0.684	1.20u	Won	+1.84u
Apr 2, 2023	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	away	3.20	37.3%	0.451	1.03u	Won	+2.27u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	3.10	44.7%	0.385	0.92u	Won	+1.93u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	away	3.20	44.7%	0.236	0.54u	Won	+1.19u
Apr 1, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.44	52.4%	0.278	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Astros White Sox	First5 result	away	2.38	24.6%	0.253	0.92u	Won	+1.27u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	16.4%	0.164	0.23u	Won	+0.83u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	away	2.65	37.3%	0.201	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Mar 31, 2023	mlb	Mariners Guardians	First5 result	away	2.35	20.0%	0.360	1.20u	Won	+1.62u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Astros White Sox	First5 result	home	3.13	44.7%	0.399	0.94u	Lost	-0.94u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Reds Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	18.9%	0.343	0.38u	Won	+1.37u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	18.9%	0.346	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Mariners Guardians	First5 result	away	2.92	20.0%	0.689	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Mar 30, 2023	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	away	2.22	0.0%	0.614	0.60u	Won	+0.73u
Oct 28, 2022	mlb	Astros Phillies	First5 result	away	2.41	16.4%	0.406	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 22, 2022	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	away	2.25	0.0%	1.043	1.20u	Won	+1.50u
Oct 18, 2022	mlb	Yankees Guardians	First5 result	away	2.45	36.4%	0.234	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
Oct 15, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.13	49.6%	0.056	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Oct 14, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.35	30.8%	0.092	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Oct 13, 2022	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	47.1%	0.280	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Oct 12, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	away	2.20	21.3%	0.261	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
Oct 12, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.9%	0.174	0.24u	Won	+0.86u
Oct 11, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	2.70	8.4%	1.288	1.20u	Won	+2.04u
Oct 11, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.1%	0.398	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Oct 8, 2022	mlb	Guardians Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.3%	0.272	0.38u	Won	+1.37u
Oct 8, 2022	mlb	Cardinals Phillies	First5 result	away	2.49	36.9%	0.270	0.90u	Won	+1.34u
Oct 7, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First5 result	away	2.38	27.0%	0.592	1.20u	Won	+1.66u
Oct 5, 2022	mlb	Rangers Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	23.7%	0.966	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 5, 2022	mlb	Athletics Angels	First5 result	away	3.61	36.3%	0.489	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Oct 4, 2022	mlb	Reds Cubs	First5 result	home	2.73	51.0%	0.391	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Oct 4, 2022	mlb	Rangers Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.697	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Oct 3, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.7%	0.683	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Oct 3, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.4%	1.000	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 2, 2022	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.7%	0.681	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Oct 2, 2022	mlb	Brewers Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.699	0.97u	Won	+3.49u
Oct 1, 2022	mlb	Angels Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.8%	0.705	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Oct 1, 2022	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.1%	0.671	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Sep 30, 2022	mlb	Tigers Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.0%	1.012	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 30, 2022	mlb	Guardians Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.5%	1.030	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 29, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.61	51.4%	0.342	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Sep 29, 2022	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.0%	0.700	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Sep 28, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.8%	0.991	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 28, 2022	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	33.9%	1.017	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Sep 27, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	home	2.80	51.0%	0.427	0.82u	Lost	-0.82u
Sep 27, 2022	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.708	0.98u	Lost	-0.98u
Sep 26, 2022	mlb	Nationals Braves	First5 result	away	2.03	14.6%	0.735	1.20u	Won	+1.24u
Sep 26, 2022	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.2%	0.696	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Sep 25, 2022	mlb	Athletics Mets	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.1%	1.010	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 25, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.1%	0.697	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 24, 2022	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	home	2.84	50.8%	0.444	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 24, 2022	mlb	Orioles Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.1%	1.012	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Sep 23, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.8%	0.678	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Sep 23, 2022	mlb	Dodgers Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	34.5%	0.998	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 22, 2022	mlb	Orioles Astros	First5 result	home	3.02	55.9%	0.689	1.20u	Won	+2.42u
Sep 22, 2022	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.5%	0.686	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 21, 2022	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.0%	0.701	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Sep 21, 2022	mlb	Orioles Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.2%	0.724	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Sep 20, 2022	mlb	Reds Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.71	47.9%	0.710	1.20u	Won	+3.25u
Sep 20, 2022	mlb	Phillies Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.45	44.6%	0.484	0.60u	Won	+1.47u
Sep 19, 2022	mlb	Rays Astros	First5 result	away	3.40	45.3%	0.485	0.60u	Won	+1.44u
Sep 19, 2022	mlb	Guardians Twins	First5 result	away	3.86	47.9%	0.778	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 18, 2022	mlb	Rays Rangers	First5 result	away	4.65	46.0%	1.243	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 18, 2022	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First5 result	away	2.71	38.1%	0.546	0.60u	Won	+1.03u
Sep 17, 2022	mlb	Astros Athletics	First5 result	home	3.45	36.5%	0.258	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Sep 17, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First5 result	away	3.13	45.9%	0.510	1.20u	Won	+2.56u
Sep 16, 2022	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	1.582	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Sep 16, 2022	mlb	Braves Phillies	First5 result	away	3.27	43.5%	0.498	0.60u	Won	+1.36u
Sep 15, 2022	mlb	Mets Pirates	First5 result	away	2.47	40.1%	0.479	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Sep 15, 2022	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First5 result	away	3.53	45.3%	0.541	1.07u	Won	+2.71u
Sep 14, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.15	45.3%	0.375	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Sep 14, 2022	mlb	Giants Braves	First5 result	away	2.39	38.1%	0.363	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Sep 13, 2022	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	home	2.92	55.8%	0.629	0.60u	Won	+1.15u
Sep 13, 2022	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	away	4.41	36.4%	1.410	1.20u	Won	+4.09u
Sep 12, 2022	mlb	Marlins Rangers	First5 result	away	3.44	47.9%	0.585	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Sep 12, 2022	mlb	Mets Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	28.8%	0.989	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 11, 2022	mlb	Cubs Giants	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	1.582	0.60u	Won	+2.16u
Sep 11, 2022	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.5%	1.583	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 10, 2022	mlb	Pirates Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.06	55.8%	0.137	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.