Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 20, 2023	mlb	Rays Brewers	First5 result	away	2.64	53.7%	0.223	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
May 20, 2023	mlb	Reds Yankees	First5 result	away	3.44	48.3%	0.497	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
May 20, 2023	mlb	Angels Twins	First5 result	home	2.23	48.5%	0.082	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
May 19, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.53	53.0%	0.340	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 19, 2023	mlb	Giants Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.9%	1.150	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 18, 2023	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.5%	1.056	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 17, 2023	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First5 result	away	3.34	49.0%	0.228	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 17, 2023	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	home	2.30	52.2%	0.200	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
May 17, 2023	mlb	Rangers Braves	First5 result	home	2.30	47.3%	0.088	0.34u	Won	+0.44u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Twins	First5 result	away	2.70	44.0%	0.087	0.26u	Won	+0.44u
May 16, 2023	mlb	Tigers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.69	45.1%	0.117	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Nationals Mets	First5 result	away	2.96	44.0%	0.192	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Orioles Angels	First5 result	home	2.45	45.6%	0.117	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Athletics Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.66	43.7%	0.059	0.18u	Won	+0.30u
May 15, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.84	44.0%	0.251	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	home	2.60	44.0%	0.145	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	home	2.68	44.2%	0.184	0.55u	Won	+0.92u
May 14, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.34	46.0%	0.076	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Tigers Mariners	First5 result	home	2.61	44.9%	0.173	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Guardians Angels	First5 result	home	2.48	44.0%	0.092	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
May 13, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Giants	First5 result	away	2.98	44.0%	0.200	0.50u	Won	+0.99u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Guardians Angels	First5 result	away	3.27	44.2%	0.319	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
May 12, 2023	mlb	Brewers Royals	First5 result	home	2.43	44.2%	0.073	0.26u	Won	+0.37u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	home	3.22	44.2%	0.422	0.95u	Won	+2.11u
May 11, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	home	2.66	44.2%	0.175	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	home	2.42	44.0%	0.066	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 10, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First5 result	away	3.04	44.0%	0.224	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Reds Mets	First5 result	away	3.26	44.3%	0.312	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First5 result	away	2.67	44.8%	0.085	0.26u	Won	+0.43u
May 9, 2023	mlb	Braves Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.91	47.4%	0.246	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Mariners Rangers	First5 result	away	2.86	41.2%	0.084	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First5 result	away	2.62	43.9%	0.052	0.16u	Won	+0.26u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Marlins	First5 result	home	2.59	44.4%	0.151	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Yankees Athletics	First5 result	away	2.64	44.0%	0.063	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 8, 2023	mlb	Orioles Rays	First5 result	away	2.68	44.0%	0.079	0.24u	Won	+0.40u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Phillies Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.64	44.0%	0.063	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 7, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Tigers	First5 result	away	2.73	44.0%	0.099	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Guardians Twins	First5 result	away	3.09	41.3%	0.181	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 6, 2023	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	away	2.83	44.6%	0.147	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Tigers	First5 result	away	2.81	45.4%	0.152	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	away	2.90	44.6%	0.176	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Giants Brewers	First5 result	away	3.19	45.8%	0.314	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 5, 2023	mlb	Royals Athletics	First5 result	home	2.42	44.2%	0.069	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Rays Pirates	First5 result	home	2.62	44.2%	0.157	0.29u	Won	+0.47u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	home	3.05	44.6%	0.361	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
May 4, 2023	mlb	Rockies Brewers	First5 result	home	2.73	44.6%	0.218	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Royals Orioles	First5 result	away	3.18	44.2%	0.283	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	home	2.65	44.2%	0.171	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
May 3, 2023	mlb	Tigers Mets	First5 result	home	2.82	42.7%	0.203	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Marlins Braves	First5 result	home	2.42	51.5%	0.247	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.436	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 2, 2023	mlb	Padres Reds	First5 result	home	2.20	55.3%	0.216	0.32u	Won	+0.38u
May 1, 2023	mlb	Mets Braves	First5 result	home	2.16	57.2%	0.236	0.93u	Won	+1.08u
May 1, 2023	mlb	Astros Giants	First5 result	home	2.71	47.9%	0.298	0.87u	Lost	-0.87u
Apr 30, 2023	mlb	White Sox Rays	First5 result	home	2.63	54.5%	0.433	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 30, 2023	mlb	Athletics Reds	First5 result	home	2.38	53.5%	0.272	0.60u	Won	+0.83u
Apr 29, 2023	mlb	Tigers Orioles	First5 result	home	2.21	57.2%	0.264	0.64u	Won	+0.77u
Apr 29, 2023	mlb	Padres Giants	First5 result	home	2.34	56.1%	0.312	1.16u	Won	+1.55u
Apr 28, 2023	mlb	Twins Royals	First5 result	home	2.38	57.4%	0.366	1.20u	Won	+1.66u
Apr 28, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Mariners	First5 result	home	2.06	57.3%	0.181	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 27, 2023	mlb	Pirates Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.37	56.2%	0.331	0.60u	Won	+0.82u
Apr 27, 2023	mlb	White Sox Rays	First5 result	home	2.54	59.0%	0.497	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 26, 2023	mlb	Orioles Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.25	45.3%	0.225	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Apr 25, 2023	mlb	Guardians Rockies	First5 result	home	2.12	54.0%	0.146	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Apr 23, 2023	mlb	Angels Royals	First5 result	home	2.05	52.6%	0.079	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Apr 23, 2023	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.15	57.8%	0.242	1.05u	Won	+1.21u
Apr 23, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Padres	First5 result	away	3.93	54.8%	0.216	0.37u	Won	+1.08u
Apr 22, 2023	mlb	Giants Mets	First5 result	home	2.24	55.3%	0.238	0.96u	Won	+1.19u
Apr 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.09	47.0%	0.077	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Apr 21, 2023	mlb	Braves Astros	First5 result	away	2.91	45.2%	0.089	0.23u	Lost	-0.23u
Apr 21, 2023	mlb	Cubs Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.42	46.4%	0.124	0.44u	Won	+0.62u
Apr 20, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First5 result	home	2.06	55.1%	0.136	0.64u	Won	+0.68u
Apr 20, 2023	mlb	Yankees Angels	First5 result	home	2.21	55.5%	0.227	0.94u	Won	+1.14u
Apr 19, 2023	mlb	Tigers Guardians	First5 result	away	2.15	0.0%	0.673	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 19, 2023	mlb	Reds Rays	First5 result	home	3.23	55.6%	0.797	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	18.1%	1.957	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 18, 2023	mlb	White Sox Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	65.3%	0.596	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 17, 2023	mlb	Athletics Cubs	First5 result	home	2.83	39.8%	0.126	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 16, 2023	mlb	White Sox Orioles	First5 result	home	2.90	46.2%	0.341	0.90u	Won	+1.71u
Apr 16, 2023	mlb	Yankees Twins	First5 result	home	2.34	51.5%	0.206	0.21u	Won	+0.28u
Apr 16, 2023	mlb	Athletics Mets	First5 result	away	3.44	39.2%	0.338	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Nationals Guardians	First5 result	home	2.51	46.3%	0.163	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Tigers Giants	First5 result	away	2.95	40.0%	0.131	0.34u	Won	+0.66u
Apr 15, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First5 result	home	2.60	41.6%	0.082	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Apr 14, 2023	mlb	Reds Phillies	First5 result	home	2.35	49.7%	0.169	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Apr 14, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	home	2.89	42.0%	0.213	0.56u	Won	+1.06u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.96	41.9%	0.188	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Tigers	First5 result	away	3.26	41.6%	0.314	0.69u	Won	+1.56u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Orioles Athletics	First5 result	away	3.02	41.9%	0.211	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Apr 13, 2023	mlb	Reds Phillies	First5 result	away	2.99	39.7%	0.152	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Apr 12, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	17.9%	1.965	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Apr 12, 2023	mlb	Phillies Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	64.9%	0.616	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 11, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	65.3%	0.596	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Apr 11, 2023	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.38	22.1%	0.554	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
Apr 10, 2023	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.28	42.2%	0.308	0.60u	Won	+1.37u
Apr 10, 2023	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	2.59	13.5%	1.241	1.20u	Won	+1.91u
Apr 9, 2023	mlb	Phillies Reds	First5 result	away	2.21	49.6%	0.051	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Apr 9, 2023	mlb	Giants Royals	First5 result	away	3.49	42.2%	0.393	0.79u	Won	+1.97u
Apr 9, 2023	mlb	Angels Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.73	42.1%	0.091	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Apr 8, 2023	mlb	Rays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.32	52.4%	0.105	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.