Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 30, 2023	mlb	Angels Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.68	42.8%	0.066	0.20u	Won	+0.34u
Jun 30, 2023	mlb	Cubs Guardians	First5 result	home	2.44	43.2%	0.055	0.19u	Won	+0.27u
Jun 30, 2023	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	home	3.01	43.5%	0.310	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Jun 30, 2023	mlb	Reds Padres	First5 result	away	2.48	47.5%	0.094	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Angels White Sox	First5 result	home	2.55	42.1%	0.074	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Astros	First5 result	home	2.65	39.8%	0.055	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Marlins	First5 result	home	2.70	42.8%	0.156	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	away	2.61	43.5%	0.056	0.17u	Won	+0.27u
Jun 29, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	40.6%	0.277	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Jun 28, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.38	41.7%	0.228	0.78u	Won	+1.08u
Jun 28, 2023	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First5 result	away	3.26	43.0%	0.304	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jun 28, 2023	mlb	Athletics Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.252	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.9%	0.172	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rockies Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.30	26.4%	0.129	0.26u	Won	+0.34u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Rangers Tigers	First5 result	away	2.98	40.0%	0.267	0.67u	Won	+1.33u
Jun 27, 2023	mlb	Cubs Phillies	First5 result	home	3.32	38.9%	0.293	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Jun 26, 2023	mlb	Orioles Reds	First5 result	away	2.86	48.9%	0.104	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jun 26, 2023	mlb	Braves Twins	First5 result	away	2.69	34.3%	0.205	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	away	3.28	38.9%	0.401	0.88u	Won	+2.01u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.59	32.7%	0.202	0.32u	Won	+0.51u
Jun 25, 2023	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	3.33	44.8%	0.279	0.60u	Won	+1.40u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	Orioles Mariners	First5 result	away	3.32	37.4%	0.422	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	White Sox Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.03	39.5%	0.306	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
Jun 24, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	away	2.56	39.5%	0.067	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Marlins Pirates	First5 result	away	3.33	29.3%	0.606	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 23, 2023	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	away	3.49	41.8%	0.441	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians Athletics	First5 result	away	3.68	47.0%	0.170	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jun 21, 2023	mlb	Yankees Mariners	First5 result	away	2.79	44.9%	0.131	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.08	46.1%	0.188	0.45u	Won	+0.94u
Jun 20, 2023	mlb	Tigers Royals	First5 result	away	2.68	31.4%	0.362	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Jun 19, 2023	mlb	Reds Rockies	First5 result	home	2.34	49.2%	0.152	0.57u	Won	+0.76u
Jun 19, 2023	mlb	Astros Mets	First5 result	home	2.28	52.9%	0.205	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Cubs Orioles	First5 result	away	3.42	50.1%	0.311	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Mariners White Sox	First5 result	draw	4.60	70.7%	0.350	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Jun 18, 2023	mlb	Mets Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.84	40.8%	0.158	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Cubs Orioles	First5 result	home	2.47	43.0%	0.062	0.21u	Won	+0.31u
Jun 17, 2023	mlb	Padres Rays	First5 result	away	3.44	37.8%	0.464	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Nationals Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.8%	0.234	0.32u	Won	+1.15u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Athletics Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	39.4%	0.183	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
Jun 16, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Guardians	First5 result	home	2.33	60.3%	0.405	1.20u	Won	+1.60u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Dodgers White Sox	First5 result	away	2.30	33.8%	0.058	0.22u	Won	+0.29u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	away	3.12	41.1%	0.265	0.62u	Won	+1.31u
Jun 15, 2023	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.68	35.2%	0.183	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Rangers Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	72.9%	0.246	0.34u	Won	+1.22u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Mariners Marlins	First5 result	away	2.40	25.3%	0.232	0.12u	Won	+0.17u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Twins Brewers	First5 result	away	3.07	40.8%	0.283	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Jun 14, 2023	mlb	Athletics Rays	First5 result	away	2.90	38.3%	0.249	0.66u	Won	+1.25u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Royals Reds	First5 result	home	2.79	47.2%	0.317	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Jun 13, 2023	mlb	Mets Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	41.9%	0.813	1.13u	Won	+4.07u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Giants	First5 result	home	3.18	49.1%	0.562	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 12, 2023	mlb	Royals Reds	First5 result	home	3.18	46.0%	0.464	0.60u	Won	+1.31u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First5 result	away	2.75	18.5%	1.243	1.20u	Won	+2.10u
Jun 11, 2023	mlb	Yankees Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.67	59.0%	0.575	0.60u	Won	+1.00u
Jun 10, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	home	2.06	53.0%	0.092	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Jun 10, 2023	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	home	2.21	62.5%	0.382	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 9, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	30.3%	0.836	1.16u	Lost	-1.16u
Jun 9, 2023	mlb	White Sox Marlins	First5 result	draw	4.60	31.0%	0.818	0.64u	Won	+2.30u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Reds Dodgers	First5 result	home	3.06	59.5%	0.821	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jun 8, 2023	mlb	Phillies Tigers	First5 result	home	2.49	52.5%	0.308	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 7, 2023	mlb	Reds Dodgers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.3%	0.955	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Jun 7, 2023	mlb	Marlins Royals	First5 result	home	2.88	53.7%	0.548	0.60u	Won	+1.13u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	2.38	54.6%	0.301	1.09u	Lost	-1.09u
Jun 6, 2023	mlb	Rangers Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.26	45.1%	0.298	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
Jun 5, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.4%	0.780	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
Jun 5, 2023	mlb	Phillies Tigers	First5 result	home	2.25	51.1%	0.149	0.18u	Won	+0.23u
Jun 5, 2023	mlb	Pirates Athletics	First5 result	away	3.18	46.4%	0.235	0.54u	Won	+1.18u
Jun 4, 2023	mlb	Twins Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	17.8%	2.279	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Jun 4, 2023	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	27.6%	0.905	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.8%	0.770	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jun 3, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Braves	First5 result	away	2.43	17.1%	0.861	1.20u	Won	+1.72u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	draw	4.60	32.1%	0.788	1.09u	Won	+3.92u
Jun 2, 2023	mlb	Nationals Phillies	First5 result	home	2.56	59.7%	0.528	0.71u	Won	+1.11u
Jun 1, 2023	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	away	2.45	56.2%	0.074	0.26u	Lost	-0.26u
Jun 1, 2023	mlb	Astros Angels	First5 result	away	2.48	55.1%	0.113	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
May 31, 2023	mlb	Athletics Braves	First5 result	home	2.94	43.1%	0.266	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 31, 2023	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	29.6%	0.854	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
May 30, 2023	mlb	Athletics Braves	First5 result	draw	4.60	19.9%	2.248	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
May 30, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Reds	First5 result	home	3.11	46.1%	0.435	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 29, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	home	3.05	48.3%	0.472	1.15u	Won	+2.36u
May 29, 2023	mlb	Giants Pirates	First5 result	home	2.52	47.4%	0.194	0.64u	Won	+0.97u
May 28, 2023	mlb	Rays Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.21	55.7%	0.232	0.60u	Won	+0.73u
May 28, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	home	3.28	48.2%	0.583	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 27, 2023	mlb	Mariners Pirates	First5 result	home	3.73	45.3%	0.689	1.20u	Won	+3.28u
May 27, 2023	mlb	Rockies Mets	First5 result	home	2.72	46.1%	0.253	0.60u	Won	+1.03u
May 26, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.81	48.3%	0.357	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 26, 2023	mlb	Mariners Pirates	First5 result	home	3.25	45.8%	0.488	1.08u	Lost	-1.08u
May 25, 2023	mlb	Tigers White Sox	First5 result	away	3.09	46.8%	0.224	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 25, 2023	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	away	2.46	41.5%	0.266	0.91u	Won	+1.33u
May 25, 2023	mlb	Rockies Marlins	First5 result	home	2.70	45.9%	0.239	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
May 24, 2023	mlb	Pirates Rangers	First5 result	home	2.41	50.7%	0.222	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 24, 2023	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	away	3.39	44.7%	0.434	0.91u	Lost	-0.91u
May 24, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	2.28	52.6%	0.200	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
May 23, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First5 result	home	2.29	47.2%	0.082	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
May 23, 2023	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.39	46.8%	0.118	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 23, 2023	mlb	Pirates Rangers	First5 result	home	2.34	49.6%	0.161	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 22, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	home	2.15	50.9%	0.094	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
May 22, 2023	mlb	Pirates Rangers	First5 result	away	3.53	47.5%	0.365	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
May 22, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First5 result	home	2.64	50.0%	0.320	0.98u	Won	+1.61u
May 21, 2023	mlb	Pirates Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	3.90	44.0%	0.687	1.18u	Lost	-1.18u
May 21, 2023	mlb	Reds Yankees	First5 result	away	2.90	44.2%	0.247	0.62u	Won	+1.18u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.