Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Guardians Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.85	45.7%	0.302	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Aug 7, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Royals	First5 result	home	3.40	45.7%	0.554	1.15u	Won	+2.76u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First5 result	away	2.75	45.7%	0.094	0.27u	Won	+0.47u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Angels Mariners	First5 result	away	2.75	45.7%	0.094	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.40	45.7%	0.097	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Padres Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.70	45.7%	0.074	0.22u	Won	+0.37u
Aug 6, 2023	mlb	Twins Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.70	45.7%	0.234	0.69u	Lost	-0.69u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.95	45.7%	0.174	0.20u	Won	+0.39u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First5 result	away	2.95	45.7%	0.174	0.45u	Won	+0.88u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First5 result	away	3.10	45.7%	0.233	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Aug 5, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.15	45.7%	0.253	0.59u	Lost	-0.59u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Guardians White Sox	First5 result	away	3.10	45.7%	0.233	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Rockies	First5 result	away	2.65	45.7%	0.054	0.16u	Won	+0.26u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Phillies Royals	First5 result	home	2.50	45.7%	0.142	0.47u	Won	+0.71u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Rangers Marlins	First5 result	home	2.50	45.7%	0.142	0.47u	Won	+0.71u
Aug 4, 2023	mlb	Orioles Mets	First5 result	away	2.65	45.7%	0.054	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Rangers White Sox	First5 result	away	3.60	45.7%	0.432	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Aug 3, 2023	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	3.40	45.7%	0.353	0.73u	Won	+1.75u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	home	2.53	45.7%	0.156	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Braves Angels	First5 result	away	3.46	45.7%	0.377	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Aug 2, 2023	mlb	Giants Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.99	45.7%	0.366	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Rangers White Sox	First5 result	home	2.48	45.7%	0.133	0.45u	Won	+0.67u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Orioles	First5 result	away	3.52	45.7%	0.401	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
Aug 1, 2023	mlb	Nationals Brewers	First5 result	away	3.09	45.7%	0.229	0.55u	Won	+1.15u
Jul 31, 2023	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	home	2.76	45.7%	0.261	0.74u	Lost	-0.74u
Jul 31, 2023	mlb	Mariners Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.75	45.7%	0.257	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jul 31, 2023	mlb	Cubs Reds	First5 result	away	2.83	45.7%	0.126	0.33u	Won	+0.60u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First5 result	home	2.47	45.7%	0.129	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	away	2.90	45.7%	0.154	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Jul 30, 2023	mlb	Marlins Tigers	First5 result	away	2.66	45.7%	0.058	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jul 29, 2023	mlb	Marlins Tigers	First5 result	away	2.72	45.7%	0.082	0.24u	Won	+0.41u
Jul 29, 2023	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	home	2.55	45.7%	0.165	0.53u	Won	+0.82u
Jul 29, 2023	mlb	Padres Rangers	First5 result	home	2.60	45.7%	0.188	0.59u	Won	+0.94u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Angels	First5 result	home	2.42	45.7%	0.106	0.37u	Won	+0.53u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Marlins Tigers	First5 result	away	2.82	45.7%	0.122	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Mariners	First5 result	away	2.65	45.7%	0.054	0.16u	Won	+0.26u
Jul 28, 2023	mlb	Royals Twins	First5 result	home	2.45	45.7%	0.120	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 27, 2023	mlb	White Sox Guardians	First5 result	away	2.81	45.7%	0.118	0.33u	Won	+0.60u
Jul 26, 2023	mlb	Phillies Orioles	First5 result	home	2.40	45.7%	0.097	0.35u	Won	+0.49u
Jul 26, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.95	45.7%	0.174	0.45u	Won	+0.88u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Tigers Angels	First5 result	away	3.30	45.2%	0.272	0.59u	Won	+1.36u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Diamondbacks Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.73	44.3%	0.085	0.25u	Won	+0.43u
Jul 25, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.15	45.0%	0.223	0.52u	Won	+1.12u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Phillies Orioles	First5 result	away	3.20	47.1%	0.145	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Jul 24, 2023	mlb	Nationals Rockies	First5 result	away	2.75	44.2%	0.095	0.27u	Won	+0.47u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Reds Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.98	44.2%	0.317	0.80u	Lost	-0.80u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First5 result	home	2.83	44.2%	0.251	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jul 23, 2023	mlb	Rays Orioles	First5 result	away	3.22	44.8%	0.257	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Angels Pirates	First5 result	home	2.67	46.6%	0.244	0.73u	Lost	-0.73u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Brewers Braves	First5 result	away	3.15	45.3%	0.207	0.48u	Won	+1.03u
Jul 22, 2023	mlb	Yankees Royals	First5 result	home	2.65	43.9%	0.163	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	away	2.94	38.7%	0.385	0.99u	Won	+1.92u
Jul 21, 2023	mlb	Nationals Giants	First5 result	home	2.97	44.2%	0.313	0.79u	Won	+1.56u
Jul 20, 2023	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.82	44.3%	0.248	0.68u	Lost	-0.68u
Jul 20, 2023	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	away	2.77	45.3%	0.061	0.17u	Lost	-0.17u
Jul 19, 2023	mlb	Orioles Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.90	44.9%	0.301	0.79u	Won	+1.50u
Jul 19, 2023	mlb	Braves Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.72	44.2%	0.083	0.24u	Won	+0.41u
Jul 19, 2023	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	away	2.90	44.2%	0.155	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Marlins	First5 result	home	2.47	44.3%	0.093	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Angels Yankees	First5 result	home	2.60	44.2%	0.149	0.47u	Won	+0.75u
Jul 18, 2023	mlb	Rangers Rays	First5 result	home	2.80	44.2%	0.238	0.66u	Won	+1.19u
Jul 17, 2023	mlb	Reds Giants	First5 result	home	2.50	44.3%	0.106	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Blue Jays Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.56	44.2%	0.132	0.35u	Won	+0.55u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Pirates Giants	First5 result	home	2.83	45.1%	0.278	0.76u	Lost	-0.76u
Jul 16, 2023	mlb	Orioles Marlins	First5 result	home	2.83	44.2%	0.251	0.69u	Won	+1.26u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Phillies Padres	First5 result	away	3.58	45.3%	0.372	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Nationals	First5 result	home	2.95	45.2%	0.332	0.12u	Won	+0.23u
Jul 15, 2023	mlb	Phillies Padres	First5 result	home	3.26	44.0%	0.436	0.96u	Lost	-0.96u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Orioles Marlins	First5 result	home	2.69	45.2%	0.215	0.51u	Won	+0.86u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Athletics Twins	First5 result	away	3.27	45.2%	0.258	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 14, 2023	mlb	Cardinals Nationals	First5 result	home	2.72	45.8%	0.246	0.72u	Lost	-0.72u
Jul 11, 2023	mlb	All-Stars All-Stars	First5 result	draw	4.60	54.3%	1.101	1.20u	Won	+4.32u
Jul 9, 2023	mlb	Padres Mets	First5 result	home	2.80	42.0%	0.177	0.18u	Won	+0.32u
Jul 9, 2023	mlb	Rays Braves	First5 result	away	3.18	40.1%	0.184	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Jul 9, 2023	mlb	Nationals Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	53.5%	1.140	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 8, 2023	mlb	Yankees Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.9%	0.411	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
Jul 8, 2023	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.20	38.7%	0.534	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Angels	First5 result	home	2.51	45.0%	0.129	0.43u	Won	+0.65u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Marlins Phillies	First5 result	away	2.83	42.9%	0.129	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Nationals Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.2%	0.213	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.95	45.2%	0.239	0.61u	Won	+1.19u
Jul 7, 2023	mlb	White Sox Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.58	44.5%	0.069	0.11u	Won	+0.17u
Jul 6, 2023	mlb	Dodgers Pirates	First5 result	away	2.90	44.4%	0.197	0.52u	Lost	-0.52u
Jul 6, 2023	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First5 result	away	2.70	43.5%	0.092	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
Jul 6, 2023	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.4%	0.450	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Tigers Athletics	First5 result	away	3.25	46.5%	0.406	0.90u	Won	+2.03u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Astros Rockies	First5 result	away	3.09	43.7%	0.257	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Jul 5, 2023	mlb	Padres Angels	First5 result	away	2.81	46.2%	0.207	0.29u	Lost	-0.29u
Jul 4, 2023	mlb	Padres Angels	First5 result	away	2.64	44.8%	0.099	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Jul 4, 2023	mlb	White Sox Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.17	42.6%	0.255	0.59u	Won	+1.28u
Jul 4, 2023	mlb	Red Sox Rangers	First5 result	away	2.60	46.3%	0.119	0.37u	Won	+0.59u
Jul 4, 2023	mlb	Marlins Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.47	45.8%	0.053	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Jul 3, 2023	mlb	Padres Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	38.3%	0.203	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
Jul 3, 2023	mlb	Yankees Orioles	First5 result	away	2.64	37.3%	0.219	0.67u	Won	+1.10u
Jul 3, 2023	mlb	Nationals Reds	First5 result	away	2.90	43.2%	0.164	0.43u	Won	+0.82u
Jul 2, 2023	mlb	Angels Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.70	38.2%	0.275	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Jul 2, 2023	mlb	Reds Padres	First5 result	away	2.83	43.3%	0.516	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Cubs Guardians	First5 result	home	2.98	39.6%	0.179	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First5 result	home	2.91	42.7%	0.243	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Jul 1, 2023	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	away	2.78	42.9%	0.109	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.