Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 5, 2026 9:14 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 40.7% | 0.475 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
| Sep 16, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 47.7% | 0.358 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Sep 15, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 39.3% | 0.061 | 0.18u | Won | +0.31u |
| Sep 15, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 46.9% | 0.173 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Sep 15, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 44.1% | 0.060 | 0.16u | Won | +0.22u |
| Sep 15, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 41.5% | 0.182 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Sep 15, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 40.5% | 0.130 | 0.39u | Won | +0.64u |
| Sep 14, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 45.7% | 0.188 | 0.59u | Won | +0.94u |
| Sep 14, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 53.0% | 0.151 | 0.52u | Lost | -0.52u |
| Sep 13, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.67 | 43.2% | 0.153 | 0.27u | Won | +0.45u |
| Sep 13, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 49.9% | 0.392 | 0.89u | Won | +1.96u |
| Sep 13, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.35 | 52.9% | 0.303 | 0.64u | Won | +1.50u |
| Sep 12, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 46.1% | 0.220 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Sep 12, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 44.6% | 0.620 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 11, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 44.4% | 0.121 | 0.11u | Lost | -0.11u |
| Sep 11, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 44.4% | 0.626 | 1.20u | Won | +2.88u |
| Sep 11, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 44.4% | 0.156 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Sep 10, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 51.1% | 0.431 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Sep 10, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 48.9% | 0.359 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 9, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 43.6% | 0.461 | 0.86u | Won | +1.72u |
| Sep 9, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 41.6% | 0.488 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Sep 8, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 45.9% | 0.478 | 1.14u | Won | +2.39u |
| Sep 8, 2023 | mlb |
Rangers
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 39.8% | 0.311 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Sep 7, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 36.8% | 0.152 | 0.53u | Won | +0.77u |
| Sep 7, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 51.2% | 0.050 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Sep 7, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 40.5% | 0.578 | 1.07u | Won | +2.89u |
| Sep 6, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 50.6% | 0.265 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Sep 6, 2023 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.75 | 42.9% | 0.489 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Sep 5, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 44.0% | 0.375 | 0.70u | Won | +1.51u |
| Sep 5, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 36.7% | 0.397 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 41.9% | 0.107 | 0.37u | Won | +0.54u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 48.0% | 0.247 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Sep 4, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.05 | 32.4% | 0.086 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Sep 3, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 47.4% | 0.256 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Sep 3, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 3.10 | 54.6% | 0.693 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Sep 2, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 39.1% | 0.248 | 0.67u | Won | +1.07u |
| Sep 2, 2023 | mlb |
Guardians
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 50.7% | 0.396 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Sep 1, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 37.9% | 0.261 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Sep 1, 2023 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 48.9% | 0.319 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Aug 30, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 50.2% | 0.356 | 1.05u | Won | +1.79u |
| Aug 30, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 47.4% | 0.319 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 29, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 32.2% | 0.633 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Aug 29, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 3.30 | 45.7% | 0.508 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 45.7% | 0.235 | 0.68u | Won | +1.16u |
| Aug 28, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 39.2% | 0.458 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 47.5% | 0.456 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Aug 27, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 40.0% | 0.374 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 37.8% | 0.516 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Aug 26, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 43.7% | 0.537 | 1.07u | Won | +2.68u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 39.9% | 0.385 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Aug 25, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 38.2% | 0.279 | 0.81u | Won | +1.34u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 42.7% | 0.444 | 0.99u | Won | +2.23u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Yankees
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 46.7% | 0.156 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 24, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 40.6% | 0.167 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 40.8% | 0.482 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 23, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 53.4% | 0.548 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 43.2% | 0.187 | 0.53u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 42.8% | 0.141 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 22, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 44.4% | 0.405 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.70 | 42.5% | 0.147 | 0.43u | Won | +0.73u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 43.0% | 0.123 | 0.36u | Won | +0.61u |
| Aug 21, 2023 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 44.5% | 0.089 | 0.31u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 43.5% | 0.183 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.85 | 44.8% | 0.276 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Aug 20, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 43.9% | 0.306 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Cardinals
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 43.5% | 0.191 | 0.53u | Won | +0.95u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Athletics
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 43.2% | 0.080 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 44.0% | 0.106 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 43.7% | 0.143 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Aug 19, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 44.0% | 0.075 | 0.24u | Won | +0.37u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 43.0% | 0.193 | 0.41u | Won | +0.76u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 44.3% | 0.240 | 0.67u | Won | +1.21u |
| Aug 18, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 45.0% | 0.296 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 43.2% | 0.274 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Aug 17, 2023 | mlb |
Dodgers
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 42.9% | 0.093 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 41.9% | 0.220 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 43.8% | 0.204 | 0.58u | Won | +1.02u |
| Aug 16, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 44.1% | 0.223 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Cubs
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 43.3% | 0.194 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 44.2% | 0.230 | 0.64u | Won | +1.15u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 44.2% | 0.176 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Aug 15, 2023 | mlb |
Braves
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 42.8% | 0.132 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Giants
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 43.6% | 0.152 | 0.45u | Won | +0.77u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Rockies
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.90 | 43.8% | 0.245 | 0.64u | Won | +1.22u |
| Aug 14, 2023 | mlb |
Padres
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 42.8% | 0.198 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Marlins
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 43.1% | 0.088 | 0.29u | Won | +0.45u |
| Aug 13, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 3.75 | 43.8% | 0.620 | 1.13u | Won | +3.11u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.00 | 43.2% | 0.297 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Mariners
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 42.9% | 0.431 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Aug 12, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.90 | 42.7% | 0.239 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Astros
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.67 | 42.7% | 0.141 | 0.42u | Won | +0.70u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 42.7% | 0.124 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Aug 11, 2023 | mlb |
Nationals
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.35 | 43.4% | 0.431 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Rays
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 4.00 | 42.2% | 0.615 | 1.02u | Won | +3.06u |
| Aug 10, 2023 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 44.5% | 0.311 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Brewers
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 3.20 | 42.5% | 0.360 | 0.78u | Won | +1.72u |
| Aug 9, 2023 | mlb |
Angels
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 3.45 | 43.5% | 0.499 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 45.7% | 0.165 | 0.10u | Won | +0.16u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 45.7% | 0.313 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Aug 8, 2023 | mlb |
Phillies
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 3.15 | 45.7% | 0.439 | 1.02u | Won | +2.19u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.