Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
May 26, 2024	mlb	Pirates Braves	First5 result	home	2.75	49.3%	0.355	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Mets Giants	First5 result	home	2.40	55.3%	0.328	0.60u	Won	+0.84u
May 25, 2024	mlb	Twins Rangers	First5 result	home	3.20	65.5%	1.095	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Athletics Astros	First5 result	away	2.55	43.0%	0.453	0.60u	Won	+0.93u
May 24, 2024	mlb	Tigers Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.10	49.2%	0.525	1.20u	Won	+2.52u
May 23, 2024	mlb	Athletics Rockies	First5 result	away	2.55	46.6%	0.068	0.22u	Won	+0.34u
May 23, 2024	mlb	Pirates Giants	First5 result	home	3.00	54.7%	0.641	1.20u	Won	+2.40u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Phillies Rangers	First5 result	away	2.25	40.5%	0.090	0.14u	Lost	-0.14u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Rays Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.70	53.4%	0.297	0.55u	Won	+1.49u
May 22, 2024	mlb	Nationals Twins	First5 result	away	3.00	40.6%	0.443	1.11u	Won	+2.22u
May 21, 2024	mlb	Guardians Mets	First5 result	home	2.50	53.1%	0.327	1.09u	Won	+1.64u
May 21, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First5 result	away	2.40	45.2%	0.315	0.71u	Won	+0.99u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays White Sox	First5 result	away	3.00	37.5%	0.563	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 20, 2024	mlb	Guardians Mets	First5 result	away	2.85	39.0%	0.418	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Braves Padres	First5 result	away	3.00	45.0%	0.305	0.60u	Won	+1.20u
May 19, 2024	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	away	3.70	46.3%	0.987	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First5 result	away	2.55	43.4%	0.443	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 18, 2024	mlb	Marlins Mets	First5 result	away	2.60	37.1%	0.352	0.60u	Won	+0.96u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Yankees White Sox	First5 result	away	3.35	41.7%	0.582	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 17, 2024	mlb	Cubs Pirates	First5 result	away	2.80	45.8%	0.517	0.60u	Won	+1.08u
May 16, 2024	mlb	Phillies Mets	First5 result	away	2.75	41.4%	0.612	1.20u	Won	+2.10u
May 16, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Reds	First5 result	away	3.50	44.9%	0.292	0.58u	Won	+1.45u
May 15, 2024	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.10	40.6%	0.501	1.19u	Lost	-1.19u
May 15, 2024	mlb	Orioles Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.00	45.2%	0.300	0.61u	Won	+1.22u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Mets Phillies	First5 result	home	2.20	48.7%	0.071	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 14, 2024	mlb	Brewers Pirates	First5 result	home	2.55	47.6%	0.214	0.69u	Won	+1.07u
May 14, 2024	mlb	White Sox Nationals	First5 result	away	3.10	47.6%	0.116	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 13, 2024	mlb	Giants Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.85	47.7%	0.359	0.97u	Won	+1.79u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	home	2.45	47.5%	0.163	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.30	47.7%	0.097	0.37u	Won	+0.48u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Rockies Rangers	First5 result	home	2.75	46.1%	0.268	0.77u	Won	+1.35u
May 12, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First5 result	home	2.30	47.6%	0.096	0.10u	Lost	-0.10u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.30	47.3%	0.089	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Twins	First5 result	home	2.35	48.1%	0.131	0.49u	Lost	-0.49u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.35	48.4%	0.136	0.51u	Won	+0.69u
May 11, 2024	mlb	Mariners Athletics	First5 result	home	2.50	47.3%	0.182	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Rays Yankees	First5 result	home	2.60	46.8%	0.217	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Nationals	First5 result	home	2.60	48.2%	0.253	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 10, 2024	mlb	Pirates Cubs	First5 result	home	2.65	47.5%	0.260	0.79u	Lost	-0.79u
May 9, 2024	mlb	Brewers Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.35	47.4%	0.114	0.42u	Won	+0.57u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Athletics Rangers	First5 result	home	2.45	46.0%	0.128	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Phillies Blue Jays	First5 result	home	2.30	47.5%	0.092	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First5 result	away	3.15	47.0%	0.177	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Braves Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.40	46.0%	0.103	0.37u	Won	+0.52u
May 8, 2024	mlb	Yankees Astros	First5 result	away	3.15	47.9%	0.130	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Nationals Orioles	First5 result	away	3.70	47.9%	0.348	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Braves Red Sox	First5 result	away	3.25	47.8%	0.169	0.19u	Lost	-0.19u
May 7, 2024	mlb	Rockies Giants	First5 result	home	2.85	47.7%	0.359	0.97u	Lost	-0.97u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Guardians Tigers	First5 result	away	3.70	47.3%	0.357	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
May 6, 2024	mlb	Royals Brewers	First5 result	away	3.00	45.8%	0.162	0.40u	Won	+0.80u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Pirates Rockies	First5 result	home	2.20	48.2%	0.060	0.25u	Lost	-0.25u
May 5, 2024	mlb	Phillies Giants	First5 result	home	2.25	47.2%	0.063	0.25u	Won	+0.31u
May 4, 2024	mlb	Twins Red Sox	First5 result	home	2.30	48.0%	0.105	0.40u	Won	+0.52u
May 3, 2024	mlb	Athletics Marlins	First5 result	away	3.20	46.9%	0.181	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.90	47.9%	0.389	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
May 1, 2024	mlb	Mets Cubs	First5 result	home	2.90	47.7%	0.385	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Padres Reds	First5 result	home	2.60	43.1%	0.121	0.38u	Won	+0.61u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Marlins Rockies	First5 result	away	2.55	40.5%	0.151	0.49u	Won	+0.76u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Orioles Yankees	First5 result	home	2.05	52.1%	0.069	0.23u	Won	+0.24u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Tigers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.35	39.6%	0.092	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 30, 2024	mlb	Athletics Pirates	First5 result	away	2.40	54.1%	0.101	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	away	2.30	38.4%	0.106	0.41u	Won	+0.53u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Rangers Reds	First5 result	home	2.25	50.0%	0.124	0.50u	Won	+0.63u
Apr 28, 2024	mlb	Mariners Diamondbacks	First5 result	away	2.35	39.2%	0.105	0.39u	Lost	-0.39u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Braves Guardians	First5 result	home	2.15	49.1%	0.056	0.24u	Lost	-0.24u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Rockies Astros	First5 result	home	2.80	40.8%	0.143	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Apr 27, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	away	2.70	43.0%	0.130	0.38u	Won	+0.65u
Apr 26, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Cubs	First5 result	away	3.40	46.3%	0.355	0.74u	Won	+1.78u
Apr 26, 2024	mlb	Marlins Nationals	First5 result	home	2.70	49.5%	0.338	0.99u	Won	+1.68u
Apr 25, 2024	mlb	Rockies Padres	First5 result	home	2.25	60.3%	0.357	1.02u	Lost	-1.02u
Apr 25, 2024	mlb	Royals Blue Jays	First5 result	away	3.30	46.5%	0.359	0.78u	Lost	-0.78u
Apr 24, 2024	mlb	Rangers Mariners	First5 result	away	2.80	42.6%	0.252	0.70u	Lost	-0.70u
Apr 24, 2024	mlb	Cubs Astros	First5 result	home	2.25	53.1%	0.194	0.20u	Won	+0.25u
Apr 24, 2024	mlb	Guardians Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.85	39.3%	0.334	0.90u	Won	+1.67u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Cubs Astros	First5 result	away	3.30	39.2%	0.551	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 23, 2024	mlb	Twins White Sox	First5 result	away	3.10	36.9%	0.551	1.20u	Won	+2.52u
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	away	2.75	38.1%	0.331	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
Apr 22, 2024	mlb	Yankees Athletics	First5 result	draw	4.60	35.3%	0.554	0.77u	Won	+2.77u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Reds Angels	First5 result	home	2.45	54.6%	0.338	1.17u	Lost	-1.17u
Apr 21, 2024	mlb	Phillies White Sox	First5 result	away	3.35	49.4%	0.257	0.55u	Lost	-0.55u
Apr 20, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	4.00	39.9%	0.840	1.20u	Won	+3.60u
Apr 20, 2024	mlb	Braves Rangers	First5 result	home	2.55	53.4%	0.361	0.60u	Won	+0.93u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Twins Tigers	First5 result	away	2.45	39.5%	0.139	0.48u	Won	+0.70u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Cardinals Brewers	First5 result	away	2.65	40.4%	0.200	0.60u	Won	+0.99u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Royals Orioles	First5 result	away	2.50	39.0%	0.180	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 19, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	away	2.75	43.7%	0.123	0.12u	Won	+0.21u
Apr 18, 2024	mlb	Rays Angels	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.2%	0.595	0.83u	Lost	-0.83u
Apr 18, 2024	mlb	Tigers Rangers	First5 result	away	2.25	37.9%	0.095	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Apr 17, 2024	mlb	Diamondbacks Cubs	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.1%	0.635	0.88u	Won	+3.17u
Apr 17, 2024	mlb	Blue Jays Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	36.4%	0.606	0.84u	Lost	-0.84u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Red Sox Guardians	First5 result	away	2.45	17.5%	0.688	1.20u	Won	+1.74u
Apr 16, 2024	mlb	Brewers Padres	First5 result	draw	4.60	0.0%	0.550	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Brewers Padres	First5 result	away	3.05	46.4%	0.353	0.60u	Won	+1.23u
Apr 15, 2024	mlb	Athletics Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.35	19.8%	0.511	1.20u	Won	+1.62u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Guardians Yankees	First5 result	away	2.15	19.7%	0.377	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Rays Giants	First5 result	away	3.10	49.2%	0.144	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Apr 14, 2024	mlb	Dodgers Padres	First5 result	home	2.25	50.8%	0.142	0.26u	Won	+0.33u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First5 result	away	2.60	22.8%	0.349	1.09u	Won	+1.74u
Apr 13, 2024	mlb	Guardians Yankees	First5 result	away	2.15	36.5%	0.146	0.63u	Won	+0.72u
Apr 12, 2024	mlb	Orioles Brewers	First5 result	away	3.10	38.5%	0.367	0.87u	Won	+1.83u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.