Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 46.6% | 0.094 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Aug 22, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.25 | 40.5% | 0.071 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Aug 22, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 42.5% | 0.108 | 0.45u | Won | +0.54u |
| Aug 22, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 40.0% | 0.220 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Aug 21, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 41.1% | 0.375 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Aug 21, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 41.4% | 0.412 | 1.18u | Lost | -1.18u |
| Aug 20, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 24.9% | 0.455 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 20, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 23.6% | 0.379 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 19, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 2.20 | 24.9% | 0.392 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Aug 19, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 73.4% | 1.056 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 65.7% | 0.708 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 65.7% | 0.675 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 24.9% | 0.645 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 17, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.65 | 58.1% | 0.539 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 28.8% | 0.585 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 16, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Guardians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 27.4% | 1.701 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 15, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 49.2% | 0.058 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Aug 15, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 54.3% | 0.194 | 0.81u | Won | +0.97u |
| Aug 14, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 3.00 | 58.1% | 0.743 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Aug 14, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 23.6% | 0.649 | 0.60u | Won | +1.05u |
| Aug 13, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 23.6% | 0.589 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Aug 13, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 3.35 | 55.4% | 0.855 | 1.20u | Won | +2.82u |
| Aug 12, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 3.85 | 46.2% | 0.778 | 1.20u | Won | +3.42u |
| Aug 12, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 29.1% | 0.435 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 24.9% | 0.455 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 11, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 23.8% | 0.510 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 10, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Rangers
|
First5 result | home | 2.95 | 58.1% | 0.714 | 0.60u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 10, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Cubs
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 23.0% | 1.268 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Aug 9, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 2.15 | 24.1% | 0.315 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Aug 9, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 58.1% | 0.249 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Aug 8, 2024 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 2.05 | 24.9% | 0.297 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Aug 8, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 58.1% | 0.336 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Aug 7, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 35.6% | 0.901 | 0.60u | Won | +1.50u |
| Aug 7, 2024 | mlb |
Cardinals
Rays
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 82.8% | 0.947 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 47.6% | 0.257 | 0.76u | Won | +1.29u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 48.7% | 0.188 | 0.59u | Won | +0.94u |
| Aug 6, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 49.4% | 0.111 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 44.6% | 0.329 | 0.97u | Won | +1.65u |
| Aug 5, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 44.8% | 0.076 | 0.27u | Won | +0.38u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 39.2% | 0.224 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 3.35 | 38.5% | 0.360 | 0.77u | Won | +1.81u |
| Aug 4, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Brewers
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 37.7% | 0.396 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 39.5% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.00 | 49.1% | 0.359 | 0.90u | Won | +1.80u |
| Aug 3, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 39.1% | 0.191 | 0.30u | Won | +0.59u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 38.8% | 0.150 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Cubs
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 3.55 | 50.2% | 0.572 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Aug 2, 2024 | mlb |
Athletics
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 47.5% | 0.093 | 0.28u | Won | +0.36u |
| Aug 1, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 40.9% | 0.244 | 0.74u | Won | +1.22u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 3.15 | 49.0% | 0.428 | 0.60u | Won | +1.29u |
| Jul 31, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 3.00 | 50.3% | 0.509 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.80 | 50.8% | 0.228 | 0.24u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 49.0% | 0.275 | 0.86u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jul 30, 2024 | mlb |
Angels
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 54.7% | 0.245 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 50.6% | 0.114 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 48.6% | 0.099 | 0.35u | Won | +0.49u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
White Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 2.25 | 46.4% | 0.070 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 29, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 48.6% | 0.073 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 43.7% | 0.120 | 0.40u | Won | +0.60u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 47.1% | 0.151 | 0.52u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jul 28, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 47.7% | 0.074 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Phillies
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 49.8% | 0.072 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 48.9% | 0.069 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.70 | 38.7% | 0.094 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Jul 27, 2024 | mlb |
Astros
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 45.9% | 0.130 | 0.48u | Won | +0.65u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 48.5% | 0.352 | 0.90u | Lost | -0.90u |
| Jul 26, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 50.1% | 0.251 | 0.84u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Marlins
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 48.9% | 0.345 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 46.9% | 0.055 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 25, 2024 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 38.4% | 0.261 | 0.62u | Won | +1.30u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 46.9% | 0.157 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 3.20 | 39.7% | 0.277 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 35.0% | 0.110 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Jul 24, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 50.3% | 0.081 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 46.2% | 0.086 | 0.32u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 52.1% | 0.146 | 0.61u | Won | +0.73u |
| Jul 23, 2024 | mlb |
Nationals
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 40.6% | 0.100 | 0.32u | Won | +0.50u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Pirates
Phillies
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 45.0% | 0.219 | 0.52u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Rockies
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 32.9% | 0.130 | 0.20u | Won | +0.28u |
| Jul 21, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.10 | 58.9% | 0.238 | 1.08u | Won | +1.19u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Rangers
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 43.3% | 0.197 | 0.51u | Won | +0.99u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 46.4% | 0.113 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Twins
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 45.0% | 0.081 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Jul 20, 2024 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.25 | 33.9% | 0.050 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 45.2% | 0.159 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Jul 19, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
White Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 32.0% | 0.172 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 40.5% | 0.332 | 0.79u | Won | +1.66u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 50.1% | 0.201 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jul 14, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.45 | 51.2% | 0.255 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jul 13, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Marlins
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 36.2% | 0.195 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Jul 13, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 55.1% | 0.212 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jul 12, 2024 | mlb |
Brewers
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.25 | 43.3% | 0.304 | 0.68u | Won | +1.53u |
| Jul 12, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Royals
|
First5 result | away | 3.35 | 52.1% | 0.154 | 0.24u | Won | +0.56u |
| Jul 12, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 3.10 | 37.7% | 0.369 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jul 11, 2024 | mlb |
Rays
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.90 | 43.0% | 0.174 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Jul 11, 2024 | mlb |
Reds
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 55.3% | 0.133 | 0.63u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 11, 2024 | mlb |
Orioles
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 31.1% | 0.113 | 0.36u | Won | +0.47u |
| Jul 11, 2024 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 40.3% | 0.117 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Jul 10, 2024 | mlb |
Giants
Blue Jays
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 39.7% | 0.113 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Jul 10, 2024 | mlb |
Red Sox
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 42.9% | 0.067 | 0.21u | Won | +0.34u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.