Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 33.8% | 0.384 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Apr 27, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Rays
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 33.8% | 0.588 | 1.18u | Won | +2.95u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 34.4% | 0.361 | 0.93u | Won | +1.81u |
| Apr 26, 2025 | mlb |
Athletics
White Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.75 | 49.3% | 0.356 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Apr 25, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Angels
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 49.3% | 0.217 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Apr 25, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 58.5% | 0.200 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 25, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Pirates
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 35.3% | 0.226 | 0.61u | Won | +1.13u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 56.4% | 0.241 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 33.8% | 0.543 | 1.13u | Won | +2.71u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Brewers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 17.7% | 2.471 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| Apr 23, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 14.0% | 0.793 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.10 | 62.7% | 0.318 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 22, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Reds
|
First5 result | away | 3.05 | 19.2% | 1.186 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Padres
|
First5 result | home | 2.00 | 81.1% | 0.622 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.00 | 62.9% | 0.258 | 0.60u | Won | +0.60u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 33.8% | 0.293 | 0.69u | Won | +1.28u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Nationals
|
First5 result | away | 3.30 | 34.9% | 0.510 | 1.11u | Won | +2.55u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 82.5% | 0.816 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 19, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.70 | 35.3% | 0.591 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Marlins
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 52.2% | 0.174 | 0.29u | Won | +0.36u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 33.8% | 0.339 | 0.87u | Won | +1.70u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Padres
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 34.9% | 0.212 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 55.3% | 0.245 | 0.98u | Won | +1.23u |
| Apr 17, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Mariners
|
First5 result | away | 2.35 | 26.0% | 0.193 | 0.71u | Won | +0.96u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | away | 3.60 | 56.4% | 0.206 | 0.40u | Won | +1.04u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.30 | 26.0% | 0.168 | 0.20u | Won | +0.26u |
| Apr 16, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 62.9% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 49.0% | 0.175 | 0.63u | Lost | -0.63u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 49.0% | 0.077 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Mets
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 50.9% | 0.120 | 0.50u | Won | +0.60u |
| Apr 15, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Athletics
|
First5 result | away | 3.50 | 57.6% | 0.133 | 0.27u | Won | +0.68u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Rockies
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 50.8% | 0.195 | 0.49u | Won | +0.66u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Astros
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 55.0% | 0.211 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Apr 14, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Tigers
|
First5 result | away | 3.85 | 50.2% | 0.580 | 1.02u | Won | +2.91u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Twins
Tigers
|
First5 result | home | 3.05 | 55.1% | 0.679 | 1.20u | Won | +2.46u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 66.2% | 0.589 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 55.1% | 0.294 | 1.09u | Won | +1.47u |
| Apr 12, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 48.9% | 0.248 | 0.71u | Won | +1.10u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
Royals
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 50.9% | 0.196 | 0.62u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 11, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Phillies
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 60.9% | 0.248 | 1.18u | Won | +1.24u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Rockies
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.00 | 57.6% | 0.152 | 0.76u | Lost | -0.76u |
| Apr 10, 2025 | mlb |
Guardians
White Sox
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 67.7% | 0.486 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 50.2% | 0.155 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Dodgers
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 50.2% | 0.169 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Apr 9, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 49.0% | 0.249 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 3.35 | 50.6% | 0.386 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Apr 8, 2025 | mlb |
Tigers
Yankees
|
First5 result | home | 2.55 | 50.2% | 0.280 | 0.90u | Won | +1.40u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 63.8% | 0.467 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Apr 7, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.25 | 55.1% | 0.240 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
First5 result | home | 2.50 | 63.8% | 0.595 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Apr 6, 2025 | mlb |
Angels
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 55.7% | 0.338 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Nationals
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 67.5% | 0.495 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | mlb |
Giants
Mariners
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 57.6% | 0.325 | 1.11u | Won | +1.44u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Braves
Marlins
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 67.6% | 0.489 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Pirates
Yankees
|
First5 result | away | 2.95 | 50.2% | 0.210 | 0.54u | Won | +1.05u |
| Apr 4, 2025 | mlb |
Red Sox
Cardinals
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 49.0% | 0.151 | 0.56u | Won | +0.76u |
| Apr 3, 2025 | mlb |
Phillies
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.85 | 36.3% | 0.633 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Brewers
Royals
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 67.7% | 0.486 | 0.60u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 2, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Nationals
|
First5 result | home | 2.80 | 55.1% | 0.543 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Guardians
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 84.8% | 0.739 | 1.20u | Won | +1.26u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Diamondbacks
|
First5 result | home | 2.40 | 62.7% | 0.505 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 21.2% | 0.450 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Apr 1, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Giants
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 54.2% | 0.275 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Dodgers
Braves
|
First5 result | home | 2.60 | 59.3% | 0.541 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Rangers
|
First5 result | away | 3.40 | 41.4% | 0.522 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 31, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 21.3% | 0.507 | 0.60u | Won | +0.93u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.55 | 39.9% | 0.192 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.50 | 39.9% | 0.172 | 0.57u | Won | +0.86u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Cubs
|
First5 result | away | 2.10 | 21.2% | 0.242 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Royals
Guardians
|
First5 result | away | 2.25 | 21.3% | 0.329 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Yankees
Brewers
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 52.7% | 0.081 | 0.39u | Won | +0.41u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 53.7% | 0.154 | 0.67u | Won | +0.77u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First5 result | home | 2.10 | 53.3% | 0.118 | 0.54u | Won | +0.59u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Cardinals
Twins
|
First5 result | away | 2.40 | 0.0% | 0.846 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Rays
Rockies
|
First5 result | away | 2.65 | 39.6% | 0.252 | 0.60u | Won | +0.99u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Orioles
|
First5 result | away | 2.05 | 0.0% | 0.596 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.35 | 52.8% | 0.241 | 0.79u | Won | +1.07u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Padres
Braves
|
First5 result | away | 2.60 | 0.0% | 1.016 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Marlins
Pirates
|
First5 result | home | 2.20 | 60.1% | 0.323 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Astros
Mets
|
First5 result | away | 2.15 | 21.3% | 0.271 | 1.18u | Won | +1.36u |
| Mar 28, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | away | 2.75 | 47.7% | 0.092 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Rangers
Red Sox
|
First5 result | home | 2.30 | 63.0% | 0.450 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
White Sox
Angels
|
First5 result | home | 2.05 | 60.7% | 0.245 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
| Mar 27, 2025 | mlb |
Reds
Giants
|
First5 result | away | 2.45 | 21.3% | 0.447 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 18, 2025 | mlb |
Cubs
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.15 | 51.3% | 0.103 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Oct 18, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Dodgers
|
First5 result | home | 2.00 | 59.2% | 0.184 | 0.92u | Won | +0.92u |
| Oct 15, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 34.0% | 0.524 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Oct 14, 2024 | mlb |
Yankees
Guardians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.1% | 0.532 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 14, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.6% | 0.518 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Oct 13, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Mets
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.3% | 0.528 | 0.73u | Lost | -0.73u |
| Oct 12, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.9% | 0.553 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Oct 11, 2024 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.8% | 0.535 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 10, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.8% | 0.557 | 0.77u | Won | +2.77u |
| Oct 10, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.2% | 0.535 | 0.74u | Lost | -0.74u |
| Oct 9, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.5% | 0.538 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Oct 9, 2024 | mlb |
Tigers
Guardians
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.5% | 0.536 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Oct 9, 2024 | mlb |
Royals
Yankees
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 33.2% | 0.540 | 0.75u | Won | +2.70u |
| Oct 8, 2024 | mlb |
Padres
Dodgers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.9% | 0.555 | 0.77u | Lost | -0.77u |
| Oct 8, 2024 | mlb |
Mets
Phillies
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.6% | 0.567 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Oct 7, 2024 | mlb |
Guardians
Tigers
|
First5 result | draw | 4.60 | 32.9% | 0.553 | 0.77u | Won | +2.77u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.