Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 1:12 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Leeds United
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 13.7% | 1.170 | 1.17u | Won | +2.57u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Everton
|
Result | away | 2.80 | 39.5% | 0.208 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
Newcastle United
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 0.49u | Lost | -0.49u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.1% | 0.220 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Feb 8, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Feb 6, 2022 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
|
Draw away | x2 | 1.80 | 71.5% | 0.288 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
FC Cologne
SC Freiburg
|
Draw away | home | 2.50 | 49.9% | 0.252 | 0.25u | Won | +0.38u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
|
Draw away | home | 2.38 | 47.9% | 0.241 | 0.25u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
Arminia Bielefeld
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Draw away | home | 3.60 | 49.1% | 0.831 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 51.2% | 0.408 | 0.50u | Won | +0.88u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
Arminia Bielefeld
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.73 | 70.1% | 0.210 | 1.20u | Won | +0.87u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | bundesliga |
FC Cologne
SC Freiburg
|
Home away | 12 | 1.29 | 86.5% | 0.112 | 1.20u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Watford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 5, 2022 | epl |
Burnley
Watford
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 45.5% | 0.544 | 1.09u | Lost | -1.09u |
| Feb 4, 2022 | bundesliga |
Hertha Berlin
VfL Bochum
|
Draw away | home | 2.30 | 49.9% | 0.152 | 0.94u | Lost | -0.94u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 4.50 | 69.0% | 2.104 | 1.20u | Won | +4.20u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 2.15 | 50.1% | 0.078 | 0.54u | Won | +0.62u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
|
Result | away | 2.80 | 36.4% | 0.195 | 0.86u | Won | +1.55u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Chelsea
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.4% | 0.253 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.7% | 0.190 | 0.26u | Won | +0.24u |
| Jan 23, 2022 | epl |
Arsenal
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.249 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.249 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.6% | 0.249 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.4% | 0.253 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | bundesliga |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Mainz
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 84.3% | 1.319 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | bundesliga |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Draw away | home | 4.50 | 43.7% | 1.535 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | bundesliga |
VfL Bochum
FC Cologne
|
Draw away | x2 | 1.91 | 66.0% | 0.261 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.80 | 58.5% | 0.053 | 0.53u | Won | +0.42u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Newcastle United
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 50.5% | 0.362 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 22, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 1.91 | 59.0% | 0.127 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 21, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Norwich City
|
Result | away | 3.75 | 36.4% | 0.476 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Jan 21, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.8% | 0.226 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 21, 2022 | bundesliga |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Arminia Bielefeld
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 59.8% | 0.196 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jan 19, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 44.0% | 1.023 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 19, 2022 | epl |
Leicester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 46.3% | 0.026 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Jan 18, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 60.6% | 0.157 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 18, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 47.0% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Brentford
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 44.3% | 0.438 | 0.88u | Lost | -0.88u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Leeds United
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.0% | 0.069 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Jan 16, 2022 | epl |
Liverpool
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.5% | 0.327 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Manchester City
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.3% | 0.349 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Everton
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 79.0% | 0.509 | 1.00u | Won | +0.91u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | bundesliga |
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
|
Draw away | x2 | 1.80 | 87.0% | 0.566 | 0.50u | Won | +0.40u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Draw away | home | 3.00 | 27.9% | 1.163 | 1.00u | Won | +2.00u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | bundesliga |
Mainz
VfL Bochum
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 51.7% | 0.423 | 0.67u | Won | +1.17u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | bundesliga |
1. FC Union Berlin
TSG Hoffenheim
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.67 | 68.2% | 0.137 | 0.18u | Won | +0.12u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | bundesliga |
VfL Wolfsburg
Hertha Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 59.6% | 0.340 | 0.65u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Norwich City
Everton
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 42.8% | 0.285 | 0.45u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jan 15, 2022 | epl |
Aston Villa
Manchester United
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 42.5% | 0.489 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Jan 14, 2022 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.201 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 14, 2022 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
|
Draw away | home | 1.44 | 17.3% | 0.194 | 1.20u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jan 14, 2022 | bundesliga |
Borussia Dortmund
SC Freiburg
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.63 | 51.9% | 0.363 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 12, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Norwich City
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 43.1% | 0.285 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jan 12, 2022 | epl |
West Ham United
Norwich City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.4% | 0.329 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 11, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Brentford
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 55.1% | 0.053 | 0.47u | Won | +0.43u |
| Jan 11, 2022 | epl |
Southampton
Brentford
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 44.7% | 0.177 | 0.54u | Lost | -0.54u |
| Jan 9, 2022 | bundesliga |
Hertha Berlin
FC Cologne
|
Draw away | x2 | 1.44 | 77.5% | 0.119 | 1.20u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jan 8, 2022 | bundesliga |
RB Leipzig
Mainz
|
Draw away | home | 1.50 | 25.0% | 0.125 | 0.82u | Won | +0.41u |
| Jan 8, 2022 | bundesliga |
TSG Hoffenheim
FC Augsburg
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.00 | 56.4% | 0.129 | 0.68u | Lost | -0.68u |
| Jan 8, 2022 | bundesliga |
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Union Berlin
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 63.5% | 0.271 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Jan 7, 2022 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
Draw away | x2 | 3.50 | 68.5% | 1.397 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Jan 3, 2022 | epl |
Manchester United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.216 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Burnley
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 56.1% | 0.071 | 0.06u | Won | +0.05u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 71.9% | 0.372 | 1.03u | Won | +0.94u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Total over | over | 1.91 | 63.6% | 0.214 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Leeds United
Burnley
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 44.3% | 0.240 | 0.29u | Won | +0.52u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 42.0% | 0.601 | 1.04u | Won | +3.46u |
| Jan 2, 2022 | epl |
Brentford
Aston Villa
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 43.7% | 0.201 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | epl |
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 46.1% | 0.566 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | epl |
Watford
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.334 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Jan 1, 2022 | epl |
Arsenal
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 17.5% | 0.575 | 1.10u | Lost | -1.10u |
| Dec 30, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.5% | 0.366 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 30, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Burnley
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 45.0% | 0.177 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Dec 29, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 43.7% | 0.252 | 0.50u | Won | +2.00u |
| Dec 29, 2021 | epl |
Brentford
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.6% | 0.344 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Leicester City
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.1% | 0.200 | 0.76u | Won | +0.69u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.3% | 0.198 | 0.74u | Won | +0.67u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Norwich City
|
Result | home | 3.75 | 45.2% | 0.696 | 1.07u | Won | +2.94u |
| Dec 28, 2021 | epl |
Southampton
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 39.4% | 0.420 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Dec 27, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester United
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 40.4% | 0.323 | 0.74u | Won | +2.59u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 43.0% | 0.446 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Norwich City
Arsenal
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 39.3% | 0.153 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Southampton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.7% | 0.132 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.118 | 0.09u | Lost | -0.09u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.6% | 0.135 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 17.0% | 0.585 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 41.6% | 0.648 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Dec 26, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Leicester City
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 44.9% | 0.175 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | bundesliga |
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
|
Draw away | home | 2.50 | 40.2% | 0.496 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 42.7% | 1.029 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.4% | 0.272 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.3% | 0.139 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Dec 19, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.4% | 0.348 | 0.82u | Lost | -0.82u |
| Dec 18, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 45.7% | 0.036 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Dec 18, 2021 | bundesliga |
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Augsburg
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 75.7% | 0.703 | 1.20u | Won | +1.50u |
| Dec 17, 2021 | bundesliga |
Bayern Munich
VfL Wolfsburg
|
Draw away | x2 | 4.50 | 70.8% | 2.185 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 16, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Newcastle United
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 43.7% | 0.493 | 1.13u | Lost | -1.13u |
| Dec 16, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.4% | 0.138 | 0.57u | Won | +0.52u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.