Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Jun 4, 2025	mlb	Giants Padres	First5 result	away	2.50	36.8%	0.172	0.57u	Won	+0.86u
Jun 4, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Phillies	First5 result	away	2.65	37.4%	0.257	0.78u	Won	+1.29u
Jun 3, 2025	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.40	37.2%	0.131	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
Jun 3, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	away	2.75	37.1%	0.296	0.85u	Won	+1.49u
Jun 3, 2025	mlb	Nationals Cubs	First5 result	away	2.50	37.3%	0.182	0.61u	Won	+0.92u
Jun 2, 2025	mlb	Reds Brewers	First5 result	away	2.65	37.3%	0.250	0.76u	Won	+1.25u
Jun 2, 2025	mlb	White Sox Tigers	First5 result	away	2.45	37.3%	0.158	0.54u	Won	+0.78u
Jun 2, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Mets	First5 result	away	2.35	37.3%	0.111	0.19u	Won	+0.26u
Jun 2, 2025	mlb	Athletics Twins	First5 result	home	3.00	37.5%	0.124	0.31u	Lost	-0.31u
Jun 1, 2025	mlb	Dodgers Yankees	First5 result	away	4.30	37.8%	1.041	1.20u	Won	+3.96u
Jun 1, 2025	mlb	Royals Tigers	First5 result	away	3.05	37.0%	0.442	0.60u	Won	+1.23u
May 31, 2025	mlb	Guardians Angels	First5 result	away	3.85	37.5%	0.813	1.20u	Won	+3.42u
May 31, 2025	mlb	Padres Pirates	First5 result	away	2.95	37.5%	0.395	0.60u	Won	+1.17u
May 30, 2025	mlb	Rangers Cardinals	First5 result	away	2.95	37.3%	0.398	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 30, 2025	mlb	Astros Rays	First5 result	away	3.50	37.2%	0.648	1.20u	Won	+3.00u
May 29, 2025	mlb	Phillies Braves	First5 result	away	2.45	37.2%	0.156	0.54u	Won	+0.78u
May 29, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Athletics	First5 result	away	2.35	37.5%	0.108	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 28, 2025	mlb	Brewers Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.85	37.3%	0.348	0.60u	Won	+1.11u
May 28, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Pirates	First5 result	away	3.85	37.2%	0.812	1.20u	Won	+3.42u
May 27, 2025	mlb	Guardians Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.80	48.8%	0.366	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
May 27, 2025	mlb	Royals Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 27, 2025	mlb	Cubs Rockies	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 26, 2025	mlb	Royals Reds	First5 result	home	2.50	48.8%	0.219	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
May 26, 2025	mlb	Rays Twins	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 26, 2025	mlb	Angels Yankees	First5 result	away	3.70	44.9%	0.386	0.71u	Won	+1.92u
May 25, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 25, 2025	mlb	Athletics Phillies	First5 result	home	3.30	48.8%	0.610	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 24, 2025	mlb	Reds Cubs	First5 result	home	3.65	48.8%	0.781	1.20u	Won	+3.18u
May 24, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Diamondbacks	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.8%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 23, 2025	mlb	Astros Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 23, 2025	mlb	Rays Blue Jays	First5 result	home	3.15	48.8%	0.537	1.20u	Won	+2.58u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Pirates Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 22, 2025	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 21, 2025	mlb	Pirates Reds	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Giants Royals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rangers	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 20, 2025	mlb	Brewers Orioles	First5 result	home	3.25	44.9%	0.461	1.02u	Won	+2.30u
May 19, 2025	mlb	White Sox Mariners	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Rockies Phillies	First5 result	home	2.65	44.9%	0.191	0.47u	Won	+0.78u
May 19, 2025	mlb	Giants Royals	First5 result	home	3.00	43.3%	0.299	0.75u	Lost	-0.75u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Reds Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Phillies Pirates	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 18, 2025	mlb	Royals Cardinals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Orioles Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Reds Guardians	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Won	+2.09u
May 17, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Rockies	First5 result	away	3.95	44.9%	0.480	0.81u	Lost	-0.81u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Rangers Astros	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 16, 2025	mlb	Giants Athletics	First5 result	away	4.00	54.5%	0.818	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Orioles Twins	First5 result	away	3.00	43.3%	0.082	0.21u	Won	+0.42u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 15, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	away	3.05	44.9%	0.142	0.35u	Lost	-0.35u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Braves Nationals	First5 result	draw	4.60	37.7%	0.417	0.58u	Lost	-0.58u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First5 result	away	3.00	48.7%	0.220	0.51u	Lost	-0.51u
May 14, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Rays	First5 result	away	3.25	48.8%	0.321	0.71u	Won	+1.60u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Guardians Brewers	First5 result	away	3.00	37.6%	0.346	0.86u	Lost	-0.86u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Rangers Rockies	First5 result	away	3.05	41.9%	0.175	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 13, 2025	mlb	Cubs Marlins	First5 result	away	3.15	42.0%	0.214	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Tigers Red Sox	First5 result	away	2.45	37.5%	0.099	0.34u	Lost	-0.34u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Phillies Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.05	37.7%	0.367	0.89u	Lost	-0.89u
May 12, 2025	mlb	Padres Angels	First5 result	away	3.10	41.9%	0.194	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Nationals Cardinals	First5 result	home	2.90	41.9%	0.216	0.57u	Lost	-0.57u
May 11, 2025	mlb	Royals Red Sox	First5 result	home	3.50	34.6%	0.212	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Mets Cubs	First5 result	home	3.05	34.6%	0.055	0.13u	Lost	-0.13u
May 10, 2025	mlb	Athletics Yankees	First5 result	draw	4.60	67.9%	0.478	0.66u	Lost	-0.66u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Mariners Blue Jays	First5 result	away	2.60	40.1%	0.067	0.21u	Won	+0.34u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Twins Giants	First5 result	away	3.35	41.9%	0.292	0.62u	Lost	-0.62u
May 9, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.60	42.0%	0.091	0.28u	Lost	-0.28u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Twins Orioles	First5 result	home	2.75	41.6%	0.145	0.41u	Lost	-0.41u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First5 result	away	2.80	41.8%	0.080	0.22u	Won	+0.40u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Diamondbacks Dodgers	First5 result	home	2.35	45.3%	0.063	0.23u	Won	+0.31u
May 8, 2025	mlb	Rockies Tigers	First5 result	away	3.10	42.0%	0.193	0.46u	Won	+0.97u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Royals White Sox	First5 result	away	2.85	42.0%	0.098	0.27u	Lost	-0.27u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Yankees Padres	First5 result	away	2.40	37.7%	0.075	0.27u	Won	+0.38u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Cardinals Pirates	First5 result	away	2.50	37.6%	0.121	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
May 7, 2025	mlb	Nationals Guardians	First5 result	home	2.85	37.5%	0.067	0.18u	Won	+0.33u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Athletics Mariners	First5 result	away	2.80	41.8%	0.080	0.22u	Lost	-0.22u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First5 result	away	3.10	42.0%	0.194	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
May 6, 2025	mlb	Twins Orioles	First5 result	home	3.05	37.5%	0.144	0.35u	Won	+0.72u
May 5, 2025	mlb	Yankees Padres	First5 result	home	2.85	45.7%	0.302	0.82u	Won	+1.52u
May 5, 2025	mlb	Marlins Dodgers	First5 result	away	2.75	41.7%	0.061	0.17u	Won	+0.30u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Pirates Padres	First5 result	home	2.55	41.6%	0.061	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
May 4, 2025	mlb	Brewers Cubs	First5 result	away	4.15	41.8%	0.601	0.95u	Lost	-0.95u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Phillies Diamondbacks	First5 result	home	2.65	41.8%	0.109	0.18u	Won	+0.30u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Marlins Athletics	First5 result	away	3.25	41.9%	0.252	0.56u	Lost	-0.56u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Red Sox Twins	First5 result	home	2.95	41.8%	0.234	0.60u	Lost	-0.60u
May 3, 2025	mlb	Reds Nationals	First5 result	away	2.85	40.2%	0.169	0.46u	Lost	-0.46u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Yankees Rays	First5 result	away	3.35	41.6%	0.294	0.63u	Lost	-0.63u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Giants Rockies	First5 result	home	3.00	41.9%	0.258	0.65u	Won	+1.30u
May 2, 2025	mlb	Blue Jays Guardians	First5 result	away	3.05	41.8%	0.177	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
May 1, 2025	mlb	Reds Cardinals	First5 result	away	3.15	41.8%	0.216	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
May 1, 2025	mlb	White Sox Brewers	First5 result	draw	4.60	68.7%	0.439	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Apr 30, 2025	mlb	Guardians Twins	First5 result	away	3.50	37.5%	0.571	1.14u	Lost	-1.14u
Apr 30, 2025	mlb	Astros Tigers	First5 result	home	3.20	40.2%	0.287	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Apr 29, 2025	mlb	Rays Royals	First5 result	home	2.60	56.4%	0.467	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Apr 29, 2025	mlb	Phillies Nationals	First5 result	home	2.45	55.9%	0.368	0.60u	Won	+0.87u
Apr 28, 2025	mlb	Astros Tigers	First5 result	away	2.05	19.2%	0.470	1.20u	Won	+1.26u
Apr 28, 2025	mlb	Rockies Braves	First5 result	away	2.05	19.2%	0.470	0.60u	Won	+0.63u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.